Posted on 10/16/2020 4:54:42 AM PDT by Kaslin
Trump was reported to have 24% of the Jewish vote in 2016. Given over 100 million unsolicited mailed out ballots, another 1-6% of 2% of an electorate so concentrated in NY means little.
One possible area that the Jewish vote could help Trump if it does take a significant swing in his favor would be Pennsylvania. With the concentration of the Jewish vote on the Main Line & Montgomery County it could limit the Philadelphia regional majority for the Democrats and thus swing the entire state.
I’m not optimistic about Pennsylvania because of the ‘mail-in-voting’ wildcard. Even if it mostly works and there isn’t a high degree of vote fraud, neither side will likely accept the results and the counting will have to be stopped before December 14 leaving some votes uncounted. Nobody is going to be happy with the result except the eventual winner.
The Democrats exploit the oldest form of prejudice....the prejudice that city people have against rural people, which just happens to dovetail perfectly with cultural Marxism.... The reason secularised Jews in America are so Liberal is because the vast majority had ancestors who lived in rural areas of Eastern Europe where they were persecuted.... These Jews immigrated to big cities in America, where they were surrounded by lots of different ethnic groups..... So these Jews developed a mentality that all ethnic minorities have to stick together in the big cities to protect themselves against the rural rednecks...... This feeling runs very deep, and the Democrats know how to play this deep seated fear of the rural antisemitic boogeyman like a fiddle..... On the other hand, there are some non orthodox Jews like myself whose religious identity is strong enough to see the utter godlessness of the Left and their hostility to all religion.... but secularised Jews who do not have any affinity for religion can be manipulated into believing that even Jewish Biblical prophecy is farfetched and fanatical
Trump will win the Jewish BELIEVERS vote.
There. Fixed it.
Counting the votes more than 5 weeks after the election is pathetic. That is how Dems win lots of marginal seats: they keep “finding” votes until they have what they need.
It’s how they swept all those California congressional races. Something like 5 seats were lost AFTER election night. I consider that a dry run for this election.
Yep, CA legalizing “ballot harvesting” made those swipes particularly easy, but they have long done it in races across the country. Now they are being given far more time for that in some other states as well.
The Catholic vote varies radically between states and area. Catholics in Louisiana vote pretty much the opposite as Catholics do in New Mexico. Race, sex and urban/rural divide are much more determinate for voting than if a person is Catholic.
The Jewish vote is monolithic, but as you note probably has never been the determining factor of any national election. I often wonder if Jews that live in rural areas vote any differently than Jews that live in urban areas. But the Jews that live in rural areas are such a tiny % of Jews I’m not sure there’s ever been exit polling for them.
Freegards
Hillary got 78% of the Jewish vote. Biden will get 80% plus. Bank on it.
Correct.
Are Democratic Socialists driving Jewish voters away?
https://m.jpost.com/opinion/are-democratic-socialists-driving-jewish-voters-away-645486
Outside of greater NYC-NJ with its hundreds of thousands of Orthodox Jews, the largest Orthodox communities in places like LA, South Florida, Chicago, etc, aren’t much bigger than 20,000 people or so. Not enough to make any difference.
Fortunately, conservatism has gained a lot of support from Jewish intellectuals and big-money contributors. That is probably about as good as can be expected.
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Probably overly optimistic. And in fact there will be no reliable counts from exit polls, save for NY and perhaps NJ.
The same can be said for Catholics and Evangelicals. Those who REALLY Believe and Practice their Faith can see the evil that is leftism.
Those who are lukewarm are into “Virtue-Signalling”, which, being deceitful and hypocritical, gravitates towards the left, which is also deceitful, hypocritical, and self-righteous.
He’ll get a greater share of the Jewish vote, but not enough to flip any blue states.
I wish your prediction were right. From what I observe, there will be a small uptick in the Jewish vote for Trump, but not what you’re predicting. All the major Jewish non-profits are on Biden’s side, all the “progressive” rabbinical seminaries and their rabbinates, and yes, a not-small number of observant Jews. If it were only a matter of logic, you’d be right. There is an overwhelming propaganda campaign that continues against Trump.
yep, there are Jewish in name only just like Catholic or evangelicals in name only-most don’t don’t really practice their faith,attend Temple or Church and their new god is the Democratic party -so from your lips to God’s ears but i would be shocked if Trump does better than 30% with so called Jewish voters
Hmmmm, that’s great. But 4 of 5 who identify as Jews, are not Orthodox Jews. They call themselves Jews and are recognized by others as Jews. Just because the Orthodox don’t recognize them that way...doesn’t make them not Jews.
and maybe the Pope too....
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