Florida Early Vote update, 11/01/2020

ElectionCZAR ^ | 11/01/2020 | self

[SpeedyInTexas]

“And Nixon mostly likely lost due to cheating in Texas and Illinois.”

Great minds think alike.

[kara37]

seems the Kid pulled the plug again.

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He said he was traveling today for a few hours, and taking his computer with him. So, we will not get regular updates through out the day.

[rlbedfor]

Not sure I can handle president harris for 47 months.

[Wilhelm Tell]

What is the assumption for NPA/O voters and how they will go Trump or Biden?

[Maine Mariner]

I could not agree with you more.

[reviled downesdad]

I did my part for FL. Facilated my folks voting by mail in FL from out of state.

[TontoKowalski]

I hope we didn’t cannibalize our vote. I only know two ppl left to vote in my family. Florida

I hear this concern frequently. But here's the deal. An early vote, already cast, is 100% done and certain. Despite best intentions, there is ALWAYS a chance that something comes up on election day. That's why my wife and I vote early.

We avoid the lines, and we are free from worry that we won't be able to vote because of illness, or the car breaks down, or any of the other things that could derail our plans.

So, don't worry about it. Shift your focus to make sure those two family members make it to vote on Tuesday and try to find a couple more not-yet-voted to do the same.

[MCEscherHammer]

Interesting...

But, do we know how the early birds voted...?

And, do we know who’s voting on Tuesday...? More Rs?

Just curious...

[Round 9]

Why are several counties now blue on that map? I know the blue doesn’t mean Trump is trailing his 2016 numbers though.

Yesterday I recall no counties with Trump trailing when you clicked on the county, but now there are some where he is down 3,000 votes.

[Coop]

D’oh! 1.1 points. I was so hopeful it would be 1.0.

[janetjanet998]

8:08

data dumps in Reps lost 2000 net gains in Miami dade put are still up by 3200

for the day Reps UP 185 in IPEV dems up 3493 EV vote

dems up net 3,308

[EaglesTTT]

Byecomey posted on Twitter the other day that he would be traveling today and updates will be sporadic

[Rumierules]

I hope we didn’t cannibalize our vote. I only know two ppl left to vote in my family. Florida
I hear this concern frequently. But here’s the deal. An early vote, already cast, is 100% done and certain. Despite best intentions, there is ALWAYS a chance that something comes up on election day. That’s why my wife and I vote early.

We avoid the lines, and we are free from worry that we won’t be able to vote because of illness, or the car breaks down, or any of the other things that could derail our plans.

So, don’t worry about it. Shift your focus to make sure those two family members make it to vote on Tuesday and try to find a couple more not-yet-voted to do the same.

___________________________________

Also, think about the Trump friendly counties in Florida where Rs still trail Ds in turnout. Is that likely to hold up? I doubt it. That means more vote gains for Trump. Counties like:

St. Johns
Volusia
Flagler
Pasco
Collier
Okaloosa
Santa Rosa
Martin

[Donnafrflorida]

One went today. Still there. Actually 2 are voting Monday idk. Nervous

[TallahasseeConservative]

Okaloosa and Santa Rosa are two of the Panhandle counties affected by Zeta. Both have Military heavy populations. Don’t worry about those.

[randita]

Too many shenanigans possible with early in person voting and absentees. Gonna vote on Tuesday.

[Persevero]

I am sure both sides have cannibalized their vote - the question is to what degree?

Questions before us:

1. To what degree has each side cannibalized their vote?
2. Did more D’s vote for Trump than R’s vote for Biden?
3. How are the Independents breaking?
4. How is the turnout on Election Day going to go?
5. Will fraud alter any results?

My answers are:

1. Ds have cannibalized more than R’s
2. More D’s voted for Trump
3. Independents are majority Trump
4. R turnout on election day will surpass D
5. I don’t know but LS says it won’t be a factor and we are on there fighting.

[lovesdogs]

Poll watcher Seminole County Longwood/Weikiva library site here...I just confirmed with the clerk that Seminole VBM numbers are raw. Rejected ballots are not currently recorded in anything reported atm.

IMPORTANT: I have a whoopdidoop dem attorney poll watcher at the site today who talks a lot. According to her Seminole democrats(and probably statewide) are being given access to rejected VBM ballot information, name, address, reason for rejection (not the ballot itself). They are then going door to door to cure them. That is the extent of the information I have. But please issue cautions to any in our team to shut the door on any such contact attempt and to call the SOE office themselves or get help from their county Republican office.

Very sorry if this is messy but I’m currently working right now.

[SpeedyInTexas]

Wasserman sticking to his guns:

“There’s an excellent chance President Trump is headed for the biggest repudiation of a first-term president since Jimmy Carter in 1980 (9.7%) and an outside chance he’s headed for the biggest since Herbert Hoover in 1932 (17.7%).”

[SpeedyInTexas]

“Turnout of FL’s registrants so far:

Dems: 64.3%
GOPers: 64.1%
NPA/others: 49.7%”

Its a base election.