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It’s the GOP’s turn: Florida’s early voting awash in conservative wave
Tampa Bay Times ^ | Oct 19, 2020 | By David Smiley and Karina Elwood

Posted on 10/19/2020 12:46:29 PM PDT by 11th_VA

A record-breaking surge of mail-voting Democrats in Florida has handed Joe Biden a massive lead over President Donald Trump in his must-win home state.

But here come the Republicans.

The start of in-person voting Monday is expected to trigger a conservative wave that will build over the next two weeks and crest on Election Day. Around two-thirds of participating Florida GOP voters are likely to cast a ballot in person this fall, raising the question of whether Biden, the Democratic presidential nominee, will be able to hold off a Trump comeback by the time the polls close at 7 p.m. on Nov. 3.

“Our voters have said they would like to vote in person,” said Susie Wiles, the operative leading Trump’s Florida campaign. “And our expectation is that’s what they’ll do, whether it’s early or on Election Day.” As of Sunday, more than 1.2 million Democrats had voted by mail in Florida, compared to 754,000 Republicans. That gives Biden an enormous edge that his supporters have held up as a leading indicator that the former vice president will end Trump’s presidency by taking Florida’s 29 electoral college votes.

But if Florida turnout matches 2016, there are likely still 8 million or so ballots left to be counted over the next 15 days. ...

Fifteen days out from Election Day in 2016, according to his data, there were about 36,000 more Republican super voters than Democratic super voters who had yet to cast ballots. This year, with 15 days to go, there are 471,000 more Republican high-propensity voters than Democrat super voters still to cast ballots.

(Excerpt) Read more at google.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: election2020; fl; florida; gop
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To: Coop

Did I say Trump would lose North Carolina?


61 posted on 10/19/2020 3:07:01 PM PDT by Repealthe17thAmendment
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To: Repealthe17thAmendment
Did I say Trump would lose North Carolina?

I don't know. You were responding to a post about the "Trump is losing NC" narrative. And if you have NC as more liberal than FL, which Trump won by only 1.3 points, well... there ain't much room left to maneuver.

62 posted on 10/19/2020 3:09:37 PM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: Coop
I think you misread that. I do think it will be tight. I also think that Florida has had a resurgence in conservatism. So much that I think in 2020, Trump's winning margin in Florida will be bigger than his winning margin in North Carolina.

Things have changed since 2016. I think they got better for Trump in Florida, and tighter for him in NC.

63 posted on 10/19/2020 3:16:38 PM PDT by Repealthe17thAmendment
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To: Repealthe17thAmendment

Okay, fair enough. I did misinterpret your point. I think Trump improves his winning margin in both states, and all across the country.


64 posted on 10/19/2020 3:20:11 PM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: MrChips
The entire Gore/Bush mess in 2000 was created by Tom Brokaw, who called the election early (for Gore?), forgetting the two time zones, after which thousands in the panhandle did not go to the polls.

No forgetting was involved. All the media outlets were reminded in advance by the SoS's office that Florida has two time zones.

65 posted on 10/19/2020 3:23:31 PM PDT by Interesting Times (WinterSoldier.com. SwiftVets.com. ToSetTheRecordStraight.com.)
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To: fortheDeclaration

No, he will, big red wave coming.


66 posted on 10/19/2020 3:29:36 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: fortheDeclaration

I guess they figure they’re appealing to their base who are a bunch or moronic snowflakes.


67 posted on 10/19/2020 3:36:33 PM PDT by hsmomx3
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To: Interesting Times

Noted. Thanks. Sometimes I really do feel like I am living through Orwell’s 1984. The Media really is the enemy of the people.


68 posted on 10/19/2020 4:29:39 PM PDT by MrChips ("To wisdom belongs the apprehension of eternal things." - St. Augustine I donÂ’t think we need one)
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To: 11th_VA

just about to post. Glad I searched.


69 posted on 10/19/2020 5:14:43 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: Brilliant

It’s already started.


70 posted on 10/19/2020 5:17:45 PM PDT by Ravi
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To: RocketMan1

This is the first Presidential election I will vote early. Not young anymore and don’t want to take a chance I may not be able to vote (or kick the bucket) on or before Election Day.

hell getting old.


71 posted on 10/19/2020 5:26:55 PM PDT by georgiarat (A legal System that isn't applied equally has no moral authority.)
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To: 11th_VA

The YUGE MISTAKE the LIEberals are making is that the Democrat voters are voting for Biden.

I am led to believe that roughly 20% of the attendees at President Trump’s Rallies are Democrats.

I wonder if there is any way to verify if the Democrats are REALLY voting Democrat before Nov 3?


72 posted on 10/19/2020 5:40:01 PM PDT by Taxman (MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN, AGAIN!)
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To: Joe Brower

I voted with my absentee ballot last week in Manatee County and my ballot has been verified and counted.

My wife is opting to vote in person at an early voting location tomorrow. She may change her mind and vote with her absentee ballot when she sees the line.


73 posted on 10/19/2020 5:40:50 PM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: Coop

Thank God then that your opinion means nothing to me

I’m guessing your wife and kids too

You’re just boring as HELL man.

buona notte


74 posted on 10/19/2020 5:56:50 PM PDT by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: dp0622
ROTFL!! When subjected to your own words, you throw a tantrum. Too easy! :-D

Hey, before you continue lecturing me/us on boredom, could you tell us another tale about NYC and/or your Italian heritage, Papa?!?

75 posted on 10/19/2020 7:25:50 PM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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