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CDC-funded study: In May, U.S. reached level that some experts say is 'herd immunity' against Covid-19
Sharyl Attkisson ^ | SEPTEMBER 12, 2021 | Sharyl Attkisson

Posted on 09/18/2021 6:33:49 AM PDT by george76

Research shows the U.S. had reached what some scientists believed to be "herd immunity" status against Covid-19 last May, with more than 80% of the population immune to Covid either through natural infection or vaccination.

And the actual number of immune Americans may be higher.

That's because the new study, funded by the Centers or Disease Control (CDC), factored in only 20% of the population as being protected through natural infection after recovering from Covid-19. But over three months ago, CDC estimated the naturally-infected population to be substantially higher: more than 120 million or 36%. And after the spread of Delta variant, and the passage of three more months, experts say the percentage of naturally immune is much higher than the 36% estimate, though CDC has not publicly updated its number in months.

Still, even assuming the study's lower estimate of naturally immune, and adding in the vaccinated, researchers concluded 83% of the population was immune from Covid-19 as of last May.

One confounding factor is that the vaccines are less effective at preventing Covid infection and spread than hoped.

Many fully-vaccinated patients have gotten Covid-19 in recent months, and thousands of fully-vaccinated have been hospitalized or died of Covid in the U.S. Authorities say that's still a tiny number compared to all who have gotten vaccinated. But they are now looking into different spacing between double-doses and the possibility of additional boosters shots for those hoping to develop immunity through vaccination.

CDC stopped tracking Covid-19 infections among the fully-vaccinated on May 1, when they began to get increasingly common, unless the patients end up hospitalized or dead.

According to CDC, it knows of 14,115 fully-vaccinated people who got Covid-19 and were hospitalized or died (as of September 7).

Some experts now say because the vaccines are not preventing Covid-19 infection, or spread of Covid-19, a higher threshold than initially thought will be necessary to reach herd immunity.

Some scientists hoped a 70% immune rate would do the trick and defeat Covid-19. Now, some are saying it may take 90%. Some experts believe the U.S. has reached that level.

Meantime, the Biden Administration has announced its intention to force 100 million Americans, even the naturally-immune, to get vaccinated for Covid-19 (if they aren't already), or be fired from their jobs. Officials haven't explained why a mandate would come at a time when scientists agree the population has reached or neared herd immunity.

They also haven't explained why vaccination would be required of the naturally-immune, when the bulk of studies show that immunity gained after infection is superior and longer-lasting than vaccine-induced immunity.

Some public health experts dispute the bulk of the studies and say that those who have been infected with Covid-19 can benefit from vaccination. In December, CDC officials got caught falsely stating that studies showed a benefit.

An article in Science also falsely reported that a study found benefits to vaccination for those who already had natural immunity from natural infection. (See #23 here.) Science later corrected the article when a reader flagged the false information.

The Biden Administration hasen't said why illegal border crossers are not required to show proof of vaccination or a negative Covid-test; are not tested before they're released in the U.S.; and are not required to be vaccinated like many legal Americans will be. On the other hand, U.S. citizens returning from abroad are not allowed into the U.S. without proof of immunity or a negative Covid test.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Kansas
KEYWORDS: attkisson; covid; covid19; herd; herdimmunity; immunity; natural; naturalimmunity; sharyl; sharylattkisson
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To: george76

Ergo the CDC guidance to drop mask recommendations for the fully vaccinated as of May 13.

Of course obfuscated by Chairman Xoe for transportation, federal buildings, and anyplace else he can rule by dictate.


21 posted on 09/18/2021 7:41:04 AM PDT by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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To: Wpin
That is not true...the breakthrough rate is under 3% almost no hospitalizations are with vaccinated folks. You are reading nonsense...try to use your independent mind.

Biden makes Baghdad Bob look good | the Aspen beat

Tell that to the Texas delegation. Joe, I mean Wpin go back to your basement and be a good little old what ever you are. The vaccines are completely worthless against the now dominant variants, masks do nothing positive for anyone except those who are working in dusty environments or are painting, and in a just a few months death and serious injury from these experimental vaccines exceeded all other actual vaccines combined in over 30 years.

22 posted on 09/18/2021 7:43:42 AM PDT by fireman15
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To: All

There is a lot of bad information in this thread.

I don’t really need to say anything more than that.


23 posted on 09/18/2021 7:52:29 AM PDT by Owen
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To: mewzilla

Right. CoupFlu was all about an election. It was an excuse for mail in ballots, drop boxes and other forms of fraud.


