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OPINION: Historic pro-GOP voting gap revealed, potential 70-seat pickup
washingtonexaminer.com ^ | November 16, 2021 | Paul Bedard, Washington Secrets Columnist

Posted on 11/16/2021 3:53:36 PM PST by Liz

Voters socked by inflation and underwhelmed by President Joe Biden now favor Republicans in the 2022 midterm elections by a historic margin, prompting predictions of the largest gain in House seats in the modern voting era.

The latest Rasmussen Reports survey just out said likely voters favor Republicans over Democrats by 13 points, 51%-38%. The survey found that Democrats are only favored over Republicans among younger voters, black people, Democrats, and liberals.

However, there is a huge 20-point gap among independents who would choose a generic Republican over a generic Democrat by a margin of 48%-26%.

While the questioning is a bit different in the new Rasmussen survey than in past years, the gap is apparently historic and even stronger because the latest survey offered the alternatives of “some other candidate” and “not sure,” said the polling outfit.

Newt Gingrich, who rode an earlier GOP wave to the House speakership in 1994, has been bullish on the chances Republicans would take back control of the chamber. He just upped his prediction to a GOP gain of 40-70 seats. That would top the 63-seat gain by Republicans in 2010, the height of the Tea Party movement and the highest for both parties since 1948.

Citing the winning formula used by Virginia Gov.-elect Glenn Youngkin, Gingrich recently wrote, “I believe an immediate, consistent, and effective Republican application of the lessons of 2021 could lead to a 40- to 70-seat gain in the House; at least a four-seat gain in the Senate; and gains in governorships, state legislatures, and local offices including school boards next year.”

What's more, former President Donald Trump has stepped up his endorsement of candidates. He has a winning record in elections that he has endorsed candidates in. He is also quickly helping to nationalize the 2022 midterm elections as a vote on Biden's performance.

Republicans expect that as the polling settles in among House Democrats, older members will retire rather than face a tough election and loss. Just this morning, California Rep. Jackie Speier, a friend of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and survivor of the Jim Jones murder field in Guyana in 1978, announced she is retiring.

Yesterday, eight-term Vermont Sen. Patrick Leahy announced that he, too, will leave in 2022.

“Think we are going to see a wave between now and before Christmas,” said a GOP campaign official.

The new data and retirements are driven in part by poor polling for Biden, congressional Democrats, and their spend-and-tax plans that are landing as inflation and supply chain concerns are surging.

A memo from the National Republican Campaign Committee, for example, showed weak support for the president’s “Build Back Better” plan to spend $1.75 trillion on social programs.

The survey detailed in the memo shows that voters are more focused on the economy and immigration issues and favor GOP policies over Biden’s.

“Among these economy-focused voters, a generic Republican leads a generic Democrat by a 2:1 margin (58%-29%). When it comes to border security, Republicans hold an astonishing 83-point advantage, 87% Republican to 4% Democrat,” said the memo, posted below.......at web site.


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls; rasmussen
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1 posted on 11/16/2021 3:53:36 PM PST by Liz
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To: Liz

A 120-seat pickup would be better. With 65 senators and a sitting Republican that actually wants to reform.


2 posted on 11/16/2021 3:55:58 PM PST by Ge0ffrey
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To: Liz

Sounds like a Biden impeachment trial is on the horizon. Hopefully we get a super majority in the senate also.


3 posted on 11/16/2021 3:56:14 PM PST by Pilgrim's Progress (http://www.baptistbiblebelievers.com/BYTOPICS/tabid/335/Default.aspx D)
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To: Liz

Have the chicken counters already promised Liz Cheney a Committee Chair?


4 posted on 11/16/2021 3:56:54 PM PST by UNGN
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To: Liz

And then the guys with remote administrator access logged onto the voting machines that weren’t supposed to be connected to the internet….


5 posted on 11/16/2021 3:57:29 PM PST by Rurudyne (Standup Philosopher)
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To: Liz

It will only matter if we elect different Republicans.

If we keep re-electing the same Assistant Democrats, they will keep assisting the Democrats.


6 posted on 11/16/2021 3:57:44 PM PST by Lurkinanloomin ( (Natural born citizens are born here of citizen parents)(Know Islam, No Peace-No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: Liz

Means that democrats are going to work overtime to destroy the country before the next election.


