Posted on 11/02/2020 1:48:53 AM PST by SmokingJoe
Sam @SunshineSt8Sam @TimMurtaugh on why the polling at Fox News is terrible and why we haven't ever given much thought to those polls.
Their pollster has been paid over $3million this cycle by DEMOCRATS who lost... in their party's primaries DO NOT SKIP THIS CLIP
‘Biden didn’t hit his mark. Incredible numbers for Trump in last several days.’
‘Fox News main pollster is a Democrat polling firm, they were Tom Steyer’s pollster.’
(Excerpt) Read more at citizenfreepress.com ...
Where I live (Spain) polls don’t even start closing until 3am. I’ll get the results when I wake up. That saves me a lot of nail biting while waiting for numbers to come in.
Lets pray. Both sides like to say things like this .
Patrick Basham (Democracy Institute) added Minnesota, New Hampshire and Nevada to his likely Trump prediction.
Good clip! Thanks...
Was shaking my heads at the recent Fox poll...
This info about the Steyer pollster explains the result...
and, shows that Fox has moved to the Left as also observed in their news content...
That’s you Brett Baier...
Paul Ryan may have his fingerprints on this...?
In trying to capture the Leftists audience that watches CNN, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, NBC...Fox is going to lose many of it’s core viewers...
Don’t know who they are but noway he’s getting NV and NH. Those are too blue now.
MN has a shot
All three states are in play for Trump.
He only really needs NH-2 not the whole of NH.
MN will be a nice bonus if Trump could do a quick rally there on election day.
However, Trump is looking really good for MI WI and PA.
PA??? Most people posting he’s in trouble because EV only 15% of R’s voted.
Are you sure you don't mean Maine?
Good clip. Makes sense. According to him Slow Joe has not built up enough early votes to overcome the Trump wave that will hit on Election Day.
No Republican with half a brain who is physically capable of walking into a polling place is ever going to drop a ballot in the mail in PA.
What a wonderful thing that would be. I do believe that Minnesota is turning red.
This is who he is. (Got 2016 right; got Brexit right.)
He goes over his final poll released yesterday in this video.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CzdBgXM0WDA
Most Republicans vote in person, not by mail. I don’t think PA has in person early voting.
Which “most people “ you talking about?
Did you see the 57,000 Trump rally in PA Saturday? Plus another 3 rallies in PA on the same day?
Or at least 3 polls with Trump in the lead in PA?
Why do you think Slow Joe scurried to PA yesterday to do 2 “rallies”? all of a sudden?
Trump is in a very strong position to win PA.
thanks
Reasons for optimism:
1. Murtaugh’s comments about early voting by Repub’s catching up and surpassing Dems in battleground states.
2. Poll about “are you better off than 4 years ago?” 56% is 10-12% higher than the same poll for other incumbents who won re-election.
3. Gigantic rallies for Trump, both campaign sponsored and spontaneous all over the country. They show tremendous enthusiasm on our side.
4. Dem enthusiasm is way down. Who could be “excited” about Biden/Harris. Their votes are reluctant, anti-Trump.
5. The pollster who predicts election based only on primary turnout, says Trump with a 91% chance.
6. Hunter-Biden escapades. These have not gotten the publicity they deserve, but they are having an effect. I believe Hunter is causing some, who would never vote Trump, to not vote at all. Part of 1. above.
7. The shy, hidden, secret Trump voter. These people don’t want their car or property damaged and they don’t want to lose their job, but they are out there, ready to vote.
8. Secret Black voters. Part of 7 above. Numerous polls, not just outliers, show significant increase in Black support. Rappers such as Kanye West, Lil Wayne, 50 cent and Ice Tea have shown various levels of support. They have an influence on young Blacks. Trump may get 15-20% of Black support.
9. “If you don’t vote for Joe Biden, you ain’t Black” racist comment was Biden’s “basket of deplorables” moment. It may not drive Blacks to vote FOR Trump, but I believe it will cause many to not vote at all for president.
10. Many suburban women were horrified by the riots and the tacit support by the democrat leadership. They may keep it a secret but they will vote for Trump.
Hopefully high turnout and high democrat cross-over votes will overcome expected voter fraud by the dems.
He needs to win w/o PA. Not that he will lose PA, but PA result will be a vote counting quagmire will buckets of incorrectly filled out ballots etc. Let’s avoid 3 days of BS by winning via another path. Joe can’t afford to lose PA, so therefore Elections Board will make sure Trump doesn’t win it either. Don’t want 3-5 days of drama and lawyers. Just win the MI, WI, or MN path
Democrats are anxious about Pennsylvania and a “potential late shift” towards President Donald Trump that could threaten their narrow lead, according to the Washington Post on Sunday.
The concern was embodied in what the Post called a “last-minute, two-day blitz” for Biden in the state, as Trump held four rallies in Pennsylvania on Saturday. The paper reported:
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