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To: SpeedyInTexas

I think its time for me to raise my Trump NC bet on PredictIt.

Absolutely. I just posted on Colorado and VA. Same thing. OMG, blue collar America is turning out for Trump.


33 posted on 10/29/2020 11:12:39 AM PDT by bort
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To: bort; SpeedyInTexas

I wish I had the optimism of you two. I am not an expert but I look at the numbers. I see Democrats underperforming relative to the Republicans but I also see a large group of unaffiliated voters who are probably more fickle. I have been looking at the crosstabs of some of the polls to look at how independents are leaning. If all the unsure independents are given to Trump (i.e. are “shy” Trump voters), the best results would be something like a 50/50 split. That would make the election a toss-up in NC. I still see election in NC favoring Trump, but I think the margin will be less than 2016. I hope I am presently surprised.


37 posted on 10/29/2020 11:23:40 AM PDT by wfu_deacons
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