Posted on 10/11/2020 11:41:06 AM PDT by BenghaziMemoriam
From a commentator (Boog) at The Hedgehog Report, a site
that looks at polls:
Take a look at this electoral map:
Trump has a floor of 259 EVs. ...
...
What the map shows is that Trump only needs one of WI,
MN, PA or MI. He could even win by plucking VA (which is
admittedly unlikely), or by taking some mix of NH,
ME-2 and NV.
On the other hand, Biden has to SWEEP almost all of
the remaining states.
... Trump is a candidate who the pollsters are finding
it increasingly difficult to poll, and that is why many
Democrat party higher-ups are alarmed despite the polls.
(Excerpt) Read more at the-american-catholic.com ...
As a get out the Trump vote incentive, tell friends that a tie means Nancy Pelosi would demand to be sworn in as Acting President. That should wake them up.
Let’s see, RCP has Trump more than 4% behind 2016 overall but UP 0.5% over 2016 in the battleground state polls.
How does that compute?
Actually 12th Amendment “contingency president” provision would be the loophole for “President Nancy” to take over. God forbid.
All true. But he must hold FL, OH, and AZ.
Several other poll watchers have reached the same conclusion. That doesn't mean that they are right, but the media and the RCP average devotees are going to be disappointed once again, even if Biden manages to win. I belive that he is underperforming Hillary Clinton at this point. Couple that with the fact that the Democrats scrapped their entire Get Out the Vote machine due to COVID gives all of us cause for optimism.
Just how would she propose to stage that coup?
Pelosi WILL not be president. Period.
Thanks to the Supreme Court, election results will be known for the most part by the next morning after the elections. Legal challenges? Yes, but the December 14th deadline for the electoral college will be met.
Because RCP is an average of various national polls. It does not take into account the quality of the national polls. It's garbage in, garbage out.
National polls almost always over-sample Dems, under-sample Reps, and don't make any "leaning" effort among self-described Indies. Also, just as with anonymously sourced news articles, you can't be sure pollsters actually reach real live human beings instead of just making up numbers.
Trump will take OH FL and AZ and with the ballot harvesting plans of the Dem in Wisconsin taken down by the courts plus the recurring BLM riots in Wisconsin, Trump is looking good to take Wisconsin as well.
Speculate, analyze, guess......Trump will win by a landslide and the dems will be finished as a political party. They will splinter into all the groups they created with no central leadership.
l8r
Gotta say this is the best / most realistic analysis I’ve seen in a while.
Good counter to all the “Biden’s ahead by 16 PLUS!” BS “polls” that are in all likelihood nothing but voter suppression tactics (yet again..)
What the map shows is that Trump only needs one of WI,
MN, PA or MI.
I cant resist nitpicking here: MN or WI would give him him 269 - hed still need one more to win. :-)
See Agamemnon’s post:
https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3892752/posts?page=33#33
“Trump’s lawyers intend to check/compare every signature on the mail-ins. Very time consuming. If it can’t get done and certify before EC votes ~ Dec 13, the state risks not being counted in the EC tally.
If they can’t complete vote signature comparison, they may have to forego unverifiable mail-ins and be forced to go with just the in-persons and sig-certified absentees only just to get into the EC count at all.
If challenge goes all the way uo the USSC and Amy Coney Barrett is seated, we might see mail-ins discounted simply on the basis of 14th Amendment equal protection of voters rights grounds.
If (D)’sexperience a rout, they will only have themselves to blame, and the long knives will be out for those tacticians responsible for the failed strategy.
FReegards!”
ME-2 (where Trump is ahead 8 points) carries him over 269.
Actually if Trump won his #2016 set but reversed OH and AZ, he'd still win, 275-256.
“All true. But he must hold FL, OH, and AZ”
....and he is ahead in alll three states according to the Trafalgar Group polls.
He needs to win PA. He is doing a rally there Tuesday night.
Just show up on Election Day, no matter where you're from.
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