China releases population census with enormous implications for the country's future

YouTube ^ | May 11, 2021 | Deutsche Welle

[SunkenCiv]

China's population is growing at the slowest pace in decades. That's according to the latest census data out this morning. There are currently 1.4 billion people living in China. That's just over 5 -percent more than a decade ago. But what has many in Beijing worried: the birth rate remains weak and the population is getting older. The number of Chinese citizens between 15 and 59 has dropped by 7 percent, while the number of people over 60 continues to rise. A demographic shift like this is likely to have significant economic and political implications for the world's second biggest economy.

China releases population census with enormous implications for the country's future | May 11, 2021 | DW News

[SunkenCiv]

China is headed into a sharp decline in population by 2040, when they get to that lovely topheavy demographic, but the eventual rise of the Chinese economy was foreseen at least as long ago as WWII, it was noted by US General Joseph Stilwell (bio by Barbara Tuchman). Meanwhile, the US will have to, and will, change what it does and how it does it. The Demagogic Party, its violent stooges, and some parasitic criminal growth (like Soros) is the main impediment to that change.

[NorseViking]

Not really that great a problem, given that they don’t have social security to speak of,and a third of population still living in squalor in provinces.

[SunkenCiv]

The World a Century from Now
the current writer, et al | December 31 2004 | SunkenCiv, et al
Posted on 12/31/2004, 3:46:20 PM by SunkenCiv
17 posted on 1/21/2007, 1:43:36 AM by SunkenCiv (”In theory, theory and practice are the same, but in practice, they’re not.” — John Rummel)
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/1311725/posts?page=17#17

[snip] The population of the Earth was about one billion in 1900, and that number shocked and sickened the folks who had tried to turn the entire planet into EuroDisney. We hit the three billion mark about the time I started seventh grade. Sometime in the past ten or so years we’ve crossed (variously reported) six or possibly seven billion.

IMHO, the population of the US will rise to at least 1.5 billion, and as much as 3 billion, by 2100 A.D. China’s population will decline to about 300 million by that time. India’s population will peak in about thirty years, and then begin to decline, while the Moslem population of India rises as a percentage. The population of the Middle East will rise somewhat, but with most of the increase being in Egypt, Turkey, and Iran.

Western Europe’s European population will decline, in some places vanish, replaced by African and Middle Eastern immigrants, except in Italy. Even at current rates, and figuring for longevity and attrition, by 2100 Germany’s population will exceed Russia’s. [/snip]

The year 2034, your predictions?
Posted on 8/3/2014, 1:28:03 AM by MNDude
62 posted on 8/3/2014, 6:14:06 PM by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
https://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3188319/posts?page=62#62

[snip] By 2034 the oldest baby boomer will be 88, and the youngest 74 (1946-1960). Life expectancy had been rising, but in 20 years we’ll have been in a puzzling sideways phase for about that long. By 2040 at least half of the youngest will be deceased, so by 2034 at least half of the baby boom itself will be deceased.
The population of the US is rising more quickly than most (all?) industrialized countries, nearly one half of that increase is due to immigration, and nearly one half of that is illegal immigration. By 2034, given a 2 percent annual growth rate (that looks mighty ambitious, but historically recent immigrants have very high birth rates, and we’re only talking about one generation from now), the 315 million we currently have will push up to about 450 million (without figuring in deaths in that interval). By the end of the 21st century the US population will be between 1 and 3 billion. Fully half of the AD 2100 population will be Roman Catholic.
Most of the growth in US population will be urban, making most of the urban areas of the US an unlivable third world hellholes, like Minneapolis has become in a similar 20 year interval. Places now considered fair game for punchlines — such as Detroit — will by contrast have become havens for urban Americans (as opposed to urban immigrants).
The population of Mexico will be in decline, and not merely because of the egress to America. Similar population declines will happen in most of Latin America. [/snip]

Predictions: 1987 Time Capsule of Predictions on 2012 by Sci-Fi Authors
https://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/2910582/posts

[Boogieman]

Things happen when you abort all your females.

[Vigilanteman]

Another good side effect of an aging population is fewer psychopathic criminals. Generally, people who make it past age 50 are less inclined to steal, burgle, rape and murder.

Our county skirted an Obama administration ruling to build more section 8 housing by designing it for and limiting it to residents aged 50 and older.

[Brian Griffin]

Maybe we can give China 2000 ‘Biden’ variety Yuan money trees.

[bert]

China birth rate 11.59 births per 1,000 inhabitants
American birth rate 11.968 births per 1000 inhabitants

Figures are for 2018

That is why the democrats are permitting open borders. They need to populate the city strong holds

[Track9]

So their census numbers washed all the plague deaths into low birth rates. Isn’t that convenient

[nathanbedford]

Those are regard shrinking population with alarm often do so because they believe that economy must be driven by consumption. Yet, successful economies of Imperial Britain, the economic miracle of Germany after the war, the similar rebound of Japan and, especially, the phenomenal rise of China all came through establishing a mercantilist economy.

I believe it is folly to base an economy on consumption, consumption is the bonus for successful mercantilist economy. Yet, our politicians and our Davos elitist calculate to do just that.

We left the agricultural revolution long ago, indeed the Industrial Revolution is giving way to the digital revolution, an age in which one might ask how many coolies can a Chinese robot replace? The time will come when huge population masses will not be regarded as necessary for a Ponzi scheme called Social Security nor will it be regarded necessary for a healthy economy. Certainly, masses of people are more of a target in time of war than an asset. In a war that will be fought with satellites, drones and keyboards whole populations can be wiped out with the stroke of a key causing the sabotage of electric grids or water systems and millions to die.

As one who has striven all his life for the improvement of the breed, I have six kids, six grandkids and two great grandkids, it is clear that their challenge will not come because there are too few people but too many.

[SunkenCiv]

There will have to be guest workers just to care for all the childless men in old age -- assuming the regime doesn't manage to start a couple of wars -- and to assist married couples trying to care for their two children plus four parents.

[SunkenCiv]

That’s just a weird coincidence. /jk

[Alas Babylon!]

Time and again, where people have adequate (not government supplied and metered) health care, property and economic rights, they just don’t have many kids.

Kids are expensive.

Just about every woman wants a baby, and just about every man wants a legacy, but for most people, 2 is enough, not 8. That’s not to say 8 is too many. In a free society, people can have as many kids as they want, but given normal middle class circumstances, 2 is the norm. And many people have none, sadly.

According to Swedish health professor and statistician Hans Rosling, the population will rise to 11 billion by the end this century, and then go down.

Watch:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hVimVzgtD6w

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2LyzBoHo5EI&t=27s

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FACK2knC08E

[Vinnie]

Will China lose a Representative in US Congress?/s

[Alas Babylon!]

In other words, how many democrats and RINOs will lose?

[SunkenCiv]

Thanks, nice buzzword rant.

[SunkenCiv]

The want open borders in order to introduce a mass of uneducated fans of the DNC. Politics is always and only about power.

[SunkenCiv]

https://freerepublic.com/tag/zpg/index

[Brilliant]

I think it’s actually good news for China. You don’t need population growth in order to have economic growth, as China has proved.

[PIF]

Poverty level in US is around US$13,000

Poverty level in China is around US$400

[PIF]

assist married couples trying to care for their two children plus four parents.

—
That’s the thing most Americans don’t realize - the children care for their parents in their old age - there are no old folks homes. So it is quite a burden on a married couple to care for their children and the surviving parents while trying to earn some sort of a living.