Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

What Virginia's early vote tells us about a tight-as-a-tick governor's race
The Hill ^ | 10/28/2021 | Reid Wilson

Posted on 10/29/2021 7:33:40 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

Nearly three-quarters of a million Virginians have voted ahead of the closely watched race between former Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D) and former Carlyle Group chief executive Glenn Youngkin (R), a contest that will provide a critical read on the political mood ahead of next year’s midterm elections.

Polling in the race is unanimous: Almost no matter the model a pollster uses to divine which voters will show up, McAuliffe and Youngkin are tied. It has been more than a month since any survey showed one candidate with an advantage outside the margin of error; the last six public surveys give McAuliffe an average advantage of 0.8 percentage points — effectively nothing.

Early voting isn’t much more help. Voters in Virginia do not register by party, making it impossible to know whether more Democrats or more Republicans are showing up to cast their ballots.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: governor; race; virginia; vote
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-48 next last
Northern Virginia is turning out (relatively) huge. That makes me nervous.
1 posted on 10/29/2021 7:33:40 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Fear the walking “brain dead.”


2 posted on 10/29/2021 7:35:25 AM PDT by Perseverando (Antifa, BLM, RINOs, Islamonazis, Marxists, Commucrats, DemoKKKrats: It's a Godlessness disorder!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Don’t worry. The outcome is already determined. The headlines are already written.

The democrat wins.

The vote is just for show.


3 posted on 10/29/2021 7:39:46 AM PDT by cableguymn (We need a redneck in the white house.... But the fact checkers said thein story was false!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Elections in this country seem to have been “tight as a tick” at least since Bush-Gore in 2000.

1) If the country is truly so perfectly divided, why do the Democrats feel free to govern as near dictators when they win (”elections have consequences” — Barack Obama)?
2) If the Democrats are power-mad after close elections, why then are the Republicans so willing to compromise, power-share and reach across the aisle, when they get back into power? Is it ever really our turn?
3) Are all the elections “close” simply so that the manipulators behind the scenes can always just decide for themselves who the winner will be?


4 posted on 10/29/2021 7:41:40 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Alec Baldwin has killed more people than the Jan 6 protesters. And he will serve less jail time.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Golly gee. Without accurate polls how are Democrats to know how many votes will need to be created? It’s always better when they have an accurate number, that way they won’t have to shut down the counting during the night in order to have time to manufacture more votes. It’s just too awkward when they have to do that. Right? So, here’s hoping for good polling.


5 posted on 10/29/2021 7:42:30 AM PDT by Sir Bangaz Cracka (Slamming dat white cracka'a head into dat sidewalk causin he be scared)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

I would be more concerned with ‘Dominion’


6 posted on 10/29/2021 7:46:08 AM PDT by Vaquero (Don't pick a fight with an old guy. If he is too old to fight, he'll just kill you. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

If mail-in voting is allowed for any reason, the Dems will win hands down. And I believe the Dems made this the law as soon as they seized power several years ago.


7 posted on 10/29/2021 7:52:25 AM PDT by fwdude (Proudly UNvaxxed )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Vaquero
We don't have Dominion in my county. I don't know about others.
8 posted on 10/29/2021 7:52:49 AM PDT by palmer (Democracy Dies Six Ways from Sunday)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27
I will call it for Fox News ( 5 days ahead) right now. 🚨 Breaking: McAuliffe wins reelection.

You know it and I know it the cheating machine is on full throttle as we type.

9 posted on 10/29/2021 7:54:16 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ClearCase_guy

If the Republican is up in the polls, regardless how much of a lead over the Democrat, the race is to be described as “tight”. It’s “narrative prep”, necessary as a predicate for future news stories explaining that the Democrat won the election, and how that happened. Via election fraud and voter fraud, naturally.


10 posted on 10/29/2021 7:54:41 AM PDT by one guy in new jersey
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

McAuliffe is a terrible candidate.

Biden is a terrible president.

Yet the race is still relatively close.

Youngkin will be very lucky indeed if he pulls it out in a deep blue state.


11 posted on 10/29/2021 7:54:46 AM PDT by Starboard
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

What I fail to comprehend is WHY it’s so damned close.
Have Americans become THAT STUPID?

APPARENTLY.


12 posted on 10/29/2021 7:55:27 AM PDT by ZULU (HOOVER, FREEH, MUELLER, COMEY, WRAY, SUCCESSION OF STATISTS)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ClearCase_guy
Elections in this country seem to have been “tight as a tick” at least since Bush-Gore in 2000.

"Tight as a tick" elections are really statistically impossible as frequently as they seem to occur, meaning they are engineered as cover for election theft.

Even very recently, survey after survey has identified the country as leaning right of moderate on many issues. Don't tell me that the most radical Democratic Party ever is pulling people from this side. It's a fabricated lie.

13 posted on 10/29/2021 7:55:27 AM PDT by fwdude (Proudly UNvaxxed )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: ClearCase_guy
If the country is truly so perfectly divided, why do the Democrats feel free to govern as near dictators when they win

Democrats press their advantages as much as they can. Republicans go squishy.

14 posted on 10/29/2021 7:55:51 AM PDT by Fido969 (45 is Superman!Al gun, I believe. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Please disclose your source for this supposed “Huge” turnout ? News sources I have read say turnout in NOVA has been light compared to previous elections. I anxiously await your response.


15 posted on 10/29/2021 8:00:13 AM PDT by chris haney (Apache)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

Sounds like a classic scenario of a close election where democrats counting the ballots will tip it over to McAuliffe.


16 posted on 10/29/2021 8:02:23 AM PDT by robel
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

this will go in a predictable manner.

fairfax county will be the last county to bring in all their votes.

they’ll wait till every other county in the state has given their final tally.

then fairfax will create the votes needed to win the election.

Those votes will come in a vote dump between 4 and 6 in the morning—the day after the election.


17 posted on 10/29/2021 8:07:41 AM PDT by ckilmer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Perseverando




18 posted on 10/29/2021 8:10:06 AM PDT by knarf
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

Thank GWB for turning ghis state blue.


19 posted on 10/29/2021 8:10:52 AM PDT by TakebackGOP
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: ChicagoConservative27

“Almost no matter the model a pollster uses to divine which voters will show up, McAuliffe and Youngkin are tied.”

False. Fox News and the Republicans’ pollsters separately predict solid Youngkin victory. And Fox News has been very tilted against Republicans.


20 posted on 10/29/2021 8:12:54 AM PDT by dangus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-48 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson