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1 posted on 10/15/2020 8:24:34 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

That’s a squeaker.


2 posted on 10/15/2020 8:26:44 PM PDT by thecodont
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To: SeekAndFind

While a win is a win, a mid 270s count would not be enough to stop the DEMs from “vote counting” and steal one more state.


3 posted on 10/15/2020 8:27:19 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: SeekAndFind

3334thewin!
Trump4moreyears!


4 posted on 10/15/2020 8:27:25 PM PDT by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: SeekAndFind

AllahPundit is a moron. Of course if Cahaly is off in WI and PA, then Trump repeats 2016.


5 posted on 10/15/2020 8:29:40 PM PDT by usafa92 (Donald J. Trump, 45th President of the United States of America!)
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To: SeekAndFind

..how about 363 instead?


6 posted on 10/15/2020 8:34:05 PM PDT by WalterSkinner (In Memory of My Father, WWII Vet 2007 , and Mom, the Best Mother Ever 2019)
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To: SeekAndFind

That means that Biden would have to run the table winning all the swing states and that just seems impossible. Instead, Trump is going to win by a large popular vote margin and a near record electoral vote margin.


7 posted on 10/15/2020 8:34:25 PM PDT by Meatspace
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To: SeekAndFind

I predict 324 EVs for DJT and that is not subject to change.


9 posted on 10/15/2020 8:38:44 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: SeekAndFind
Sunday Express poll:

“Crucially, Mr Trump’s lead in key swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin remains at 4 percent by 47 percent 43 percent.

This gives a projected Electoral College split of 320 to Trump and 218 to Biden.

While other polls have Biden ahead, the Democracy Institute, which correctly predicted Brexit and Trump’s win in 2016, only considers people who identify as “likely voters” rather than all registered voters and also asks about the so called shy vote.”

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1343305/US-election-poll-donald-trump-coronavirus-covid-joe-biden-exclusive-polling

10 posted on 10/15/2020 8:39:29 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SeekAndFind

I’d like to think that picking up NH, NV and/or MN might allow a little breathing room.

Still cannot fathom how such an extraordinary leader like PDJT is literally fighting for all our lives against a woefully pathetic opponent such as Biden


11 posted on 10/15/2020 8:40:20 PM PDT by edie1960
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To: SeekAndFind

Trump will be in the 320ish range +/- 10


12 posted on 10/15/2020 8:43:31 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: SeekAndFind

At the minimum, I expect Trump to take the states he took in 2016. That’s a low 300s victory.

His campaign is better than 2016 and he has 4 years of great success. His base is even more energized than 2016.

My assessment of Biden is that he is a worse candidate than Hillary, but someone pointed out he’s more likable. Maybe. That’s a low bar to clear.

My range for Trump’s victory is 300-355. That’s not allowing for any states to be lost by fraud. If we lose one or two states to fraud, then we’re at 270-325.


13 posted on 10/15/2020 8:50:40 PM PDT by Forgiven_Sinner (Seek you first the kingdom of God, and all things will be given to you.)
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To: SeekAndFind

I’m predicting 274. Biden takes Michigan but Trump takes Wisconsin and a surprise in New Hampshire.


14 posted on 10/15/2020 8:52:09 PM PDT by SoCal Pubbie
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To: SeekAndFind

Great interview of Robert Cahaly (Trafalgar) here where he breaks down his very successful polling method (Correct in both 2016 and 2018) and gives his predictions for 4 battleground states:

https://luckboxmagazine.com/TPT/

He thinks the “shy Trump voter” numbers are even higher this year than in 2016.

And sets the record straight that he still does not add anything to the Trump numbers to make up for that (as others had accused.) He just uses a lot more platforms to try to reach more of the those voters who are VERY reluctant to respond to polls.

Also, this was interesting....he said Republicans are hard to poll because they are 5 times less likely to participate in polls in general.

Also said that they see lots of voters who say they are going to vote for Biden but based on how they answered other questions like do you approve of fracking (they do); do you support strict constructionist supreme court justices (they do); do you support defunding the police (they don’t.) he believes they are lying about voting for Biden but he still records them as Biden voters...:-)

Said his polls show Trump is doing great with Hispanic and black voters. His polls predict mid to high teens for black vote. Said Trump actually got 10% of the black vote in 2016 even though exit polls showed 8%. Said voters who don’t want to disclose they are voting for Trump over the phone sure don’t want to admit it to a kid with a clip board after voting...:-)


15 posted on 10/15/2020 8:55:01 PM PDT by Cathi
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To: SeekAndFind

Trump is going to add to his electoral college win from 2016


18 posted on 10/15/2020 9:02:32 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: SeekAndFind

Not sure Trump is ahead enough to beat the margin of fraud.


21 posted on 10/15/2020 9:08:25 PM PDT by pierrem15 ("Massacrez-les, car le seigneur connait les siens")
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To: SeekAndFind

We can afford to lose PA and WI?


25 posted on 10/15/2020 9:15:10 PM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerantagreement)
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To: SeekAndFind

Mid 270s really means 330-350


31 posted on 10/15/2020 9:33:16 PM PDT by WASCWatch
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To: SeekAndFind

trump will beat biden by more than he beat hillary.


32 posted on 10/15/2020 9:49:49 PM PDT by BigEdLB (BigedLB, Russian BOT, At your service)
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To: SeekAndFind

He’ll win by more than that.


33 posted on 10/15/2020 9:53:11 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: SeekAndFind

I predict Trump will get 329 electoral votes


35 posted on 10/15/2020 10:20:35 PM PDT by jmclemore (Go Trump)
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