Republicans gained another 50,000 today in Florida. Democrats’ lead has been cut from 430,000 to about 110,000. Republicans have 2 days to pick up 25,000 more to outperform their 2016 numbers

@JoeNBC ^ | Oct 30 2020 | Joe Scarborough

[rintintin]

Joe Scarborough @JoeNBC Republicans gained another 50,000 today in Florida. Democrats’ lead has been cut from 430,000 to about 110,000. Republicans have 2 days to pick up 25,000 more to outperform their 2016 numbers. Unless Ds stop the slide this weekend, Biden is in a bind in Florida.

4:49 PM · Oct 30, 2020·Twitter for iPhone

[rintintin]

I hear the numbers are even better for Rs in FL as of this minute.

[Cottonhill]

Great! Thanks for posting. Good to hear.

[ConservativeDude]

It’s delicious to see Scarborough in a panic

[DoodleBob]

Be a little wary...someone said some of this may reflect trad Dems who voted for Trump in 2016 then flipped registrations to R. Thus it's not necessarily a pickup but rather could be a correction.

That said, encouragement is always helpful.

[MNDude]

About 20% of those who attend Trump rallies have been dems.

[monkeyshine]

How often do people actually change their registration/affiliation? I imagine to most voters they just stick with whatever they had when they first registered but are of course free to vote for whomever they like. You’d have to be really ticked off at your party and/or want to have a say in the primaries to change your registration. Or maybe it’s very easy to do in FL? I dunno.

[JayGalt]

Today we will start cutting into the 96,400 lead the Dems had in 2016 on Election Day

Larry Schweikart@LarrySchweikart
1:15 PM · Oct 31, 2020·Twitter Web App

FL all votes: Ds+97,221
In 2016 on Election Eve Ds led by 96,400

Rs Target: 821
At that point we are officially ahead of FL 2016 #s and we can start aiming at erasing the 96,000.

Trump won by 113,000.

[wiseprince]

Patience. Don’t be over confident. Let’s get this done and we can celebrate for 4 more years

[cgbg]

The “experts” are always the last to know....what a joke...

[MagillaX]

After looking around it would appear to me as long as Republicans have a 10 percent or better turnout then Dem's from now to election day president Trump wins four more years. The margin may be even less than that but lets end this thing.

Vote early in person if possible and make sure you take a fellow republican to the voting booth with you and leave no stone unturned.

[edwinland]

Yes. As of this minute Republicans have just about caught up to their 2106 gap (96k):

D-R gap (raw): 97221

And that’s a smaller % gap than on the eve of election day 2016.

And the gap is still falling and there’s still 1 1/2 days of early voting to go.

[entropy12]

[DoodleBob]

That's a good point. I don't know. I remember stories about how the police won't come to your house if you are a registered X in a Y town. Maybe there is some of that still in the nation, which may drive registration changes.

Frankly, in this environment, to minimize the chance of my mail-in ballot getting shredded, I'd go No Party/Unaffiliated.

[entropy12]

It is fairly easy to change in FL but most don’t bother.

[Danette]

There is no Brenda Snipes in Broward County to manufacture Biden votes.

Remember Brenda Snipes?

[TexasFreeper2009]

I suspect a lot of Republicans that usually vote on election day are voting early in person this year. But that’s ok, because we know from polling that most democrats are too terrified to leave their houses to vote. So even with a lower turnout on election day, it should still be overwhelmingly Republican.

[calenel]

You post seems to have fallen afoul of entropy.

[theoilpainter]

These are R vs D comparisons with 2016. This is valuable, but it would be more meaningful if these stats included Independents in the comparison. How did they break in 2016? Any poll data re independents in 2020?

[silverleaf]

Plus Trump is picking up far more Black and Latino voters than in 2016...look at Fl Dade! Those huge self-organized Latino for Trump car rallies meant something.
Tomorrow Trump actually goes into Opa-Locka at 1130 PM
It could be awesome

[FormerFRLurker]

I never bought into the idea that Florida would go for Biden. Florida is frequently labeled a “swing state” but it votes red more often than not. The real swing states are up north (Minnesota, Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania). And Trump’s going to win them all.