Posted on 05/21/2021 6:08:01 AM PDT by Kaslin
On May 8th, 2021, over 30,000 Virginia Republican voters participated in an “unassembled convention” at various statewide locations to elect the 2021 Republican ticket.
Using weighted, ranked choice voting (RCV)—where the lowest vote getter is eliminated each round until a winner clinches over 50 percent—voters selected nominees for Governor, Lieutenant Governor, and Attorney General: Glenn Youngkin, Winsome Sears, and Jason Miyares, respectively.
Although Virginia trends blue nationally, could this year’s statewide election be a bellwether going into 2022? It’s possible—given historical precedent.
A Repeat of 2009 Red Wave in 2021?
As the Virginian Pilot recently noted, “While Republicans have not won a statewide race in Virginia since 2009, the party has some hope of ending their drought this year; since 1973, only once has the party controlling the White House gone on to win the governor’s race in Virginia the next year.”
It’s undeniable our state is lurching uncomfortably to the left.
Aside from Northern Virginia, Richmond suburbs and parts of Hampton Roads, however, the Commonwealth is pretty red.
But could discontent with teachers unions, parole board corruption, one-party rule in Richmond, and potential backlash to the Biden administration benefit Virginia Republicans? Definitely.
Some political observers believe the 2021 ticket, barring no controversies, could prevail over the prospective Democrat ticket. From The Washington Post:
"The Democrats start with the advantage, given the state’s leftward trend and continued discontent over the legacy of Donald Trump’s presidency. But Youngkin, a wealthy political newcomer, may benefit from a political climate similar to the one that helped win the governorship for Republican Bob McDonnell in 2009, the last time the GOP triumphed statewide in Virginia.
"McDonnell capitalized on a backlash against a newly elected Democratic president — Barack Obama — and the intense desire of Republicans to have a winner."
What key metrics must Republicans hit to win in November? The publication added:
"A knowledgeable Republican, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss strategy, said the keys to a Youngkin victory were threefold:
"- Rev up the GOP base to get 79 percent of a presidential-year turnout in bright-red areas such as the Shenandoah Valley and Southwest Virginia.
"- Win at least a narrow victory in the Norfolk media market.
"- Win at least 42 percent in Northern Virginia."
Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman got blowback from his Democrat followers for suggesting Republicans “actually have a good chance to win the VA governor’s race this year.”
He added, “Moreover, despite VA's obvious long-term Dem trend, its gubernatorial races haven't moved in a straight line.”
“If Virginia was going to elect a Republican, this is the type of year that they would do it,” noted J. Miles Coleman, associate editor of Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball. “We see the Democrats as favored, but it’s not going to be a slam dunk. They’ll have to work for it.”
Meet the Republican Nominees
Glenn Youngkin
A self-described “outsider” and political newcomer, Glenn Youngkin bested fellow businessman Pete Snyder in Round 6 of voting to secure the nomination for Governor.
The former Carlyle Group co-CEO retired last summer citing his desire to “focus my full-time efforts on community and public service efforts that I believe can make a meaningful impact.”
Boasting a net worth hovering $254 million, Youngkin was able to self-fund and go from virtual unknown in January to nominee nearly four months later. His campaign credits insurgent grassroots efforts and having no prior political record as factors contributing to his win.
So far, his focus has largely centered on issues like election integrity, job creation, preserving right-to-work laws, and school reopenings.
Without a doubt, his candidacy certainly has presumptive Democrat gubernatorial nominee Terry McAuliffe, hungry for a second term, squirming.
Winsome Sears
Winsome Sears, a one-term House of Delegates member who represented Hampton Roads, easily clinched the nomination for Lieutenant Governor.
Born in Jamaica, Sears was the first Black Republican woman ever elected to the General Assembly and first Republican elected to represent a majority-Black district since 1865. She runs Shenandoah Appliance Plumbing & Electric, LLC based in Winchester, VA.
A USMC veteran, she campaigned on school choice, right-to-life, election integrity, gun rights, and reopening Virginia’s economy.
Sears is expected to electrify the base and simultaneously tap into new voters.
Jason Miyares
Current House of Delegates member and lawyer Jason Miyares clinched the Attorney General spot after three rounds of ranked-choice voting.
Serving the Virginia Beach area since 2016, Miyares’ top issues on the campaign trail were restoring law and order, gun rights, exposing corruption in the Virginia parole board, and countering Richmond’s leftward shift.
In 2015, Miyares became the first Cuban-American ever elected to serve in the General Assembly.
