This election hinges on what party motivated non voters in the past to start voting/following politics. Also, the party that gained voters based upon their disenfranchisement with their previous beliefs/party.
Did black voters move to or from Trump? Seems to me, that they are going to move towards Trump based upon recent endorsements and the historically low black unemployment.
Did women voters move one way or another? Women were told in 2016 that Trump was a womanizer and sleeze. After 4 years, pretty obvious that Trump was no Lewinsky type. Additionally, how many suburban moms fear rioting/looting/antifa/blm crazy stuff??
New Yorkers that moved to Florida. They probably will bring the awful politics with them? Or are the types moving away fed up and disgusted with leftism?
Did Trump continue the trend of getting more Latino support over the last 4 years? Hispanics have fared well with Trump, many are business owners, their taxes got seriously lowered.
Young voters looking for prosperity in future years. Do they view Biden as a jobs creator, or Trump? I’ve seen some focus groups that younger voters want the strong/open economy of Trump.
Energy. The Dems have normally had an extremely strong ground game for getting out the vote. By hook or crook they always seem to step up to the challenge. But, this time it’s being met with the best ground game/enthusiasm for a Republican in history.
All signs lead me to see a Trump victory of landslide proportion. But, I’m a partisan and that has given me false hopes in the past. I’m confident, but I’m still biting my nails a bit.
Oh, one more very important group. Union workers. Police and Fire have likely moved SOLID Trump, along with many other industry/trade group union members that are sick of the country being sold out to China.