The World a Century from Now
the current writer, et al | December 31 2004 | SunkenCiv, et al
Posted on 12/31/2004, 3:46:20 PM by SunkenCiv
17 posted on 1/21/2007, 1:43:36 AM by SunkenCiv (”In theory, theory and practice are the same, but in practice, they’re not.” — John Rummel)
https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/1311725/posts?page=17#17
[snip] The population of the Earth was about one billion in 1900, and that number shocked and sickened the folks who had tried to turn the entire planet into EuroDisney. We hit the three billion mark about the time I started seventh grade. Sometime in the past ten or so years we’ve crossed (variously reported) six or possibly seven billion.
IMHO, the population of the US will rise to at least 1.5 billion, and as much as 3 billion, by 2100 A.D. China’s population will decline to about 300 million by that time. India’s population will peak in about thirty years, and then begin to decline, while the Moslem population of India rises as a percentage. The population of the Middle East will rise somewhat, but with most of the increase being in Egypt, Turkey, and Iran.
Western Europe’s European population will decline, in some places vanish, replaced by African and Middle Eastern immigrants, except in Italy. Even at current rates, and figuring for longevity and attrition, by 2100 Germany’s population will exceed Russia’s. [/snip]
The year 2034, your predictions?
Posted on 8/3/2014, 1:28:03 AM by MNDude
62 posted on 8/3/2014, 6:14:06 PM by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
https://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3188319/posts?page=62#62
[snip] By 2034 the oldest baby boomer will be 88, and the youngest 74 (1946-1960). Life expectancy had been rising, but in 20 years we’ll have been in a puzzling sideways phase for about that long. By 2040 at least half of the youngest will be deceased, so by 2034 at least half of the baby boom itself will be deceased.
The population of the US is rising more quickly than most (all?) industrialized countries, nearly one half of that increase is due to immigration, and nearly one half of that is illegal immigration. By 2034, given a 2 percent annual growth rate (that looks mighty ambitious, but historically recent immigrants have very high birth rates, and we’re only talking about one generation from now), the 315 million we currently have will push up to about 450 million (without figuring in deaths in that interval). By the end of the 21st century the US population will be between 1 and 3 billion. Fully half of the AD 2100 population will be Roman Catholic.
Most of the growth in US population will be urban, making most of the urban areas of the US an unlivable third world hellholes, like Minneapolis has become in a similar 20 year interval. Places now considered fair game for punchlines — such as Detroit — will by contrast have become havens for urban Americans (as opposed to urban immigrants).
The population of Mexico will be in decline, and not merely because of the egress to America. Similar population declines will happen in most of Latin America. [/snip]
Predictions: 1987 Time Capsule of Predictions on 2012 by Sci-Fi Authors
https://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/2910582/posts
Time and again, where people have adequate (not government supplied and metered) health care, property and economic rights, they just don’t have many kids.
Kids are expensive.
Just about every woman wants a baby, and just about every man wants a legacy, but for most people, 2 is enough, not 8. That’s not to say 8 is too many. In a free society, people can have as many kids as they want, but given normal middle class circumstances, 2 is the norm. And many people have none, sadly.
According to Swedish health professor and statistician Hans Rosling, the population will rise to 11 billion by the end this century, and then go down.
Watch:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hVimVzgtD6w
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2LyzBoHo5EI&t=27s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FACK2knC08E