NC Early Voting 1,206,995 Ds (40.82%) 879,222 Rs (29.74%) Democrat Advantage of 327K in Early Voting

Twitter ^ | 10/24/20 | Larry Schweikart

[Enlightened1]

NC early voting 1,206,995 Ds (40.82%) 879,222 Rs (29.74%) Democrat advantage of 327K in EV For the third straight day of early voting, Rs out-voted Ds in NC, this time by roughly 13,000 votes.

Rs LOST the early vote in 2016 by 310K but WON the state of NC by 3.8 points. Rs currently trail in early voting by roughly 327K, with 10 more days of EV to go. Monday is the key day, because traditionally on this Sunday "souls to the polls" is . in force. But with the China Virus lockdowns, it's questionable whether this will have the same effect this year. If not, the DemoKKKrats will have shot their early vote wad by Monday only leading their 2016 pace by a mere 17,000 votes . . . one day for Rs.

Currently black vote continues to fall, now to 20.55%. In 2016, when Zero won NC by a single point, he had over 23% of the black vote. So even allowing for blacks who are voting for Trump (say 12-15%), the black vote is already 3% down from the Zero high of 2012.

 

https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1319986156595867648

 

[Valk Rider]

There’s an assumption that all Ds are for Biden.
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Is there an assumption all Rs are for Trump?

[rlbedfor]

Yes. 96%

[Sacajaweau]

So let’s call it a wash and get on with it.

[wareagle7295]

Needless to say, it is going to be interesting to come back and read these threads after the election to see which assumptions proved true. Every election is so different. If I had the time or the energy it would be interesting to see these types of threads from 2012 and 2016.

Basically, I believe Trump has held his base and added and that it is the Democrats that are the fractured party. Yes, they have their ravenous base, but it appears they are still having issues with white voters in the midwest, black males, and hispanics in certain portions of the country.

[mountainfolk]

I have a close friend in NC who has signed on as a poll watcher. They told me what the Trump people have done to keep a very close watch on the whole voting process and it is quite an organized plan that works within the rules and provides for any deviation to same to be addressed by recruited lawyers who can address whatever issues are involved. My husband and I voted in Ark the first day and we were impressed at the organization of the whole voting procedure. Our experience in Ark voting has always been reassuring as to legitimate within our precinct. Good to know that extra vigilance is being exercised where needed. I think that the Trump Republican party has the resources to pay for that extra vigilance which should help to keep the voter fraud squads off balance. At the least, those voters who are trying to game the system need to consider whether the risk is worth what they might not gain anyway.