24 posted on 09/18/2021 7:53:06 AM PDT by OrioleFan (Republicans believe every day is July 4th, Democrats believe every day is April 15th.for corruptiion)
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To: Wpin

Follow your own advice. Look at the research and statistics coming out of Israel and UK.

Stop mindlessly regurgitating what you watch on TV.


25 posted on 09/18/2021 7:54:53 AM PDT by hopespringseternal
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To: Wpin
From your link, “The analysis was released in May of 2021”. The data they used came from a time period before that. The “Delta Variant” was not a recognized problem in the US until after May.

Also from your link, “With this staggering statistic, Andy Slavitt, a former adviser to the Biden administration on COVID-19 suggested that 98% to 99% of the Americans dying of the coronavirus are unvaccinated.” You are buying into pure propaganda from the Biden administration. It has all been disproven over and over and over again.

Currently in the USA as well as most other highly vaccinated countries in the world most people hospitalized people with Covid, and those dying with Covid have been vaccinated. Here is just one study originating from the CDC.

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/30/cdc-study-shows-74percent-of-people-infected-in-massachusetts-covid-outbreak-were-fully-vaccinated.html

Riddle me this grasshopper? If the vaccines worked then why are the “vaccinated” so worked up about the “unvaccinated” and why are the worthless masks required to be worn by everyone?

You have to be willfully ignorant to believe the nonsense that you do.

26 posted on 09/18/2021 8:03:01 AM PDT by fireman15
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To: hopespringseternal

I manage data for about 70,000 people out of those about 40,000 are vaccinated. We are a moderna site. I ran the numbers yesterday,we are not seeing a drop of in protection but we just passed the 8 month mark for completion of the first vaccinations. It is very apparent went Delta hit just looking at the scatter plot. Protection dropped from about 90+% to about 70% but we are doing a lot more asymptomatic testing now so the data isn’t clean, protection from symptomatic disease is higher than 70% but I can’t say by how much. For Delta breakthrough, cases are just as likely to occur in someone vaccinated last month as 8 months ago.

We are still seeing more 90% protection from hospitalization but the data set isn’t clean enough to be more specific.

We haven’t had a death since starting monoclonal antibody treatment so fortunately I can’t calculate protection against mortality.

We are not seeing the deaths and morbidity after vaccination reported on FR but I have a fairly small sample size.


27 posted on 09/18/2021 8:14:33 AM PDT by dangerdoc
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To: george76

We have herd immunity to covid. Now we just need herd immunity to the jabs.


28 posted on 09/18/2021 8:14:33 AM PDT by Pollard (Some people like to argue just to argue.)
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To: george76

It doesn’t say how the number of previously infected was calculated. If it’s based on PCR test results, I don’t think that number is reliable.

A herd immunity calculation based on the above plus vaccines with waning efficacy would seem to be fluid.


29 posted on 09/18/2021 8:17:44 AM PDT by Ceebass (USA RIP 1776-2021)
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To: Wpin

Our problem isn’t quack doctors, it’s captured institution. Your sources are not valid.


30 posted on 09/18/2021 8:29:38 AM PDT by Dead Dog
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To: george76
The Biden Administration hasen't said why illegal border crossers are not required to show proof of vaccination or a negative Covid-test; are not tested before they're released in the U.S.; and are not required to be vaccinated like many legal Americans will be. On the other hand, U.S. citizens returning from abroad are not allowed into the U.S. without proof of immunity or a negative Covid test.

More reason to state:

"Zero COVID" is unattainable and DELUSIONAL!

Posted on 9/17/2021, 11:13:59 AM by lightman

31 posted on 09/18/2021 8:32:31 AM PDT by Grampa Dave ( In your private, business, social and whatever life!: "All ways, ask Cui Bono?"!)
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To: fireman15

We don’t know who or what to believe. That quote came from the director of the CDD”

99.5% Of People Killed By Covid In Last 6 Months Were Unvaccinated, Data Suggests

Jemima McEvoyForbes Staff, Business

I’m a British-born reporter covering breaking news for Forbes.

TOPLINE: CDC Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky said at a Thursday White House briefing that preliminary data reviewed by her agency suggests 99.5% of the people who died from Covid-19 over the past six months were unvaccinated, a stunning statistic in support of her assertion that nearly every virus-linked death is now preventable.

