Posted on 10/21/2020 10:05:05 PM PDT by Its All Over Except ...
Data Analyst Professor Bela Stantic says based on rigorous data analysis of millions of social media posts, he believes US President Donald Trump will win the US election, despite national polls suggesting Joe Biden will become president.
"On September 18, I collected over four million tweets with 20 million likes and I did analysis and based on that analysis I concluded Trump is ahead and he will win with 270-280 seats.
"Trump has 161 seats which are very firm and 19 which is sure, which brings him to 180. He, according to my analysis - which was on September 20 - he was just ahead in Florida, Iowa, North Carolina and Ohio, which gives him 68 seats.
"He was likely to win Georgia, which took him to 264 and Pennsylvania, Arizona and Minnesota were a coin toss, so basically, on probability, it's likely he will win one of these three seats and that will take him to 270-280 seats."
Mr Stantic said he would do a deeper analysis the week before the US election, having only performed a brief draft analysis, especially since President Trump became infected with COVID-19.
"I did collect tweets from Florida a couple of days ago and saw he [Trump] was ahead than he was in September," he said.
"Usually, patterns hold across other seats and states so that means he probably even stronger than he was in September; I didn't see the situation with coronavirus influencing the outcome."
Mr Stantic revealed he had correctly predicted every single seat during the 2019 Federal Election that saw Scott Morrison become Prime Minister.
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EV’s
I really believe it when I see it. I’ll vote on Nov. 3rd and them get drunk so I don’t have to listen to the results.
My gut scientific feeling is PDJTs re-election is in the bag. My big worry is the Senate and House.
With a firm mandate by the voters and a republican senate and house, hopefully we can stave off the wolf at the door. As long a the new speaker of the house is not another Paul Pissant Ryan type
Exactly. WHAT IS THAT IN FREEDOM UNITS??
What? Couldn’t find enough animal entrails to skry? Trump will win big. Not Nixon ‘72 or Reagan ‘84 big, but close enough to be comparable. I base that on just watching what’s going on.
More like 330 EVs. This will be a decisive win.
Sounds low.
Targeting prayers for specific localities (eg. oppose cheating in PA and NV); targeting on deceitful media and their attempts to bait Trump; baited; unmask the various deceitful efforts to .prep Biden
Yeah, seats? I first got excited at the prospect of having 270-280 seats in the House.
He’s an Australian. He probably doesn’t really understand the EC (hey, most Americans - and pretty much everyone on the Left- doesn’t either). But it seems like his analysis doesn’t rely on his understanding of procedure being correct.
I hope in a way that he’s wrong. It would be nice if he got at least as many electoral votes as last time. But I’ll take a narrow win, nerve wracking though it may be.
Yea I’d hope for more, not good for the ol blood pressure lol
Not to mention a narrow win opens the door for recounts etc. Only reason I’d figure Biden would lose by a closer margin that Hilldawg is b/c he’s male. Lotta dudes wont vote for a for woman, much less a shrieking bulldyke
The one poll that matters most and isnt getting a lot of play is Gallup are you better off than four years ago with 57% indicating that they are.
No incumbent in the last fifty years was turned out with a number that high. The last two, HW Bush and Carter, were underwater with this key stat.
Add into that the enthusiasm gap, breaking around 70-30 in Trumps favor, and you can clearly see what I see.
Trump wins in a walk.
The prediction is too close for comfort.
I believe he wins, but as we all know, we need a considerably larger victory to take the House and keep the Senate. I think he gets 300 or better.
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