Posted on 11/16/2021 3:53:36 PM PST by Liz
Voters socked by inflation and underwhelmed by President Joe Biden now favor Republicans in the 2022 midterm elections by a historic margin, prompting predictions of the largest gain in House seats in the modern voting era.
The latest Rasmussen Reports survey just out said likely voters favor Republicans over Democrats by 13 points, 51%-38%. The survey found that Democrats are only favored over Republicans among younger voters, black people, Democrats, and liberals.
However, there is a huge 20-point gap among independents who would choose a generic Republican over a generic Democrat by a margin of 48%-26%.
While the questioning is a bit different in the new Rasmussen survey than in past years, the gap is apparently historic and even stronger because the latest survey offered the alternatives of “some other candidate” and “not sure,” said the polling outfit.
Newt Gingrich, who rode an earlier GOP wave to the House speakership in 1994, has been bullish on the chances Republicans would take back control of the chamber. He just upped his prediction to a GOP gain of 40-70 seats. That would top the 63-seat gain by Republicans in 2010, the height of the Tea Party movement and the highest for both parties since 1948.
Citing the winning formula used by Virginia Gov.-elect Glenn Youngkin, Gingrich recently wrote, “I believe an immediate, consistent, and effective Republican application of the lessons of 2021 could lead to a 40- to 70-seat gain in the House; at least a four-seat gain in the Senate; and gains in governorships, state legislatures, and local offices including school boards next year.”
What's more, former President Donald Trump has stepped up his endorsement of candidates. He has a winning record in elections that he has endorsed candidates in. He is also quickly helping to nationalize the 2022 midterm elections as a vote on Biden's performance.
Republicans expect that as the polling settles in among House Democrats, older members will retire rather than face a tough election and loss. Just this morning, California Rep. Jackie Speier, a friend of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and survivor of the Jim Jones murder field in Guyana in 1978, announced she is retiring.
Yesterday, eight-term Vermont Sen. Patrick Leahy announced that he, too, will leave in 2022.
“Think we are going to see a wave between now and before Christmas,” said a GOP campaign official.
The new data and retirements are driven in part by poor polling for Biden, congressional Democrats, and their spend-and-tax plans that are landing as inflation and supply chain concerns are surging.
A memo from the National Republican Campaign Committee, for example, showed weak support for the president’s “Build Back Better” plan to spend $1.75 trillion on social programs.
The survey detailed in the memo shows that voters are more focused on the economy and immigration issues and favor GOP policies over Biden’s.
“Among these economy-focused voters, a generic Republican leads a generic Democrat by a 2:1 margin (58%-29%). When it comes to border security, Republicans hold an astonishing 83-point advantage, 87% Republican to 4% Democrat,” said the memo, posted below.......at web site.
A 120-seat pickup would be better. With 65 senators and a sitting Republican that actually wants to reform.
Sounds like a Biden impeachment trial is on the horizon. Hopefully we get a super majority in the senate also.
Have the chicken counters already promised Liz Cheney a Committee Chair?
And then the guys with remote administrator access logged onto the voting machines that weren’t supposed to be connected to the internet….
It will only matter if we elect different Republicans.
If we keep re-electing the same Assistant Democrats, they will keep assisting the Democrats.
Means that democrats are going to work overtime to destroy the country before the next election.
Clinton lost 52 in 1994 and Obama lost 63 and neither of them had performed as poorly as President as Biden.
Good point. Thx.
My thoughts precisely.
I would expect at least 70 seats. The 2010 record 63 seat pickup is going to be nothing compared to next November..
That’s nice. On the off chance it does happen, then so what?
There have been times in the not too distant past when the gop wing of the uniparty controlled both houses of Congress, the Presidency, had made most Supreme Court appointments, and controlled most state legislatures and governorships. And in the end, they governed pretty much like the democrat wing of the uniparty does. What’s going to change this time?
This is a losing game, folks. And we’re chumps if we play it.
Doesn’t matter. What matters is how many blue senate seats we can poach. Hopefully we keep those we have and reclaim Az., Ga., Nv., NH. Not counting on it.
Now would be a good time to replenish. Grassley, Lisa, Crapo, Hoeven need to go. Won’t happen. Shelby, Blunt,Burr,Portman, Toomey have the decency to go knowing they’re not welcome. If only Thone and Boozman would do the same.
In an election free of cheating and lamestream media lies; a150 seat pick up is realistic
Trump’s working that angle.
Agreed. These kinds of headlines use to give me hope years ago. Now they are virtually meaningless.
Most GOPers are worthless cowards who win elections then do NOTHING to deal with the wreckage left by leftists other than just trying to tinker around the edges of the existing malaise.
I left that worthless cuck party last January for not backing Trump and am never looking back. Independent Conservative from now on.
Plenty of time for a false flag psy ops to rally America behind Biden.
We are a year out. It seems like a Republican take over of Congress should be a slam dunk...now. I would caution everyone, especially GOP leaders from just assuming that it is automatic. Sure. Sit back and let Biden shoot himself in the foot. That seems a certainty. But, Republicans should get out in front and propose an alternate agenda. Give the voters something to vote FOR, not just against. It may be easy to get overconfident here, and you know the media will be proping up ol’ poopy pants as we get closer.
It’s simple; with no way to cheat another election, they will not have an election at all.
These knee jerk whining from the Democrat Marxist party propaganda bots here are without a shred of intellectual merit
It just the arrogant babbling of fools who mistakenly think whining about everything some how makes them sound intellectually superior
It doesn't. It just makes you all sound like ignorant petulant children having a tempetranrum because you cannot get 100% of your way all the time.
That how politics work in a Constitutional Republic. Best you can hope for is more good then bad. The perfection the Whiners Choir here constantly cry for is utterly unattainable
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