Skip to comments.Trump will win US election with 270-280 seats: Data analyst
Posted on 10/21/2020 10:05:05 PM PDT by Its All Over Except ...
Data Analyst Professor Bela Stantic says based on rigorous data analysis of millions of social media posts, he believes US President Donald Trump will win the US election, despite national polls suggesting Joe Biden will become president.
"On September 18, I collected over four million tweets with 20 million likes and I did analysis and based on that analysis I concluded Trump is ahead and he will win with 270-280 seats.
"Trump has 161 seats which are very firm and 19 which is sure, which brings him to 180. He, according to my analysis - which was on September 20 - he was just ahead in Florida, Iowa, North Carolina and Ohio, which gives him 68 seats.
"He was likely to win Georgia, which took him to 264 and Pennsylvania, Arizona and Minnesota were a coin toss, so basically, on probability, it's likely he will win one of these three seats and that will take him to 270-280 seats."
Mr Stantic said he would do a deeper analysis the week before the US election, having only performed a brief draft analysis, especially since President Trump became infected with COVID-19.
"I did collect tweets from Florida a couple of days ago and saw he [Trump] was ahead than he was in September," he said.
"Usually, patterns hold across other seats and states so that means he probably even stronger than he was in September; I didn't see the situation with coronavirus influencing the outcome."
Mr Stantic revealed he had correctly predicted every single seat during the 2019 Federal Election that saw Scott Morrison become Prime Minister.
(Excerpt) Read more at youtu.be ...
Helmut Norpoth, Democracy Institute, Trafalgar Group, and Kevin McCullough all got it right in 2016. These 4 models now all predict a Trump victory in 2020!
And now this...
“Mr. Stantic revealed he had correctly predicted every single seat during the 2019 Federal Election that saw Scott Morrison become Prime Minister.”
Similar to Trafalgar with a narrow EC win as the baseline. But I think all these states will vote together so a win will be bigger.
Pray people....pray and vote.....
Amen. Looking great, but it comes down to getting your vote cast.
Thats a whole lot of seats.
Twitter analysis! Interesting. I thought Twitter was just for leftists but I myself joined 2 weeks ago and now I see what all the fuss is about. Twitter is amazing!
I guess I’m in his count now.
And every single poll got the Australian election wrong. Labor was measuring the drapes and it was said their victory was inevitable by the media, until it wasnt.
The satanic Soros sucking poll worshipers simply ignore the Australia poll miss as if it never happened.
Well, is he Australian? Could explain the term.
Um, they’re not seats.
That caught my eye as well. Weakens his credibility when he does not seem to understand our system.
[That caught my eye as well. Weakens his credibility when he does not seem to understand our system.]
Not necessarily in that order.
Time to abolish the seat college!
Banish the seat college!
Im predicting 274.
Based on Tweets? Gimme a break.
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