Coronavirus Pandemic Causes Climate Of Anxiety And Changing Routines In America:

Kingsbrook Jewish Medical Center employees transport a deceased patient to a refrigerated truck on ... Walensky said the early data “from a collection of states” indicates nearly every coronavirus victim since January—a month after the U.S. first began administering shots—was not vaccinated against the virus.

She emphasized this as a reflection of the efficacy of vaccines, which she insisted have made virtually all virus-linked deaths entirely avoidable.

The CDC director juxtaposed the positive signals of vaccine efficacy with the threat of the more infectious delta variant, which she said now makes up an estimated 25% of new cases.

Walensky expressed particular concern about 1,000 counties (primarily based in the South, East and Midwest) that she said have vaccination rates of 30%.

These communities are “our most vulnerable,” Walensky said, noting the CDC has already started seeing “increased rates of disease” in some of the areas due to the spread of the mutant delta strain.

CRUCIAL QUOTE
“Any suffering or death from Covid-19 tragic,” Walensky said. “With vaccines available across the country, the suffering and loss we are now seeing is entirely avoidable.”

SURPRISING FACTS:
A previous analysis by the Associated Press found 99.2% of the more than 18,000 coronavirus-linked deaths reported in May were among unvaccinated individuals, with just 150 dying from “breakthrough” infections (in fully vaccinated people). However, the Thursday statistic from the CDC offers a much broader look at the link between vaccinations and Covid-19 deaths.

TANGENT:
As top public health officials continue to sound the alarm about the threat of the delta variant, the Biden administration announced Thursday it will be deploying rapid response teams across the U.S. to the hot spots where the strain is flourishing. This will involve a combination of both on-the-ground and virtual assistance, explained White House Covid-19 czar Jeff Zients. He did not specify exactly where these “surge response” teams will be sent, but suggested it may be the 1,000 counties highlighted by Walensky.

KEY BACKGROUND:

Though almost every state is reopened, vaccination rates have drastically slowed across the country with less than half of all eligible Americans fully inoculated. The vaccine rollout has unfolded with stark divisions along party lines, as signaled by the fact that all 18 states that surpassed President Biden’s goal of having 70% of residents at least partially vaccinated by July 4 voted for him in the 2020 election. A handful—Mississippi, Louisiana, Wyoming and Alabama—are yet to surpass even a 50% vaccination rate.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/jemimamcevoy/2021/07/01/995-of-people-killed-by-covid-in-last-6-months-were-unvaccinated-data-suggests/?sh=28e5fe80493d


32 posted on 09/18/2021 9:02:14 AM PDT by Grampa Dave ( In your private, business, social and whatever life!: "All ways, ask Cui Bono?"!)
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To: george76

Fauci: “What? And I’m out of the spotlight? No way.”
Big Pharma: “And they won’t need our millions of dollars of shots a month?”
Medical Testing Companies: “And tens of millions of Covid tests for vax passports will end?”

Like the major oil company owners when told about the new 80 miles per gallon invention for cars: “I didn’t see anything, did you?” “Nope.” “Who is that inventor?” “Uh, you mean who was he?”


33 posted on 09/18/2021 9:10:31 AM PDT by frank ballenger (You have summoned up a thundercloud. You're gonna hear from me. Anthem by Leonard Cohen)
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To: Owen
There is a lot of bad information in this thread.
I don't really need to say anything more than that.

Folks, the world-o-meter trend follower has spoken, there is nothing more to say... Of course in his view anything disparaging the truly awful experimental vaccines is bad information. And wait, world-o-meter charts show that "new cases" of the “delta variant” have already peaked in the USA. Owen where are you getting your info from now?

Let me give my own abbreviated chronology. Just before the Afghanistan debacle Covid was taking a back seat in the news and the Arizona audit was making Democrats freak out... So we get this wag the dog reaction out of the Biden administration that they thought would make him a big hero. Instead it went spectacularly bad and his numbers dropped to new lows causing them to freak out again.

They had to get Afghanistan out of the news so they launched a full on propaganda war on Covid and the “unvaccinated”. What we had was a surge in “cases” mostly from places where it gets uncomfortable in the summer and people hang out indoors where the new more contagious and completely “vaccine resistant” “Delta Variant” spreads easily.

The Biden administration wanted to take some sort of provocative action before the “Delta” fizzled out as it has already started to do in places where it became a problem first. Why? ...to get Afghanistan out of the news cycle and so they could take credit for the fizzle.

