Posted on 11/02/2020 5:50:51 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
VBM Ballots - DEMs lead by 663,685
In-Person Early Voting - REPs lead by 555,562
Combined Early Voting - DEMs lead by 108,123
Feels like we’re closing everywhere...
Ralston picks Biden by 4 in NV.
“21,001 people registered as DEMs and voted.
29,131 people registered as REPs and voted.
15,730 people registered as NPAs and voted.”
Now that is good news. Thanks.
“Over the last year in Florida, can you tell me what has happened with new voter registration, changes in voter registration?”
Ravi’s got the numbers and good numbers.
“Over the last year in Florida, can you tell me what has happened with new voter registration, changes in voter registration?”
Good luck with that pick Mr. Ralston.
In a fair election we would have multiple significant news organizations. In fact, because the wire services and especially the AP constitute virtual meetings of “People of the same trade,” andPeople of the same trade seldom meet together, even for merriment and diversion, but the conversation ends in a conspiracy against the public, or in some contrivance to raise prices. - Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations (1776)we have an establishment known as “the media.”It is protected by the infamous New York Times Co. v. Sullivan decision, which strongly inhibits libel suits by public officials, including judges. Sullivan was unanimous in 1964, but it hinges on the false premise that
". . . libel can claim no talismanic immunity from constitutional limitations. It must be measured by standards that satisfy the First Amendment”We all love us some First Amendment, but (asbestos suit ON) the Bill of Rights was not intended to change anyone’s rights. Including the right to sue for libel.The reason is simple: the Federalists didn’t want rights to be an issue, the Antifederalists made it one. Rights, as understood at the time, were Common Law. To “enumerate” rights was actually to do violence to the Common Law system; Americans’ rights were a matter of court precedents and were nowhere comprehensively listed.
Forced by the Antifederalists to create a bill of rights by amendment, the Federalists enumerated certain rights - rights historically abused by tyrants - and concluded with
Thus we see that the Bill of Rights does not pretend to enumerate all of Americans’ rights, quite the contrary. Nor, certainly, all of the rights of the state governments. Thus, no court from the founding to the present day has ever held that pornography laws are unconstitutional. And no court from the founding to 1964 had ever held that the First Amendment had modified libel law, either. Unanimous or no, the Sullivan decision was an illegitimate loosening on the constraints against propaganda.
- Amendment 9:
- The enumeration in the Constitution, of certain rights, shall not be construed to deny or disparage others retained by the people.
- Amendment 10:
- The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people.
The wire services and the FCC must be held to account for libelous propaganda. Broadcast journalism must be dramatically reformed, and PBS and NPR must die.
“Feels like we’re closing everywhere...”
I’m nervous. Hopeful but nervous.
I think the numbers we see in FL, NC, AZ, even NM are positive. Those dang polls, you know...
Wasserman gave FL to Trump. After all his BS about Sumter foretelling the Trump loss with seniors. He chickened out on FL because of the strong R numbers with IPEV.
He gave Ohio and FL to Trump. Every candidate since 1852 who has won Ohio and FL has won the presidency except Nixon in 1960.
I want Wasserman, Silver and Cohn to eat *pie* to much.
Bookmark
This election hinges on what party motivated non voters in the past to start voting/following politics. Also, the party that gained voters based upon their disenfranchisement with their previous beliefs/party.
Did black voters move to or from Trump? Seems to me, that they are going to move towards Trump based upon recent endorsements and the historically low black unemployment.
Did women voters move one way or another? Women were told in 2016 that Trump was a womanizer and sleeze. After 4 years, pretty obvious that Trump was no Lewinsky type. Additionally, how many suburban moms fear rioting/looting/antifa/blm crazy stuff??
New Yorkers that moved to Florida. They probably will bring the awful politics with them? Or are the types moving away fed up and disgusted with leftism?
Did Trump continue the trend of getting more Latino support over the last 4 years? Hispanics have fared well with Trump, many are business owners, their taxes got seriously lowered.
Young voters looking for prosperity in future years. Do they view Biden as a jobs creator, or Trump? I’ve seen some focus groups that younger voters want the strong/open economy of Trump.
Energy. The Dems have normally had an extremely strong ground game for getting out the vote. By hook or crook they always seem to step up to the challenge. But, this time it’s being met with the best ground game/enthusiasm for a Republican in history.
All signs lead me to see a Trump victory of landslide proportion. But, I’m a partisan and that has given me false hopes in the past. I’m confident, but I’m still biting my nails a bit.
Oh, one more very important group. Union workers. Police and Fire have likely moved SOLID Trump, along with many other industry/trade group union members that are sick of the country being sold out to China.
See photos of the lineup for the Scranton rally for Trump right now on Jack Posoboiec’s twitter (@JackPosobiec)! It’s freezing there and still there’s a huge lineup. This is in Biden’s hometown.
https://twitter.com/JackPosobiec
someone replied on JP’s twitter feed:
The Ghoul of the Blackhawks
@McBrooklyn48
“Its like that at every rally. I stood outside for 7 hours last night in 34 degrees at his Iowa rally.”
Thanks for the info!
Ok, based on that...my guess is Trump takes Florida with a margin of 350,000 votes!
I can live with that.
At this rate the lead will be 116,000 going into tomorrow.
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