7 posted on 11/16/2021 3:58:06 PM PST by farmguy
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To: Liz

Clinton lost 52 in 1994 and Obama lost 63 and neither of them had performed as poorly as President as Biden.


8 posted on 11/16/2021 4:01:20 PM PST by MNJohnnie (They would have abandon leftism to achieve sanity. Freeper Olog-hai)
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To: MNJohnnie

Good point. Thx.


9 posted on 11/16/2021 4:02:04 PM PST by Liz (Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doesn't know which bathroom to use.)
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To: Pilgrim's Progress

My thoughts precisely.


10 posted on 11/16/2021 4:02:56 PM PST by Liz (Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doesn't know which bathroom to use.)
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To: Liz

I would expect at least 70 seats. The 2010 record 63 seat pickup is going to be nothing compared to next November..


11 posted on 11/16/2021 4:03:17 PM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: All

That’s nice. On the off chance it does happen, then so what?

There have been times in the not too distant past when the gop wing of the uniparty controlled both houses of Congress, the Presidency, had made most Supreme Court appointments, and controlled most state legislatures and governorships. And in the end, they governed pretty much like the democrat wing of the uniparty does. What’s going to change this time?

This is a losing game, folks. And we’re chumps if we play it.


12 posted on 11/16/2021 4:03:28 PM PST by RKBA Democrat (Culture, culture, culture. Not partisan politics. )
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To: Lurkinanloomin

Doesn’t matter. What matters is how many blue senate seats we can poach. Hopefully we keep those we have and reclaim Az., Ga., Nv., NH. Not counting on it.

Now would be a good time to replenish. Grassley, Lisa, Crapo, Hoeven need to go. Won’t happen. Shelby, Blunt,Burr,Portman, Toomey have the decency to go knowing they’re not welcome. If only Thone and Boozman would do the same.


13 posted on 11/16/2021 4:04:26 PM PST by DIRTYSECRET
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To: Ge0ffrey

In an election free of cheating and lamestream media lies; a150 seat pick up is realistic


14 posted on 11/16/2021 4:04:38 PM PST by no-to-illegals ( The enemy has US surrounded. God’s speed FRiends)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

Trump’s working that angle.


15 posted on 11/16/2021 4:04:53 PM PST by Liz (Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doesn't know which bathroom to use.)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

Agreed. These kinds of headlines use to give me hope years ago. Now they are virtually meaningless.

Most GOPers are worthless cowards who win elections then do NOTHING to deal with the wreckage left by leftists other than just trying to tinker around the edges of the existing malaise.

I left that worthless cuck party last January for not backing Trump and am never looking back. Independent Conservative from now on.


16 posted on 11/16/2021 4:07:35 PM PST by MachIV
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To: Liz

Plenty of time for a false flag psy ops to rally America behind Biden.


17 posted on 11/16/2021 4:08:26 PM PST by hercuroc
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To: Liz

We are a year out. It seems like a Republican take over of Congress should be a slam dunk...now. I would caution everyone, especially GOP leaders from just assuming that it is automatic. Sure. Sit back and let Biden shoot himself in the foot. That seems a certainty. But, Republicans should get out in front and propose an alternate agenda. Give the voters something to vote FOR, not just against. It may be easy to get overconfident here, and you know the media will be proping up ol’ poopy pants as we get closer.


18 posted on 11/16/2021 4:10:02 PM PST by fhayek
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To: Liz

It’s simple; with no way to cheat another election, they will not have an election at all.


19 posted on 11/16/2021 4:10:38 PM PST by Caipirabob (Communists...Socialists...Fascists & AntiFa...Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: RKBA Democrat
If you think this you are officially brain dead and not paid ed any attention to a single thing that happened in US Politics in the last 50 years.

These knee jerk whining from the Democrat Marxist party propaganda bots here are without a shred of intellectual merit

It just the arrogant babbling of fools who mistakenly think whining about everything some how makes them sound intellectually superior

It doesn't. It just makes you all sound like ignorant petulant children having a tempetranrum because you cannot get 100% of your way all the time.

That how politics work in a Constitutional Republic. Best you can hope for is more good then bad. The perfection the Whiners Choir here constantly cry for is utterly unattainable

20 posted on 11/16/2021 4:11:51 PM PST by MNJohnnie (They would have abandon leftism to achieve sanity. Freeper Olog-hai)
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