Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Will SARS-CoV-2 Become a Recurrent Seasonal Infection?
JAMA network ^ | March 3, 2021 | Christopher J. L. Murray, MD; Peter Piot, MD

Posted on 03/16/2021 7:36:58 PM PDT by DoodleBob

There is growing optimism and hope that by virtue of ongoing immunization efforts, seasonality (declining infections through August), and naturally acquired immunity, by spring and early summer 2021 in the US there will be a substantial decline in the number of deaths and hospitalizations related to COVID-19. However, this optimism must be tempered by several important factors.

The likelihood of achieving herd immunity against SARS-CoV-2 is low simply because not all individuals in the US are eligible to be vaccinated and a quarter of eligible individuals will likely decline to be immunized. Moreover, the vaccines do not provide full immunity against infection, and the currently available vaccines are less effective against variant B.1.351, and possibly other variants....

If new variants continue to appear, winter surges may become the norm....Five strategies should be considered and vigorously debated in the months ahead.

1. Intensify global vaccination efforts....

2. Monitor the epidemic and the emergence of new variants and accelerate the modification of vaccines to enhance their efficacy...

3. Manage and finance winter hospital surges....

4...Although it is unlikely that the federal government or state governments will use social distancing mandates every winter, employers and educational institutions could adopt certain measures. Actions could include establishing mandatory vaccination...,

5. Higher-risk individuals (eg, aged ≥65 years or with comorbidities) would need to consider winter behavioral modification such as mask wearing and avoiding congregate settings such as bars, indoor dining, concerts, and sports events, and any setting in which transmission risk is high.

...

Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Dr Piot reports receiving personal fees from the European Commission as an adviser, grants from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation GBD advisory committee, and serving as a nonpaid member of the CEPI board during the conduct of the study. No other disclosures were reported.

(Excerpt) Read more at jamanetwork.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: covid19; gates; seasonality
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-27 next last
Looking solely at the data, the author seems to be correct:

And then your read the Conflicts, and what could have been a decent article is revealed to be propaganda. Caveat emptor.

1 posted on 03/16/2021 7:36:58 PM PDT by DoodleBob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: DoodleBob
The H1N1 (Swine Flu) of '09 is now part of the seasonal flu.

Which strangely, the seasonal flu seems to have been eradicated by the new China Flu de jure.

2 posted on 03/16/2021 7:47:44 PM PDT by Deaf Smith (When a Texan takes his chances, chances will be taken that's for sure.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DoodleBob

I could answer that without the conflicts.

NO.

The reason people take the flu vaccine every year isn’t because it wears off - it’s because there’s new strains every year because the old strains die off.

Swine flu of 1918? Gone.

H1N! from 10 years ago? Gone.

THIS flu WILL die out (and following the model of the 1918 epidemic it would’ve done this without vaccines by the end of summer ANYWAY.

Science and logic have gone completely out the window world-wide as suddenly THIS FLU is “different”? BS.

It’s a communist overthrow.


3 posted on 03/16/2021 7:50:32 PM PDT by Skywise
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Bump


4 posted on 03/16/2021 7:56:18 PM PDT by foreverfree
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Skywise

Uh you do know Spanish flu lasted from Feb 1918 till April 1920 and circled the globe three times in an age without aircraft right...this bug is nothing like 1918 flu its more like 2009 avian influenza aided by global air travel. If we really wanted to stop it we would have shut down all flights globally for a month and none of this would have left China. But that’s racist or some BS


5 posted on 03/16/2021 8:03:14 PM PDT by JD_UTDallas ("Veni Vidi Vici" )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Skywise

Pretty sure H1N1 is still the same basic variety. That designator indicates variety, does it not?

As for the flu vaccines, they’re guesses at what known varieties are most likely. How could they make something against an unknown?


6 posted on 03/16/2021 8:18:39 PM PDT by the OlLine Rebel (Common sense is an uncommon virtue./Federal-run medical care is as good as state-run DMVs. I )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: DoodleBob

I am so tired of the fear porn.


7 posted on 03/16/2021 8:23:53 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (The FBI used to go after communists. Now it is run by communists. The American Stasi.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DoodleBob

You mean like the common cold?


