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China’s Aging Population, Gender Imbalance Will Have Long-Lasting Social, Economic Impact: Experts
https://www.theepochtimes.com ^ | By Nicole Hao December 7, 2020 Updated: December 7, 2020

Posted on 12/08/2020 7:18:28 AM PST by Red Badger

Some Chinese researchers have recently sounded the alarm on China’s declining birth rate, aging population, and severe gender imbalance, as the skewed demographics are set to exacerbate social problems.

The irregularities are an after-effect of the Chinese regime’s one-child policy. Introduced in 1979, the restriction was implemented as part of population control measures as Beijing became worried about the rapidly growing population putting a strain on the country’s resources.

Due to the preference of males over females in Chinese culture, especially in rural areas where men can contribute manual labor, many families chose to abort or abandon female newborns.

This has resulted in a skewed gender ratio. In 1990, the ratio first exceeded 110 boys per 100 girls, and has never dropped from this rate since. In the early 2000s, the ratio reached 120 to 100. Today, the ratio is still above 110.

Official data shows that there were 20 million Chinese bachelors in 2015, while only 6 million women were unmarried. The bachelor crowd has since grown and is currently around 30 million.

State-run newspaper China News Weekly cited experts’ estimates that China will have over 40 million unmarried men by 2040.

Yang Ge, a researcher at the state-run China Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), warned that the high disparity could lead to “marital pressure, sex trafficking, sex crimes, and similar social problems.” Epoch Times Photo A baby swims in a bath at a private maternity hospital in Wuhan, central China’s Hubei Province on March 12, 2020. (Getty Images) Negative Population Growth

Couples are also choosing not to have children, leading to a declining fertility rate in China.

Though the Chinese regime loosened its one-child policy in 2014 and began to allow couples to have two children, the birth rate is still low due to the high cost of raising a child for the average household.

“At present in our country, women of childbearing age have low willingness to have children due to many reasons. The fertility rate has fallen below the warning line and population development has entered a critical turning period,” Chinese state-run Yicai quoted China’s civil affairs minister Li Jiheng as saying.

Li said that due to the falling birth rate, the country’s population would have negative growth soon, but he did not give a timeframe, according to the report.

State-run newspaper Southern Metropolis Daily reported on Nov. 12 that the China Population and Development Research Center at the governmental National Health Commission released a study in which it estimated that the country’s birth rate will match the death rate in 2027—meaning the population will reach its peak and then begin to shrink.

The latest statistics shows the country has 1.4 billion people.

The estimate is three years sooner than the previous calculation. In January 2017, the Chinese regime estimated that the country would have negative population growth in 2030.

CASS researcher Yang Ge said it was possible negative population growth could arrive sooner than 2027, in an interview with China News Weekly. Epoch Times Photo A man prays on the eve of the annual “Qingming” festival, or Tomb Sweeping Day, at a cemetary in Dagantangcun, 30km east of Beijing, China on April 4, 2015. (Fred Dufour/AFP via Getty Images) Population Aging

The skewed demographics has also led to population aging.

CASS researcher Li Jun said at a seminar in Beijing in November: “In our country, the population of 60-year-olds and older is larger than the population of 15-year-olds and younger. In fact, our country has entered the era of less youth and more seniors.”

In 2020, the official estimated life expectancy was 77.1 years old in China.

China News Weekly cited the China Population and Development Research Center in a recent report, noting that China’s senior population (60 and above) would increase by 11.5 million every year from 2021 to 2025, and will reach 500 million by 2048.

Frank Xie, business professor at the University of South Carolina Aiken, said that the burden of paying for the elderly’s pensions and healthcare would take a toll on the Chinese economy.

According to Beijing-based think tank China Center for International Economic Exchanges, about 38 percent of seniors 60 or older have partly or totally lost their ability to care for themselves and need assistance.

The society will also have a lack of laborers as the population ages.

A professor at China’s Fudan University Peng Xizhe told China News Weekly in a Nov. 29 report that the regime may have to raise the retirement age in order to ease the economic burden.

The current retirement age for men is 60. On Dec. 7, the Chinese regime raised the retirement age for women from 50 or 55 (the former for manual laborers, the latter for white-collar workers) to 60.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government
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Now you know why the Covid-19 affects the elderly more than young people.......................
1 posted on 12/08/2020 7:18:28 AM PST by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

Who cares? It’s their problem.


2 posted on 12/08/2020 7:22:38 AM PST by DIRTYSECRET
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To: Red Badger

China has a special preference for very young Thai, Vietnamese and Korean female guest workers.


3 posted on 12/08/2020 7:23:24 AM PST by allendale
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To: DIRTYSECRET

I think it can lead to war when there is a large population of males that have less to lose.


4 posted on 12/08/2020 7:25:05 AM PST by gunnut
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To: DIRTYSECRET

They are coming for our women!..............


5 posted on 12/08/2020 7:25:09 AM PST by Red Badger ( “The goal of socialism is communism.”... Vladimir Lenin)
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To: Red Badger
Now you know why the Covid-19 affects the elderly more than young people.......................

....and is alleged to cause erectile dysfunction.

6 posted on 12/08/2020 7:26:09 AM PST by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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To: Red Badger

“The society will also have a lack of laborers as the population ages.”

Start importing Muslims! It’s worked out so well for Europe!

*SMIRK*


7 posted on 12/08/2020 7:27:38 AM PST by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust post-Apocalyptic skill set. )
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To: Red Badger

Excess of bachelors in China is meaningless. They will find wives in Philippines, Thailand, and Viet Nam. Many will then live in the wive’s country and contribute to the eventual Chinese domination of that country. I expect China to control the Philippines within a few years.


8 posted on 12/08/2020 7:28:52 AM PST by Stevenfo
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To: Red Badger

Somehow commie central planning never seems to consider all of the fine details. However the current Chinese birth rate of 1.68 births per woman is still above White Americans at 1.64, Germany’s birthrate of 1.57, Japan’s birth rate of just 1.43 or Italy’s at 1.34. However this is a little skewed since woman of child bearing age in China number 10% to 20% less than the number of men of the same age group because of abortion policies and preferences.


9 posted on 12/08/2020 7:34:38 AM PST by fireman15
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To: lightman

It seems to also be causing “electile” dysfunction here in the US.


10 posted on 12/08/2020 7:35:05 AM PST by who_would_fardels_bear (This is not my current tagline.)
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To: Red Badger

All they have to do is have about half of their males identify as female. Problem solved, right?


11 posted on 12/08/2020 7:37:19 AM PST by bk1000 (Banned from Breitbart)
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To: bk1000

that’s funny


12 posted on 12/08/2020 7:42:43 AM PST by Undecided 2012
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To: bk1000

That’s what they want US to do....................


13 posted on 12/08/2020 7:43:15 AM PST by Red Badger ( “The goal of socialism is communism.”... Vladimir Lenin)
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To: Stevenfo

The lasting result of this is the dilution of the chiense race. The more mixed children born leave a cultural mix and no recognizable true chinese race.


14 posted on 12/08/2020 7:47:06 AM PST by oldasrocks
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To: Diana in Wisconsin
Start importing Muslims! It's worked out so well for Europe!

And Muslims immigrants are the gift that keeps on giving. Their birth rate as immigrants is typically two to four times that of the countries who host them. A birth rate of 2.1 is necessary to maintain a population at the same numbers. Niger which is 99.3% Muslim has a birth rate of approximately 7 depending on the source, but many other Muslim African countries have similar birthrates. India currently has a birth rate of 3.0, but the birth rate among Muslims is far higher than that of Hindus.

15 posted on 12/08/2020 7:49:34 AM PST by fireman15
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To: gunnut

I thought the same thing. When the Chinese started aborting the female babies and abandoning them in ditches, my hubby said that they were going to have a lot of cannon fodder because of this. Meaning young men to send to war.


16 posted on 12/08/2020 8:00:20 AM PST by LibertarianLiz
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To: Red Badger

I remember growing up in the 50s hearing how China had a population problem. Children were starving in the streets. They restricted their ability to have families to one child only

Forced abortions.

Boy, they sure know how to solve problems.

Over here the Democrats told us there was a population explosion and encouraged whites not to have children because of it.

On the other hand, for some odd reason in that ‘population explosion’ problem at the same time the Democrats opened our borders, importing Mexicans and helping them to have families of ten or more through government assistance programs. The Dem run government also gave the poor ‘minorities’ assistance. That way they also had families of ten or more. The white people could pay for it through taxes. Heck, the minorities didn’t even have to work! Whole apartments thrived with people on welfare and government assistance, staying home and raising their kids. What fun!


17 posted on 12/08/2020 8:03:36 AM PST by Beowulf9
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To: Red Badger

“The irregularities are an after-effect of the Chinese regime’s one-child policy.”

As if one needed further proof that government actions (any government, but especially completely incompetent ones - e.g., socialist/communist) always fu...er...Obama things up.

Mindless and incompetence rise to their highest when combined with politics and pretend-leadership.

We all know what must be done to these types.

Well, get on with it.


18 posted on 12/08/2020 8:04:11 AM PST by Da Coyote
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To: oldasrocks

We are in a similar fix in the U.S. as the Boomer generation comes to old age, and their children have aborted babies, while Mexico and the Middle East continue to overrun the country and have lots of babies. It would seem that there is no future for the world. Time for Jesus to come back.


19 posted on 12/08/2020 8:09:52 AM PST by WVNan
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To: Red Badger

The Black/BLM population numbers: due to massive numbers of yearly black abortions, the aging Population of the Black survivors, Gender Imbalance with BLM males killing each other daily in their Blue Cities, combined with the school shutdowns in Blue Cities:

Will Have A Long-Lasting Negative Social and Economic Impact the surviving Blacks/BLMers!

Last but not least more blacks as a % of our population are getting Covid 19.

The elite white democrat liberals have had a deadly undeclared war against their black citizens and voters for decades. Their undeclared war against Americans blacks was and still is the prime target of LBJ’s War on Poverty. Elite Democrats are killing/destroying Black Americans not our side nor President Trump.


20 posted on 12/08/2020 8:10:45 AM PST by Grampa Dave (A society's first line of defense is not the law but customs, traditions & moral values. W. Williams)
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