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OPINION: Historic pro-GOP voting gap revealed, potential 70-seat pickup
washingtonexaminer.com ^ | November 16, 2021 | Paul Bedard, Washington Secrets Columnist

Posted on 11/16/2021 3:53:36 PM PST by Liz

Voters socked by inflation and underwhelmed by President Joe Biden now favor Republicans in the 2022 midterm elections by a historic margin, prompting predictions of the largest gain in House seats in the modern voting era.

The latest Rasmussen Reports survey just out said likely voters favor Republicans over Democrats by 13 points, 51%-38%. The survey found that Democrats are only favored over Republicans among younger voters, black people, Democrats, and liberals.

However, there is a huge 20-point gap among independents who would choose a generic Republican over a generic Democrat by a margin of 48%-26%.

While the questioning is a bit different in the new Rasmussen survey than in past years, the gap is apparently historic and even stronger because the latest survey offered the alternatives of “some other candidate” and “not sure,” said the polling outfit.

Newt Gingrich, who rode an earlier GOP wave to the House speakership in 1994, has been bullish on the chances Republicans would take back control of the chamber. He just upped his prediction to a GOP gain of 40-70 seats. That would top the 63-seat gain by Republicans in 2010, the height of the Tea Party movement and the highest for both parties since 1948.

Citing the winning formula used by Virginia Gov.-elect Glenn Youngkin, Gingrich recently wrote, “I believe an immediate, consistent, and effective Republican application of the lessons of 2021 could lead to a 40- to 70-seat gain in the House; at least a four-seat gain in the Senate; and gains in governorships, state legislatures, and local offices including school boards next year.”

What's more, former President Donald Trump has stepped up his endorsement of candidates. He has a winning record in elections that he has endorsed candidates in. He is also quickly helping to nationalize the 2022 midterm elections as a vote on Biden's performance.

Republicans expect that as the polling settles in among House Democrats, older members will retire rather than face a tough election and loss. Just this morning, California Rep. Jackie Speier, a friend of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and survivor of the Jim Jones murder field in Guyana in 1978, announced she is retiring.

Yesterday, eight-term Vermont Sen. Patrick Leahy announced that he, too, will leave in 2022.

“Think we are going to see a wave between now and before Christmas,” said a GOP campaign official.

The new data and retirements are driven in part by poor polling for Biden, congressional Democrats, and their spend-and-tax plans that are landing as inflation and supply chain concerns are surging.

A memo from the National Republican Campaign Committee, for example, showed weak support for the president’s “Build Back Better” plan to spend $1.75 trillion on social programs.

The survey detailed in the memo shows that voters are more focused on the economy and immigration issues and favor GOP policies over Biden’s.

“Among these economy-focused voters, a generic Republican leads a generic Democrat by a 2:1 margin (58%-29%). When it comes to border security, Republicans hold an astonishing 83-point advantage, 87% Republican to 4% Democrat,” said the memo, posted below.......at web site.


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls; rasmussen
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To: Liz

With a year to go, there is lots of time for this to change.


21 posted on 11/16/2021 4:12:00 PM PST by marktwain (President Trump and his supporters are the Resistance. His opponents are the Reactionaries. )
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To: fhayek

Good Advice


22 posted on 11/16/2021 4:12:25 PM PST by MNJohnnie (They would have abandon leftism to achieve sanity. Freeper Olog-hai)
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To: UNGN

the only chair that bitch deserves is Ole Sparky. Ride the Lightning.


23 posted on 11/16/2021 4:13:22 PM PST by max americana (FIRED LEFTARD employees at our office every election since 2008 and enjoyed seeing them cry.)
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To: MNJohnnie

While I love the idea of a big GOP sweep, it is meaningless if McCarthy is leader in the House and McConnell is still leader in the Senate. They bend over for the Dems on a regular basis.


24 posted on 11/16/2021 4:13:25 PM PST by austinaero
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To: RKBA Democrat

So true


25 posted on 11/16/2021 4:14:33 PM PST by austinaero
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To: Liz

How much of a difference can we expect?

After the 1990’s, GOP majorities have never pushed back the really important communist gains... Think obamacare & immigration...

In fact, one of the key factors in the communist takeover of the nation was GOP conspiring with the communists to give us the tools for tyranny: FISA & Patriot Act & Homeland Security...

What are the odds that a communist route will remove all of the heaviest chains around our necks?

The most positive conclusion is: “Fat chance!”

The country is Stage 4 and standard GOP solutions equivalent to taking an aspirin will not restore lost freedoms & liberty...

We may be focusing on the wrong box...
I saw a dog pissing/watering on a tree the other day and I thought: Hmmm...


26 posted on 11/16/2021 4:16:33 PM PST by SuperLuminal (Where is another Sam Adams now that we desperately need him?)
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To: fhayek

You know the media will be propping up Bidung.........and besides he bribed them.

Biden’s tax breaks for local media are an effort to turn them into good li’l helpers.....
versions of leftist NPR or PBS, Bidung’s critic says


27 posted on 11/16/2021 4:17:42 PM PST by Liz (Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doesn't know which bathroom to use.)
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To: MachIV
"Agreed. These kinds of headlines use to give me hope years ago. Now they are virtually meaningless."

This one is more like "totally meaningless". Nearly 1 full year out from the election for one thing (what could possibly change in 12 months?), and district lines haven't even been redrawn yet in most states, but we need clickbait NOW.

28 posted on 11/16/2021 4:18:30 PM PST by PermaRag (We have SO many targets, and -- for now -- the means to see they get what they deserve.)
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To: Liz

Here’s hoping.

Would be great to hear Wolf Blitzer repeat his words he uttered following the 2010 House shakeup: “The Democrats are taking a shellacking!”

Hopefully, the new Republicans will have more backbone, but ...


29 posted on 11/16/2021 4:18:57 PM PST by TomGuy (!)
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To: Liz

IF Only ... if we only had honest elections. But we no longer do and the globalist who now manage the electronic voting systems are not going to let this happen. They cheated their way to a House majority by simply controlling the California ballot counts. They cheated their way to the White HOuse and now they have all the unJustice Department protection they need. I will be very surprised if the republicants even take control of the House by two seats. Evil is too far into power now ...


30 posted on 11/16/2021 4:20:17 PM PST by MHGinTN (A dispensation perspective is a powerful tool for discernment)
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To: Liz

He has endorsed Grassley.
I think he has endorsed Moran and Rubio as well.

The only GOP Senators worthy of re-election in my view are Paul, Johnson and Kennedy.
The rest are Bush League Republicans who will always be Assistant Democrats.
There will never be a Lindsay 2.0.


31 posted on 11/16/2021 4:20:57 PM PST by Lurkinanloomin ( (Natural born citizens are born here of citizen parents)(Know Islam, No Peace-No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: fhayek

Report: Republicans Roar Back ...... In of all places.....
The Philadelphia Suburbs.An area that was key to Bidens 2020 victory.
Breitbart ^ | 11/14/2021 | Joel B suggestingPollack
Posted on 11/14/2021, 11:13:59 AM by ChicagoConservative27

Republicans surged in the Philadelphia suburbs on both sides of the Pennsylvania-New Jersey state line in the off-year elections earlier this month, in an area that was key to Bidens 2020 victory.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


Republicans Gain Heavy House Edge in 2022 as Gerrymandered Maps Emerge
NYT via Yahoo | Nov 15, 2021 | by Reid J. Epstein and Nick Corasaniti | Posted by Oldeconomybuyer

EDITED Republicans are already poised to flip at least five seats in the closely divided House thanks to redrawn district maps ......

Republicans’ upper hand in the redistricting process, combined with plunging approval ratings for Biden and the Democratic Party, provides Repubs with what could be a nearly insurmountable advantage in the 2022 midterm elections and the next decade of House races.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


32 posted on 11/16/2021 4:24:51 PM PST by Liz (Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doesn't know which bathroom to use.)
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FR Is Running A FReepathon

Please Donate And End It
Click The Pic To Donate


33 posted on 11/16/2021 4:27:46 PM PST by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: Liz

Just an observation.

Seems to me that as long as the problems and issues that were a large part of the 2020 General Election continue to be ignored, there is not much point in talking about the 2022 midterm elections.


34 posted on 11/16/2021 4:28:11 PM PST by Howie66 (Let's Go Brandon!!)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

Having just spent an hour with a medical insurance
broker we agreed that Obamacare is still around
and the republicans thanks to Rino J. McCain
made sure we still have a crappy health care
system that is too expensive.

Now we see Medicare premiums inflation at
a new record increase.

When these senators and congressmen get
in healthcare is JOB # 1.


35 posted on 11/16/2021 4:30:05 PM PST by Zenjitsuman (f)
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To: Pilgrim's Progress

Biden won’t let up. Ds are willing to accept losses to put socialism in place, knowing it won’t be repealed.

House Majority is great, but overriding Ds is the only way we save the republic, repeal all the new socialist programs, finish the wall, etc. but a Senate super majority isn’t within reach at this time.

We could get close with another trashing in ‘24.


36 posted on 11/16/2021 4:34:26 PM PST by chiller (Davey Crockett said: "Be sure you're right. Then go ahead'. I'm going ahead.)
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To: Liz

“The Wolf: Well, let’s not start sucking each other’s d*cks just yet.” - Pulp Fiction


37 posted on 11/16/2021 4:35:31 PM PST by KC_Conspirator
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To: MNJohnnie

Well, they were pretty damned close bad as Klinton and Obummer. I remember them both. The biggest difference may be that neither of them lost country like Afghanistan in a whiff.


38 posted on 11/16/2021 4:38:21 PM PST by KC_Conspirator
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To: Liz

That depends on what McConnell and McCarthy do to not depress
GOP voters. Bills like the infrastructure Bill won’t make a lot of MAGA
Voters get out and vote.


39 posted on 11/16/2021 4:39:21 PM PST by tennmountainman ( Less Lindell CONS, More AZ Style Audits)
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To: tennmountainman

That depends on what McConnell and McCarthy do to not depress
GOP voters. Bills like the infrastructure Bill won’t make a lot of MAGA
Voters get out and vote.


They’ve got Trump GOTV for assistant Democrats. It’s pretty much the GOP’s dream scenario: Trump off the ballot and GOTV for them.


40 posted on 11/16/2021 4:41:51 PM PST by lodi90
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