Delta is a blessing in disguise... it is providing actual immune responses from people who somehow were not exposed to the original Fauci gain of function flu last year and earlier this year. Covid has been with us for eternity and will continue to be with us in the future but people are now becoming much more resistant to it, despite and not because of the profit taking from big pharma.

Not counting the stolen election... the biggest downside to this entire Covid fiasco is that people will be rightfully suspicious of all vaccines in the future. Millions of people will die from fully preventable disease outbreaks because of this. Because yes there are truly awful diseases that had been eliminated from this country because of vaccination programs. And now we have a huge influx of people entering the country carrying these diseases. Covid is a bad joke by comparison.

34 posted on 09/18/2021 9:10:59 AM PDT by fireman15
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To: Grampa Dave

Here are some Covid19 statistics reflecting total number of deaths.

Source: https://www.statista.com/statistics/1254488/us-share-of-total-covid-deaths-by-age-group/

As of September 15, 2021
Total number of deaths 658,755

Out of total population of 331,089,936

Total death count for 50yr olds to 85+yr olds 622,362.

Subtract the 622,362 from 658,755 = 36,392 deaths of those 49 and under. Those numbers are epidemic totals.

Without a breakdown of total population by age cohorts it seems that a seat of the pants guess tha about half the population under 50 is in little danger of dying from Covid19...so why the frantic push for 100% vaccinations. CDC, NIH, and every major hospital is aware of these numbers.

For a reality check here are the leading causes of death in the USA:

Heart disease: 659,041
Cancer: 599,601
Accidents (unintentional injuries): 173,040
Chronic lower respiratory diseases: 156,979
Stroke (cerebrovascular diseases): 150,005
Alzheimer’s disease: 121,499
Diabetes: 87,647
Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis: 51,565
Influenza and pneumonia: 49,783
Intentional self-harm (suicide): 47,511


35 posted on 09/18/2021 9:21:39 AM PDT by Covenantor (We are ruled...by liars who refuse them news, and fools who can not govern. " Chesterton)
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To: fireman15

In order to get that data they have to include all the data prior to the vaccine. It’s lying with statistics. As the data starts to change they then only use data to June. That’s how the FDA approved Phizer vax and stated 95% effective even though it’s effectively dropped to 40% the month prior. They only looked at the data submitted not their own current data.

We get lied to over and over. Most don’t know it. Parrots.


36 posted on 09/18/2021 9:25:08 AM PDT by wgmalabama (We will find out if the Vac or virus risk was the correct choice - can we put truth above narrative)
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To: george76

This is a story from over two weeks ago making the case for herd immunity then.:

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-9952555/CDC-study-estimates-80-Americans-protected-COVID-19.html

and I agree - remove all restrictions, including masks, so we can get back to living!!!


37 posted on 09/18/2021 9:25:16 AM PDT by elpadre ( )
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To: dangerdoc

US hospitals were given financial incentive up front to game the numbers, and many simply do not test the vaccinated and the CDC isn’t counting either.

Even if you honestly want to you aren’t going to get good data in the US.

As a result, we appear to be having a totally different experience than any other place in the world. It just isn’t plausible.


38 posted on 09/18/2021 9:25:31 AM PDT by hopespringseternal
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To: Whenifhow; null and void; aragorn; EnigmaticAnomaly; kalee; Kale; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; bgill; ...

p


39 posted on 09/18/2021 9:27:12 AM PDT by bitt (<img src=' 'width=50%>)
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To: Grampa Dave

The Forbes article was based on data that you quote and linked to was derived from data that added in all the “Covid deaths” before the vaccines were even available.

“Walensky said the early data “from a collection of states” indicates nearly every coronavirus victim since January—a month after the U.S. first began administering shots—was not vaccinated against the virus.”

This data was hugely inflated by adding deaths that had almost nothing to do with Covid. And of course in the beginning the “experimental vaccines” were effective. The reason for using mRNA technology was because “experts” knew the virus would mutate within a short period of time and render traditional vaccines worthless. It has now been demonstrated conclusively that the mRNA experiment was a colossal failure.

Any conclusions drawn from data that came before “Delta” and other variants became the prevalent strains is basically worthless. This is a dynamic situation. Fortunately the primary issue with not enough “hospital beds” is really just a problem with a shortage of nurses caused largely by vaccine mandates that are causing a large percentage of nurses to quit. Once this is rectified everything will eventually get back to normal.


40 posted on 09/18/2021 9:27:34 AM PDT by fireman15
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