According to his campaign website, his mother Miriam Maria Miyares fled communist Cuba in 1965 and “legally immigrated to the United States and instilled in her three sons a passionate love of the freedom and democracy of America.”
Conclusion
The Virginia Mercury observed, “The GOP stands a real chance if it can make this year’s elections a referendum on the leftward policy lurch both in Richmond and in Washington.”
Over the next five months, the Republican Party of Virginia’s ticket can and must make this case to voters.
As goes Virginia, so goes America? If Virginia flips back to the Republican column on November 2nd, Democrats will be in serious trouble come 2022.
All eyes on the Old Dominion State...
Unless the Dominion fraud is exposed in court, VA will remain blue.
Unless someone removes the Bushbots running the VA Gop .
Nope.
Another Bushbot Gov Gop nominee .
Unless the Dominion fraud is exposed in court, VA will remain blue.
~~~
I believe this is true. They are likely working on strategies that adapt to dominion fraud being on the radar screen now too.
Blue states that run their own shop can do the things necessary to provide cover for the fraud.
In 2020 they got away with it in states where legislative branches were red due to executive over reach because of covid, and more specifically in a half dozen targeted blue controlled cities.
The lack of any interest (backbone) from judges after the 2020 insurrection (the real one; election rigging) was the most disappointing aspect of the voter fraud scheme. Judges do not want to appear as interfering, particularly when domestic terrorists (the real ones) proved all through 2020 that they have no qualms protesting (rioting) in front of the houses of their political targets.
This will not change until it is changed.
UniParty Propaganda trying to portray as an “election” an already predetermined outcome in Virginia for 2022
whenever you start hearing about “bellweather” from the media propagandists, it means the UniParty (D) is about to be switched to the UniParty (R) or vice versa;
among other reasons, they do it when they need to propagate the scam
The Dominion fraud is being exposed in plenty of states as we speak. Dominion is going to find themselves kicked out of some state elections in coming elections.
No, too many liberals in VA now, and the national GOP isn’t talking about the races in VA and NJ this fall.
So what if the obvious fraud is proven in some court somewhere? Do you think the outraged public opinion of those few who hear or even care about the fraud will stop it in 2024? Remember Brenda Snipes? Her widespread, every election, fraud made her somewhat of a celebrity. Public opinion never stopped her? Do you really think anything will deter the primarily black, corrupt big blue city machine leaders from doing what they did in ‘20 again in ‘22 or ‘24? If you’re waiting on the Biden DOJ to enforce anything, that’s about as pointless as waiting on Trump’s DOJ.
McAwful institutionalized vote fraud when he was Gov.
Unlikely that we ever win in VA again.
That will send a majority of leftists living in NoVa (and MD) packing because they will be unemployed and there is no way for them to afford to live there.
Wishful thinking at this point but you never know. I just don’t think we’re smart enough. That blackfaces stuff is behind everyone.
How peculiar. I wonder why that is. And you think 2022 will be different? Why would the Democrats stop cheating? It seems to work very well for them.
Gabriella’s wet dream
To me, 2020 proved that voting was rigged. Until we address the problems with the system, there are no bell weather anything.
For Decades the Democrats blocked people from voting. Now the Democrats just erase your vote or add other votes. The civil rights issue remains, it just is computerized now.
Ain’t gonna happen.
Virginia is now East California.
Since democrats took control two years ago, they have changed the laws and election processes to guarantee permanent control.
The northern Virginia triad of Arlington, Fairfax, and Alexandria are totally democrat who allow illegal aliens and green carders to register and vote. Although the richest counties in America, somehow they can’t get the votes counted until the downstate results are in (heavily Republican) and then miraculously come up with enough votes to flip the results to democrat.
Nope, Virginia is blue forever, and the democrats are moving on to Georgia, North Carolina using the same tactics to turn them forever blue.
And the RINOs do nothing and run elections promising to “reach across the aisle”, the same wishful thinking that put the democrats in control in Virginia.
They used to say that about Alabama, Mississippi and all the southern states back in the day. Who controls the southern states now? Republicans m
The stolen election was just the latest chapter in the ongoing bipartisan coup against Trump and those who voted for him. Judges did not support the rule of law because there is none. We live in a post Constitutional nation.
Nonsense. Nowhere is blue forever, not even New York. We've just had 5 straight GOP mayors in New York City before DeBlasio won.
they have to, otherwise they wouldn’t steal elections
Some freepers do so easy throw the towel and give up. It’s pathetic.
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