Posted on 11/02/2020 11:49:39 AM PST by montag813
In 2016, the polling averages showed Hillary Clinton with a three-point lead over Donald Trump. She ended up winning the popular vote by two points but losing the Electoral College.
This year, the polling averages give Joe Biden a much bigger advantage—7 percentage points. My polling for JustTheNews.com over the past month has also consistently shown the former Vice President with a 7 or 8 point advantage.The strength of Biden’s position is also evident in my Battleground State polling here at PoliticalIQ.In the three midwestern states that shocked the world and put the president over the top in 2016, my final polls show Biden leading by seven in Michigan, six in Wisconsin, and six in Pennsylvania. Four years ago, the polls showed much closer races in Michigan and Pennsylvania.
In Florida and North Carolina, a pair of must-win states for Trump, my latest 2020 numbers show Biden up by four points and one point respectively. Bluntly, the president cannot be re-elected without winning both of those states.
Possibly the most troubling numbers for the president in my polls come from two states where he’s ahead—Texas and Montana. He leads by just four points in each of these previously solid Republican states. On top of that, the candidates are tied in Iowa, a state Trump won by nearly ten points in 2016.
Obviously, surprises are possible. Many of these competitive states could end up in either the Republican or the Democratic column. That’s particularly true of North Carolina, Iowa, and Florida. So, we don’t know exactly what the Electoral College vote totals will look like. But the data clearly suggests that when all the votes are counted, Joe Biden will be the president-elect.
Bad models make bad polls!
Not buying it.
Biden had 5 cars in an airplane hanger in CLE today yelling nonsense at the top of his lungs.
Trump will rally with over 150,000 VOTERS in the next 12 hours.
We will see. I note right away that a reliable poll has Trump up by 7 in Iowa but this has him tied there.
Dems are scrambling and panicking. Red Wave coming.
So he’s predicting a Biden landslide.
Complete and utter BULL SHIITE!
Total BS.
"Obviously, surprises are possible. Many of these competitive states could end up in either the Republican or the Democratic column. That’s particularly true of North Carolina, Iowa, and Florida. So, we don’t know exactly what the Electoral College vote totals will look like. But the data clearly suggests that when all the votes are counted, Joe Biden will be the president-elect."
How does the first half correspond to the second half of the paragraph?????
But these are based on polls, not the actual election numbers coming in. Pollsters are out of their element on this, as we are already in the middle of the election. IDK
This is all horse manure!
They are going to do this to account for all of the FRAUDULENT ballots they are going to dump in at the least minute.
Biden can’t pay for anyone to listen to him.
No one is interested in listening to his gobbledegook
Hard to understand why Biden is even wasting his time in Ohio the day before the election. Even the out of touch polls show Trump in the lead. DJT will win Ohio by at least 8-10 points.
LOL!! Its an illusion or a delusion.
I think the code words are “when all the votes are counted”
This year, the polling averages give Joe Biden a much bigger advantage—7 percentage points.
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Well, naturally, that’s because he attracts 7 times as many people to his campaign events...........
Some kind of hail Mary strategy to make the dem voter base think they have a chance?
If Trump wins OH by that margin, he’s winning PA.
There is another article saying Rasmussen Final National Poll: Biden 48%, Trump 47%. So which is it, 7% or 1%?
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