8 posted on 03/16/2021 8:29:07 PM PDT by Dr.Deth
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DoodleBob

Of course it will. “Cold and flu season.” And we’re aleady in year 2, although msm and cdc won’t tell anyone that.

It’s already Covid-19 Year 2.


9 posted on 03/16/2021 8:42:04 PM PDT by Basket_of_Deplorables (Convention Of States is our only hope now!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Basket_of_Deplorables

I saw a priest in an article call it COVID-1984. That’s a keeper.


10 posted on 03/16/2021 8:49:46 PM PDT by DoodleBob (Gravity's waiting period is about 9.8 m/s^2)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: DoodleBob

That is obviously a truncated list. For example, this is missing...
6. Wear a double mask 24x7, when alone in your car, when you are showering, when you are sleeping and when you are eating.


11 posted on 03/16/2021 9:05:12 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (The Weak Never Started, The Cowards fail along the way, Only the Strong Survive)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ProtectOurFreedom
> 6. Wear a double mask 24x7, when alone in your car, when you are showering, when you are sleeping and when you are eating.

Sex! You forgot during sex! TRIPLE MASK DURING SEX!

That's one for you, one for your sex partner, and one for, you know, The Thing.

Oh, your sex consists of masturbation only? Okay, then double mask for you and one for The Thing.

Because.... SCIENCE!!!

12 posted on 03/16/2021 9:22:54 PM PDT by dayglored ("Listen. Strange women lying in ponds distributing swords is no basis for a system of government.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: DoodleBob
This is the only chart you need to answer the title question:


MODERNA stock price

13 posted on 03/16/2021 9:35:58 PM PDT by montag813 ("Fallen, fallen, is Babylon the Great")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: dayglored

I’m old, so yeah, I forgot about sex. Sorry about that.


14 posted on 03/16/2021 10:53:13 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (The Weak Never Started, The Cowards fail along the way, Only the Strong Survive)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: DoodleBob

The authors claim herd immunity is unlikely, because not everyone is eligible for the vaccine - just as some States (e.g. Michigan, Utah, Mississippi) have announced that they will be making all adults eligible, and Biden has called for all of them to do it by the end of April.

Contracts are in place to deliver enough vaccine to cover all Americans, by the end of June.

Eligibility is a false argument.


15 posted on 03/17/2021 12:14:18 AM PDT by BeauBo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DoodleBob

Even with the virtually inevitable herd immunity, it will become a recurring seasonal infection- but it won’t matter, because death and hospitalizations will be too low to require lockdowns.

It will become another case of coughs that kids go through while growing up


16 posted on 03/17/2021 12:20:17 AM PDT by BeauBo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Deaf Smith
The H1N1 (Swine Flu) of '09 is now part of the seasonal flu.

Correct, and part of the normal flu vaccines now.

Which strangely, the seasonal flu seems to have been eradicated by the new China Flu de jure.

Probably because if anyone has any flu symptoms (fever, etc.) that could also be that of the COVID, they are quarantined and not allowed to go in anywhere this time around.

17 posted on 03/17/2021 2:21:43 AM PDT by Republican Wildcat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Skywise

This isn’t an influenza virus at all - it is a coronavirus.


18 posted on 03/17/2021 2:23:00 AM PDT by Republican Wildcat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Republican Wildcat

Could be all of those things. But I suspect a major contributor is hand washing. About 25 years ago I started refusing to use other people’s pens. I haven’t been significantly sick since then.


19 posted on 03/17/2021 2:26:40 AM PDT by mad_as_he$$
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: DoodleBob

Will it become a seasonal infection?

It depends on what those who write the “objective” news want people to think, each fall. They create the reality now in the vast majority of westerners, and the rest of us must face it, every place we go, even among devout Christians and patriots, friends and families.

2020 was their victory:
* a cold virus turning every person into a death machine
* St George Floyd
* Trump’s “loss”
* the blessed “vaccine”
* if you dispute these, you’re gaslit: you’re a nut


20 posted on 03/17/2021 2:44:28 AM PDT by ReaganGeneration2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-27 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson