Posted on 06/18/2021 8:14:40 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
China officially further relaxed its family planning policy, allowing couples to give birth to three children," the Communist Party's Global Times announced on May 31. "The move aims to improve China's population structure and actively respond to the country's aging problem."
No, the move won't do that. A three-child policy will be even less successful than China's two-child policy, which itself was a complete flop. So watch out: Beijing could—and probably will—take the next step and outright force couples to have children.
Mao Zedong, the founder of the People's Republic of China, believed there should be as many Chinese in the world as possible. His pro-growth attitude resulted in 5.9 births per female of child-bearing age at the beginning of the 1970s. The rate, of course, was unsustainable, and Beijing's technocrats adopted the mostly voluntary wan, xi, shao—"late, long, few"—program to limit population growth.
The birth rate fell in half in less than a decade. Deng Xiaoping, Mao's successor, was not satisfied, however. He instituted the one-child policy in 1979 as one of his first initiatives after assuming power. During the existence of this coercive program, "probably the largest social experiment in human history," China's total fertility rate (TFR)—the number of children per female reaching child-bearing age—declined from 2.9 to an estimated 1.05 in 2015.
Beijing went to a two-child policy beginning the first day of 2016. The policy worked—for one year. Births increased in 2016 but then fell in each of 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020.
Beijing claims the country's 2020 TFR was 1.3. But Yi Fuxian of the University of Wisconsin-Madison told me the TFR last year was an extremely low 0.90. Yi's estimate is consistent with 2015's TFR.
Replacement TFR for most societies is generally 2.1, although some think China's replacement rate is actually 2.2
(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...
Just about nobody thinks Beijing will be able to prevent the predicted collapse. “The three-child policy will not work any better at encouraging births than the two-child policy,” Reggie Littlejohn, the president of Women’s Rights Without Frontiers, told Newsweek. “I predict that China’s birth rate will continue to decline.”
“The only way forward is to abolish the draconian family-planning system and let every Chinese couple choose its family size freely,” Susan Yoshihara, president of the American Council on Women, Peace and Security, said to me.
Many, including sociologists Wang Feng and Yong Cai writing in The New York Times, argue China is not about to abolish family-planning rules because that would result in losing a mechanism of control. The Communist Party under Xi Jinping is moving China back to Mao-era totalitarianism, so officials do not surrender opportunities to micromanage the lives of the Chinese. As Littlejohn says, “the Womb Police are still in business.”
Are they going to let Hunter Biden loose in the country?
“You men! Have sex with those women!”
“awwwww....” (not)
Aside, children are a blessing from the Lord but the Left prefer a certain fallen angel’s medical procedure to a blessing....
This concept of ‘forced procreation’ might be a control device that even Red China could not truly implement or enforce. I think there idea is to charge fees if the couple doesn’t have ‘enough’ children, returning the fees once they do have ‘enough’ children.
Not gonna work. Some people in China grew up with One Child Policy drummed into their brains. It’s not easy to simply recalibrate your personal expectations, one generation later, just because the Govt. tells you to.
China and the United States have about the same number of women in the workforce. Once women have jobs they become much less interested/able to have a bunch of kids.
I don’t see either country going back to a more traditional society that might boost birth rates.
Death by Snoo Snoo?
China wants increased population for purposes of sending overseas, particularly for colonizing Africa. US news media almost never mentions the huge migration of Chinese into Africa. They sometimes China’s financial investment or military base establishment. The problem of Chinese people swarming into Africa (mostly illegal) is usually kept hush.
China wants increased population for purposes of sending overseas, particularly for colonizing Africa. US news media almost never mentions the huge migration of Chinese into Africa. They sometimes mention China’s financial investment or military base establishment. The problem of Chinese PEOPLE SWARMING INTO AFRICA (mostly illegally) is usually kept hush.
Can we send them our men that “can get pregnant”?
Sometimes Tanzanian & Kenyan news sources in Swahili language touch on the Chinese migration/colonization problem, and the CHI-PARTHEID discrimination/racism Chinese actually impose against African people (not allowing them in Chinese stores, shooting them when they protests, etc.) US media is not interested in covering these matters for some reason.
Once they get the monkey-human hybrid thing worked out, the problem will take care of itself.
“China wants increased population for purposes of sending overseas, particularly for colonizing Africa. “
No, they want more children because the birth rate is below replacement rate.
They not-breeding themselves out of existence. In a society built on low cost labor you need lots of workers. As the number of workers falls the price to hire them rises. If they reach the point where the majority of the women are beyond child bearing years they population does not decrease; It implodes. They’re looking at going from 1.4 billion people to 500 million in fifty years if they do not do something.
reason #2: yuan
reason #3: see 1&2 above.
Yes, it IS because China wants increased population for purposes of sending overseas, particularly for colonizing Africa.
CCP officials have openly stated their intent to shift massive numbers of Chinese nationals into Africa through the years, and that is exactly what China has been doing.
Birth rate is not below replacement rate. Ignore fake statistics take a look at Chinese towns and cities lolz
BUT.... higher birth rate is needed for swarming into Africa.
That’s why China needs more people.
“1.4 billion people to 500 million in fifty years”
LOLZ you have to be a dolt to believe that propaganda!!!!!!
Gordon Chang is the John Bolton of China.
Ping.
“Birth rate is not below replacement rate. Ignore fake statistics take a look at Chinese towns and cities”
_________________
I never knew you could tell the birth rate of a nation just by looking at it’s cities and towns. I guess we don’t need demographers anymore.
[Strangelove's plan for post-nuclear war survival involves living underground with a 10:1 female-to-male ratio]
General "Buck" Turgidson : Doctor, you mentioned the ratio of ten women to each man. Now, wouldn't that necessitate the abandonment of the so-called monogamous sexual relationship, I mean, as far as men were concerned?
Dr. Strangelove : Regrettably, yes. But it is, you know, a sacrifice required for the future of the human race.
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