President @realDonaldTrump officially takes the LEAD in ARIZONA !!!

@kayleighmcenany ^ | Oct 31 2020 | Kayleigh McEnany

[rintintin]

Kayleigh McEnany @kayleighmcenany President @realDonaldTrump officially takes the LEAD in ARIZONA !!!

Per Real Clear Politics: https://mobile.twitter.com/kayleighmcenany/status/1322573012206571521/photo/1

[dp0622]

Somebody please tell me how early voting affects these numbers??

I’m so confused I’m close to tears.

How do you take an accurate poll when so many have voted already?

I assume only people that have not voted are polled only.

Ah, I’m getting my bottle it’s late and this is stressful.

[Mom MD]

Now he needs to pull McSally along with him

[cgbg]

Somebody please tell me how early voting affects these numbers

Excellent question.

That is up to the individual pollster. They should adjust their numbers based on early voting metrics (where available).

My bet--most do not do so.

[hsmomx3]

AZ has not released what the early voting results are. They count them ahead of time but do not divulge winners and losers to date.

So far, here in the state, every media outlet shows Trump behind.

[cowboyusa]

Down by 40 k votes.

[wgmalabama]

Don’t stress. I stress also so this for me as much as you. We have and continue to fight. It’s in gods hands. Vote and pray. Keep fighting but vote and pray.

[Williams]

He is catching up in important states, and Biden is deflating.

It may not be soon enough for several other crucial states.

[fortheDeclaration]

Excellent

[dp0622]

I forget which state, I think PA, dems are up by 46 percent in early voting, but 50ish percent of dems have already voted while only 16 percent of Rs have voted.

So we have to hope that a HUGE percentage of those 84 percent of republicans who didn’t vote yet..show up!!

I played with the interactive map.

Trump Must Win MI to seal the deal. I’m confident in AZ, IA and NC.

PA...Rs have to show up in Monumental numbers for Trump to win.. dems have a 40something percent lead in early voting but only 16 percent of Rs have voted so far.

WI he can lose but it looks like he can take that also.

As for PA, any idea why only 16 percent have voted so far compared to 50 for dems?

I know there would be a difference, but no other state that I see is so far apart in early voting.

[Ken H]

Peoples_Pundit @Peoples_Pundit

Selzer is not alone, and Iowa is not an anomaly.

In Arizona, Maricopa suburban women solidified Trump’s lead in our polling. Suburban women in Kenosha strengthened the president in Wisconsin.

Subway Belichick @guru_scout
Replying to @Peoples_Pundit

The swing with women is very noticeable too. Completely eats at the narrative suburban moms fleeing Trump. Iowa is the bellwether.

11:50 PM · Oct 31, 2020

https://mobile.twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1322747773175930881

[cowboyusa]

Only 1 third of PA has voted.

[Alberta's Child]

Trump won Pennsylvania in 2016 even though Democrats had a huge margin in voter registration there. What this means is that a lot of Pennsylvania Democrats voted for Trump.

Same goes for West Virginia and Kentucky -- where Trump won by huge margins even though Democrats outnumber Republicans in both states.

I'd say the Democrat/Republican split in early voting and even overall voter turnout is almost meaningless in this election.

[Billyv]

The real story is a disillusioned Dem voter demographic. I predict about a 30% crossover vote going for POTUS, not to mention the 30-40% vote from the African American demographic and the 40+% among the Hispanic community. As in Florida with the 90+% of the Cuban vote, this means with POTUS holding 95+% of the GOP vote we should see a landslide across the nation.

POTUS reelected BIGLY!
+ 4-5 Senate seats!
Republicans retake the house!

Get ready, “The Best is Yet To Come!”

WWG1WGA!

[dp0622]

From your print to God’s eyes!

Thanks for that. Makes me feel much better.

I promised I would stay cool this election.

But I’m cracking as the day gets closer :)

[dp0622]

YES!!!!!!!!!!!

And we WILL take the House seat back from that abomination fluke Max Rose in the Staten Island district!!

Part of the district is brooklyn and that hurts us but POTUS elections always have more turnout and that should make it very winnable for Nicole.

[rfp1234]

I think in PA the GOP voters are aware of the shenanigans involved with vote by mail, and with the Rat fraud machine in Philly and elsewhere.

The more GOP ballots are mailed in or early-voted, the more the Rat officials know how many fake ones they need to manufacture.

Trump voters want no part of that, and are holding their powder dry for a massive Election Day charge.

[rfp1234]

Suburban moms should be more concerned with law and order than with a few offensive tweets. Looks like 2018 may have been a low-turnout fluke.

[the_Watchman]

As for PA, any idea why only 16 percent have voted so far compared to 50 for dems?

The Democrats are the people who bought into the COVID-19 narrative and voted early. Everyone expects Republicans to vote in person. Arizona opened in-person voting sites. So, my wife and I voted yesterday at Glendale Community College.

My reason for voting early was not Covid related. Instead, I am very concerned with disruption at voting sites on Nov 3.

I think that the Democrats, knowing that more Republicans than Democrats will be voting Nov 3, will employ Antifa tactics DURING Nov 3 voting. I believe that they openly published plans to cause disruption on Nov 4 in order to give cover for moving people and equipment in place for rioting Nov 3.

[Let's Roll]

Definitely