Posted on 10/16/2020 4:43:33 PM PDT by Its All Over Except ...
Pollster from Trafalgar: I predict Trump will win with...
(Excerpt) Read more at mobile.twitter.com ...
Wow! NY. That would be something.
Uhhh isn’t that map showing Hawaii as Red? It’s very tiny and my eyes aren’t what they used to be. But if so this prediction is very questionable. With cheating Georgia and North Carolina are hardly locks either, New Mexico??
That map shows us flipping NY as well- I thought that was a lost cause - why do you think that is doable?
Does our opinion of black voters comes from something other than personally knowing any? I can attest to the fact that virtually all of the black working men I know are on the Trump train.
So do I, I think we take back the House, hold the Senate, pick up a couple of seats and win the WH.
Trump will add to his electoral college votes this time.
No, we aren’t winning Hawaii or NY.
All the libs left NYC ?
Agreed and retake the House.
New Hampshire. is not Republican any more.
Should rename it North Massachusetts.
“I still can’t see Trump cracking 10% of the Black vote. It just isn’t crackable.”
I think he’ll crack 20% of the black vote.
What map?
People forget a key point in Bush v Gore. Florida was NOT close except for media calling the state when GOP panhandle still had an hour to vote. Best estimates are that voter suppression cost Bush 20,000 from his margin. Gore and media thought it would be enough, but GOP had exceeded their expectations.
A more realistic view for 362 of this would be OR, CO, NH, ME (minus CD1) and VA instead of NY. I am skeptical of this model but man do I pray for this daily. At this point, I will take 270-268 for Trump but I REALLY, REALLY want a repudiation and humiliation of these democrats.
didn’t catch that—yeah I don’t see NY happening...
Trump would more likely add Nevada, Colorado, Minnesota, Virginia, and New Hampshire and New Mexico to the 306 he won in 2016. He would end up with 353 EC. I could also see him win 51% to 45% in the PV.
My problem is that with the new voting schemes they have weeks to cheat instead of just hours.
Granted, this is mostly in places that will go blue anyway, but those are tryouts for the new places.
Count on well over 300 for Trump. He’s going to take Fl, Ga, Az, Oh, Mi, Wi and maybe Mn. Maybe even Co but that’s a long shot.
God, I hope so.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.