Posted on 10/29/2020 6:24:41 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
I recently argued that the toss-up states may be different from what media and pollsters present and what you think.
Based my view from the 2016 results, I have the race at 231 electoral votes for President Trump, 183 electoral votes for Mr. Biden, and 124 electoral votes as toss-ups. This implies that there are several paths to 270 electoral votes for a Trump victory.
The Blue Wall Falls Again
If, as in the last time, President Trump sweeps Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, he will have 277 electoral votes. This is without Trump carrying Florida or blue wall holdout Minnesota. In fact, if President Trump were to win Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, he would win with 271 electoral votes. This is without Trump carrying Florida or Michigan.
The South Also Rises
If, as it appears likely today, President Trump wins Florida again, then a win in Virginia gives him 273 electoral votes. Now, I know you have been told that Virginia is blue forever, but as I pointed out previously in the link above, Georgia voted more conservative in 2016 than Virginia voting for leftist candidates in 2016. In the media Georgia is always now a potential swing state, and Virginia is always gone blue forever. Maybe Virginia is gone forever, but the conservative voters in Virginia have been called smelly Walmart people, deplorables, and chumps. They have also been told in western Virginia that their coal-based jobs will be gone forever. Maybe they will just take being called out over and over, or maybe the people in the coal areas of western Virginia, the military families of southeastern Virginia, the people in the peanut country of southern Virginia, the religious people throughout Virginia, and the Virginians who enjoy an open and record-setting economy will blow up in the face
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Minnesota, yes. New York and Nevada, no. New Yorkers do not like Trump, probably because he moved his primary residence to Florida, taking his tax dollars with him. As for Nevada, California has been exporting Democrats there like mad for years.
My prediction is that Biden gets Washington, Oregon, California, Hawaii, New York, Illinois, Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, DC, Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, Nevada, New Mexico, and Colorado for a total of 223 Electoral Votes. Not enough to win, but it won’t be the landslide for Trump that some are predicting.
Trump’s going to win Florida and North Carolina and Arizona. Do we even need to mention Iowa and Ohio?
Sadly due to Occupied Northern Virginia, I don’t think Virginia returning to the fold is possible. Unlike Florida, the rest of Virginia is not big enough to overpower 3 counties filled with Leftist interlopers.
That means Trump has to win at least one state in the upper Midwest. Michigan looks good. Wisconsin and Minnesota and Pennsylvania all look really tight but it appears Trump has the momentum in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. I don’t know one way or the other about Minnesota.
Jody Cunningham will not win here.
That shows Biden +1.8 which is based on “Polls” which are obviously compromised. some of those polls they used gave Biden +10 that is ridiculous.
“Trump will win every state he won in 2016 , plus he will win Minnesota and Nevada.”
I’m following the Nevada early returns. Took a big turn in our favor today. Will pretty much know tomorrow morning.
Don’t count Nevada out. R surge today broke their firewall.
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