Posted on 10/29/2020 10:09:25 AM PDT by bort
Trump will do better with college and graduate degree holding Whites here in Charlotte because he’s been squeezing H1b’s.
My income has increased by 1/3rd in the last 3 years. I’m not alone. The pay scale has increased that much with the big banks. People have noticed.
There is something happening that is not being picked up in most polls.
If his goal is to help Graham and Mace in SC, he would be in SC and calling them up on stage. Based on what I am seeing, I wish he were in CO, NM or VA to help those Senate candidates. I left out MN since he will be there tomorrow.
BTW, I’ve been telling people for months Trump was going to easily carry NC again. I live here. I like to go hiking on the weekends so I get out from the suburbs and see lots of rural areas, and I talk to people.
Its been obvious for a while that Trump was going to win. Tillis will win also. The only race I’m not sure of is unseating our idiot governor Roy Cooper.
One concern is the lackadaisical attitude of the Demonicrats toward the campaign efforts of their demented candidate (other than clamping down on evidence exposing him and Obama as out-and-out traitors).
What Demonicrats have been pushing (with the blessing of corrupt judges) is extending the time for turning in ballots.
This suggests the Demonicrats’ real efforts have been devoted to setting up and carrying out a massive ballot fraud operation to override any legitimate votes cast for President Trump by or on November 3, with Dementiajoe’s antics and the Demonicrat-supported riots simply being diversions.
Lots of students who normally reside for 9 months of the year in NC are not legally allowed to vote there this year, thanks to the Democrats’ poorly-thought-out plans.
I think its time for me to raise my Trump NC bet on PredictIt.
Good data you are posting.
Good catch. I DO think Baris an Cahaly are missing a lot this time around. To their credit, they mostly admit that they are not capturing the “shy Trump” voter who is overwhelmingly white and rural.
I hate cats, and many cat owners are debbie downers, you, however, win the prize.
On every thread, you are negative.
You've been here a long time, either you are a dedicated troll, or you've gotten senile {like joe} over the years.
Send me a private message on how much you donate to FR each year, and I'll make it up, if you just go away.
Yes, the President is going to have MASSIVE coattails. He may drag even Gardener and Collins over the VICTORY line. Look for him to exceed 320 Electoral College Votes.
The president is going to win the media’s useless “popular vote.”
The Senate will remain Republican. The House will gain more Republicans.
Yes, bet big on it. Take it to the bank.
The USSC gave NC the green light to accept ballots for six days after the election. “Oh, look here are 5,000 from the 1st precinct in Durham, and another 10,000 from Raleigh, and What? This entire county in NE NC...we just found them all laying in a ditch”. Plenty of time to manufacture a Dem win.
I think its time for me to raise my Trump NC bet on PredictIt.
Absolutely. I just posted on Colorado and VA. Same thing. OMG, blue collar America is turning out for Trump.
All it takes is one more vote than the other guy...whether it’s a million, or one...a win is a win.
You’re assuming the young voters all are non-Trump votes? That’s not a good assumption.
I wish I had the optimism of you two. I am not an expert but I look at the numbers. I see Democrats underperforming relative to the Republicans but I also see a large group of unaffiliated voters who are probably more fickle. I have been looking at the crosstabs of some of the polls to look at how independents are leaning. If all the unsure independents are given to Trump (i.e. are “shy” Trump voters), the best results would be something like a 50/50 split. That would make the election a toss-up in NC. I still see election in NC favoring Trump, but I think the margin will be less than 2016. I hope I am presently surprised.
So even though they may be received through six days after, they still have to be postmarked no later than election day.
“I have been looking at the crosstabs of some of the polls”
Identified the problem.
I looked at the crosstabs of favorable polls including Rasmussen, SurveyUSA, etc. Trafalgar does not provide detailed crosstabs. While I believe there is a bias in the polls as a group, those that are favorable to Trump are likely not that far off. The only parameter I was interested in was how independents were leaning so such things as breakdowns between D/R/I were not relevant. I hope you are right.
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