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Michigan: Trump 48.3%, Biden 45.8%
Trafalgar Group ^ | NOVEMBER 1, 2020

Posted on 11/01/2020 9:34:33 PM PST by Helicondelta

MI Nov 1, 2020 Presidential Poll

TOTALS (with leans)

Donald Trump 48.3%

Joe Biden 45.8%

Jo Jorgensen 1.7%

Someone Else 1.3%

Undecided 3.0%

(Excerpt) Read more at drive.google.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: michigan; poll; polls; trafalgar
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To: Helicondelta
Not sure why we are all goose-bumped by Trafalgar. They sometimes can be grossly inaccurate.


21 posted on 11/01/2020 10:08:46 PM PST by montag813
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To: ETCM

What were they thinking - a senile white dude who used to associate with segregationists will attract the black vote?


22 posted on 11/01/2020 10:18:06 PM PST by Wilhelm Tell (True or False? This is not a tag line.)
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To: sheehan

You got a receipt for the black vote in Wayne County?


23 posted on 11/01/2020 10:31:09 PM PST by guido911 (all)
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To: Helicondelta

“Biden’s internals apparently have him down only one point.”

I’m not understanding what you mean. Do you mean the Biden campaigns own internal pollster shows him down 1 point? How did you find that out?


24 posted on 11/01/2020 10:36:01 PM PST by willk (A bias news media is not a free press.)
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To: pnut22

Pennsylvania easily but the cheating there will be obscene.
//

FACTS. They let their guard down in 2016 thinking Hillary landslide. The Philly cheaters will be working OT in 2020.


25 posted on 11/01/2020 10:39:10 PM PST by snarkytart
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To: montag813

Good point. Moderators? Can you lock this thread. Montag13 said we are just too damned goosebumbed (whatever that means) over one poll that got the winner right but by too many points.


26 posted on 11/01/2020 10:49:20 PM PST by guido911 (all)
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To: willk

Yes, it was reported in the media. Biden was with Obama in Michigan on Saturday. He is desperate.


27 posted on 11/01/2020 10:56:49 PM PST by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: Helicondelta
Biden's internals apparently have him down only one point.

Partner, in the great state of Michigan it is President Trump will win by around 6 to 7 points.

Also, we will have another Republican Senator in James is ahead by around 4 to 5 points over the current DemonRat Senator.

28 posted on 11/01/2020 10:57:45 PM PST by TheConservativeTejano (The Business of America is Business...)
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To: Florida1181

From the doller store.


29 posted on 11/02/2020 12:13:48 AM PST by Berlin_Freeper
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To: DaiHuy

“What a crock of crap RCP is”

Why the are in existence is beyond me. I haven’t been to that site in easily three election cycles. Garbage in, garbage out.


30 posted on 11/02/2020 12:15:18 AM PST by DAC21
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To: Helicondelta

The truth, I fear, lies in the middle. The middle is skewed in RCP by the sheer number of leftist biased polls. So I throw out or adjust the craziest leftist polls like Quinipiac and NYT. Then it looks like just maybeeeeeee...

Predicting a Trump electoral landslide is just too Heaven’s Gate cultish for me. What are you going to do and where are you going to put your faith when it doesn’t materialize?


31 posted on 11/02/2020 12:15:47 AM PST by UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide (Reverse Wickard v Filburn (1942) - and - ISLAM DELENDA EST)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

The President is the incumbent.

There is a very weak challenger.

An electoral landslide would normally be expected in that scenario.


32 posted on 11/02/2020 12:23:34 AM PST by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman. Pronounced: Bye Done.)
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To: cgbg

Even Trafalgar doesn’t see it.


33 posted on 11/02/2020 12:36:14 AM PST by UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide (Reverse Wickard v Filburn (1942) - and - ISLAM DELENDA EST)
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To: cgbg

Scott Adams today predicted that the media will go into full denial and refuse to announce a winner no matter how lopsided the results are for Trump.


34 posted on 11/02/2020 12:54:40 AM PST by Gideon7
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

What pollsters cannot capture—at the end of the day—is turnout.

There is no way to tell who will actually show up and vote.

I think what they will miss in this particular election is the coronavirus effect.

There are a lot of Democrats in my area, and many of them have already voted by mail.

But, those who have not yet voted are terrified of the coronavirus.

Terrified.

My hard-core Democratic Party family’s Thanksgiving has been canceled.

I am telling you that the Coronavirus will lead to a significant reduction of Democratic turnout on election day, and there is no way to capture that with a poll.

“Oh yeah, Ms. Pollster, I am afraid to go out and vote.”

_Nobody_ will admit that publicly.

That is your “shy” no-show Democratic voter.

We will know soon enough, but this is my read.


35 posted on 11/02/2020 1:03:50 AM PST by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman. Pronounced: Bye Done.)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

An electoral college landslide is possible and even likely. But you seem to be referring to a popular vote landslide which I agree will not happen.

One candidate will sweep most of the battleground states that are within a 5% range at the moment. Trump has the momentum.


36 posted on 11/02/2020 1:04:49 AM PST by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: Gideon7

Gee, Scott Adams, ya think? /Sarc


37 posted on 11/02/2020 1:10:56 AM PST by workerbee (==)
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To: UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide

You will be labelled a troll because you’re skeptical of a Trump landslide.


38 posted on 11/02/2020 2:15:17 AM PST by nbenyo
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To: Helicondelta

If Trump gets Michigan alone among the Upper Midwest states - that’s enough.


39 posted on 11/02/2020 2:47:17 AM PST by FLT-bird
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To: Helicondelta

We are going to have TDS videos for at least four years! Great way of finishing the day before sleep.


40 posted on 11/02/2020 2:47:43 AM PST by mmanager (Lets Finish This!)
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