Posted on 05/08/2021 1:59:24 AM PDT by Irannewswire
As indirect talks between the representatives of the Iranian and American regimes in Vienna to return to JCPOA and lift the sanctions of former US President Trump continue behind closed doors, and different news of an approaching agreement is leaked after each round of talks, the burning question still remains to be answered: Will reaching a new accord under the same 2015 agreement prevent the regime from gaining access to the atomic bomb?
Apparently, Joe Biden's diplomatic apparatus is naively optimistic that negotiations and reaching an agreement can prevent the mullahs from gaining access to the atomic bomb. But the fact is that such a notion is completely wrong. To understand the issue, prior to anything else, one must know the true nature of the mullahs' regime.
Examining the Iranian government over the past 42 years makes it clear that the regime will never give up its nuclear weapons, as they, like North Korea, see nuclear weapons as one of the foundations of their government's survival. If the Iranian regime, now like in 2014, is willing to negotiate, it is because of the devastating economic situation, unemployment, poverty, and the explosive conditions of society, and the sanctions that it is facing.
In 2014, due to the disclosure of the regime's nuclear program by the Iranian Resistance (National Council of Resistance of Iran, NCRI), Iran was on the verge of being placed under Chapter VII of United Nations Charter and a military conflict with the world. And since it did not have the capacity for this confrontation, it agreed to temporarily stop its nuclear program.
Iran is now facing a serious internal conflict that has endangered its survival, to the extent that more than 90% of Iranians want regime change. And if this change has not happened yet, it is solely because of the stifling atmosphere and the terrible repression that prevails in Iran, a situation that suppresses any voice of protest in the strongest possible way. But Khamenei knows full well that he will not be able to contain this explosive atmosphere for a long time by means of repression, and sooner or later this barrel of gunpowder will explode and his government will be overthrown according to the historical experience.
Now more than 80 percent of people live below the poverty line. The middle class has disappeared, and while the regime affiliates live their affluent lives in multimillion-dollar apartments and villas, or their children live like millionaires in Europe and America, millions of Iranians have not tasted meat and fruit for a long time. Things that in the past did not exist at all in Iran are now abundant, such as garbage scavenging for food or advertisements for the sale of organs such as kidneys, corneas, liver and even the heart. And some reportedly even offer their children for sale.
Just a quick look at the daily protests in different cities can show the level of people's dissatisfaction, from strikes by workers who have not been paid for months, to retirees whose meager monthly wages do not even cover a week, to employees, teachers, nurses and even doctors.
Now, with the exception of the Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) and agents affiliated with the IRGC and Khamenei’s entourage, who use government subsidies and huge low interest loans at government exchange rate to import goods at a cheap rate and sell them at staggering prices and making astronomical profits, no class or stratum of Iranian society is satisfied with the current situation.
The Iranian regime’s illegitimacy not only is demonstrated by daily protests in Iran but also by very low participation rate of Iranians in so-called elections as well. The regime’s intention by holding so-called elections is only to legitimize itself internationally. In last year's parliamentary elections, despite all the fraud, the regime was no longer able to claim astronomical figures due to the empty polling stations, and according to the government, in Tehran only 16% of the people participated in the elections. Now the presidential election is scheduled for June 18. Despite the fact that all the leaders of the regime—from Khamenei to the representatives of the two ruling factions, and all the Friday prayer clerics—advocate that participating in the elections is a religious duty and the only means of resolving existing conflicts, the people in their protest rallies have announced their intention to boycott the elections with slogans such as "We have heard too many lies, we will not vote anymore" or "Our vote is regime overthrow." That is why Khamenei, who denounced both Western and Eastern politics, has now reached out to China and Russia and wants to save himself with a shameful 25-year deal that is in fact like selling parts of Iran to China.
But the mullahs still see the secret of their survival in acquiring nuclear weapons and suppressing protests and exporting terrorism, and this is not something they will give up. They may stop their activities for awhile or continue secretly due to the dire situation, but as we have seen before, they will not back down from this desire. Now, in the process of negotiating and bargaining for ransom and getting the maximum from the US government, they have raised the issue of 60 percent uranium enrichment and the use of advanced IR9 centrifuges.
Along with this, they continue launching missiles and seeking ransom by terrorism. Apparently, these empty threats have been effective and have worried the United States to the extent that as it has softened its stance against the regime. But if Joe Biden continues to beat the drums of sanctions and even increases them, the protests and opposition of the people inside Iran on the one hand and the financial inability of the regime to supply its terrorist forces in the region on the other will not allow the mullahs' rule to be prolonged.
Any deal with the regime and the opening of financial resources will increase the life of this regime and in addition to the fact that the Iranian people will have to pay the price, it will also bring closer the prospect of Khamenei’s access to nuclear weapons.
Cyrus Yaqubi is a Research Analyst and Iranian Foreign Affairs Commentator investigating the social issues and economy of the middle east countries in general and Iran in particular
Was Cyrus Yaqubi dropped on his head several hundred times as a child?
Basically, they need a Chernobyl-like event to ease them back ten steps. Course, half the population of Iran (at 83-million) would have to immigrate to some distant zone to feel safe.
If anything, the progress the Islamic Republic of Iran has been making toward the construction of a workable nuclear device will be greatly accelerated with the re-institution of the provisions of the JCPOA and lifting the sanctions now in place. The Ayatollahs know a green light when they see one.
Relying on the word and good graces of a Muslim bent on domination of the Middle East is a fool’s errand, and will be rewarded accordingly.
The genii is back out of the bottle.
The answer is VERY SIMPLE. Every major party in the ONE COUNTRY most at risk of attack from Iran, Israel, opposes this ‘deal’. Seems to me that at least some of the parties in Israel would support it, if it enhanced their security, as there is no shortage of liberals there.
The John Kerry deal of 2014 was designed to just slow down the atomic progress of Iran. Ten years only.
So we have three more years left, even if Iran abides with the deal.
The theory behind it was that the Iranian regime is not stable and will fall in ten years.
However, tyrannical regimes are having standing power.
Mullahs are ruling Iran since 1979 and their demise seems wishful thinking.
And the huge infusion of money in 2014 did help them a lot.
The whole Obama/Biden/Kerry dealing with Iran has been one big crap, designed by political idiots, naïve at best, treasonous at worst.
It will gyuarantee the establishment of a world wide caliphate, stretching from Irann Afghanistan, Pakistan India, Myanmar, Thailand Indonesia . And they will expand into other countries.
They seek world dominion.
And Joe Biden is the sock puppet who will create the circumstanmces of appeasement: Armageddon.
Watch Mark Levin this coming Sunday at 8 PM.on Fox News Channel cable. Its Mothers day, so record it of you have to.
Do not miss it.
Prevent them? It will help them. And this country’s official Israel Hating Party,the Rat Party,*wants* the 9th Century bearded pig fornicators in Tehran to have a nuke.
Correct.Israel,Taiwan,the freedom loving people of Hong Kong and various nations in East Asia and Southeast Asia know that they have no friends in the Harris/Biden junta.
They are anything naive. These rat 🐀 bastards know exactly what they are doing. They are a bunch of traitorous bastards, who are helping Iran.
The JCPOA is irrelevant blather
Mossad has and will continue denying Iran the bomb
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