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COVID-19 cases up in 21 states as new model predicts ‘huge surge’
nypost ^ | 09/28/2020 | Joshua Rhett Miller

Posted on 09/28/2020 10:03:03 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

The number of COVID-19 cases in the US rose by at least 10 percent in 21 states last week — while a new model predicts a “huge surge” is expected to impact more Americans as early as next month.

New infections accelerated mainly in the West, according to a CNN analysis of Johns Hopkins University data, although some Eastern outliers like North Carolina and New Jersey also saw upticks.

The states where infections are rising include Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oregon, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Washington state, Wisconsin and Wyoming.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: cases; covid; model; predicts
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To: ChicagoConservative27
The Casedemic accelerates! It's out of control. Everybody hunker down! Incoming! Everybody in masks!
21 posted on 09/28/2020 10:20:51 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom ("And oft conducted by historic truth, We tread the long extent of backward time)
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To: Phillyred

You shouldn’t jest about something so serious. Did you know that nine people under age 50 have died of this bug in Idaho? NINE! Out of 1.6 million people. This is SERIOUS stuff.


22 posted on 09/28/2020 10:22:04 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom ("And oft conducted by historic truth, We tread the long extent of backward time)
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To: over3Owithabrain
"So destroying the economy and forcing everyone to wear masks didn’t work?"

They were never intended to make it go away. The intent was to slow it down. Which happened.

23 posted on 09/28/2020 10:23:19 AM PDT by mlo
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To: over3Owithabrain

We need to wear double masks, face shields, and hazmat suits or we’re all gonna lie dead in the streets!!! Trump’s fault!

/sarc


24 posted on 09/28/2020 10:23:20 AM PDT by Deo volente ("When we see the image of a baby in the womb, we glimpse the majesty of God's creation." Pres. Trump)
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To: Tench_Coxe
Just in time to close or restrict access to the polls.

Fortunately most conservatives have gone back to normal routines months ago. It tends to be the liberals who have holed themselves up and still do silly things like wear masks while out jogging or driving in their cars.

25 posted on 09/28/2020 10:23:34 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (Orange Man GOOD!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Huge surge... Less deaths... Young people really don’t get very sick from covid. Old people do.


26 posted on 09/28/2020 10:24:51 AM PDT by jerod (Nazi's were essentially Socialist in Hugo Boss uniforms... Get over it!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27
Also, w regards to Wisco, there was a giant spike in cases aged 18-24 from 8/16-96 (can you say Back to College anyone?), after which it has fallen back preciptously almost to where it was mid august. All other age group were relatively stable in that same time, except around 9/6, when the 18-24s started fallimg, all other groups had a mild spike (said college kids infecting outside their age group) which peaked at 9/13 and hads been preciptiously falling since. Meanwhile cases resulting in death has been pretty flat. See https://www.dhs.wisconsin.gov/covid-19/cases.htm
27 posted on 09/28/2020 10:25:26 AM PDT by cschroe (Veritas est lux)
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To: gas_dr

I’m seeing the same trend here in Indiana, for the most part. What is the most wonderful thing is to see events going on as before, and there is no uptick in the hospitalizations. Even the positive case percentage is holding steady or dropping in some areas. People are ready to move on.


28 posted on 09/28/2020 10:26:01 AM PDT by FamiliarFace
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To: Hojczyk

The 70+ is misleading. If you check the notes on the CDC page, it’s actually 70-79. 80 and older it’s assumed that the case fatality rate is accurate, which means their survival rate is about 82%. That data is also based on studies performed in 6 European countries; NOT the US. It’s assumed that the data will carry over to the US because the populations are assumed to be similar enough. But we have much higher incidents of obesity, hypertension, high blood pressure, COPD, etc. than those nations.

The last overall number I’ve seen from CDC and various studies for an actual infection fatality rate for the US is 0.65%.


29 posted on 09/28/2020 10:26:02 AM PDT by 2aProtectsTheRest (The media is banging the fear drum enough. Don't help them do it.)
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To: jerod

Exactly. Old, and Co-morbid folks should protect themselves. Under 70, in good shape, should go about their business.


30 posted on 09/28/2020 10:27:00 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Not seeing this increase in Nevada:

https://nvhealthresponse.nv.gov/


31 posted on 09/28/2020 10:27:47 AM PDT by willk (A bias news media is not a free press.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Cases... Cases, man. Means nothing. Wake me up when the deaths or hospitalizations start peaking again.


32 posted on 09/28/2020 10:29:54 AM PDT by Chauncey Gardiner
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To: gas_dr

I think it’s risky to call it “herd immunity” simply because the numbers have dropped after an initial bump. Florida’s current numbers suggest ~10.1% of the population has been or currently is infected. That’s close to the US average. Meanwhile, New Jersey’s number indicate they’re at about 28.1%.

So why would New Jersey have a herd immunity threshold that’d 2.8 times that of Florida? That doesn’t make sense. And New Jersey continues to see new cases and new deaths. Louisiana is sitting at 18.1%. Massachusetts at 21%. Mississippi at 15.1%. Is this the same virus? The HIT equation is the same for every virus (1-1/R0), so is the suggestion that there’s a completely different R0 for the virus in Mississippi vs the one in New Jersey vs the one in Florida?


33 posted on 09/28/2020 10:32:58 AM PDT by 2aProtectsTheRest (The media is banging the fear drum enough. Don't help them do it.)
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To: Hojczyk

Alas, over 65 and with health issues describes me and my Trump loving family and friends. So, if you are young and healthy, wear a damn mask and stay home if you are sick because many of the people whose lives you protect are determined to save the country by reelecting our magnificent President.


34 posted on 09/28/2020 10:34:55 AM PDT by Rockingham
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To: Hojczyk

Yup. You are 100% correct.

Pence dropped by ball by losing control of the narrative and this info is now unknown the the bulk of the population.


35 posted on 09/28/2020 10:35:09 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

So what. The key numbers should be hospitilazations DUE to covid and deaths Due to covid. Due is in caps since people are dying from other reasons but if they have covid are being counted as death from covid.


36 posted on 09/28/2020 10:36:40 AM PDT by falcon99 (qu)
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To: ChicagoConservative27
You see? Forced quanantines and lockdowns don't make the Chinese Froo go away ... it doesn't magically disappear. No!

Without an effective vaccine and without the development of widespread immunity with antibodies developed naturally as people are exposed in the course of normal living (i.e., "new" cases vs. illness/hospitalizations), the virus is going to run its course. That is, when people venture out from their forced isolation with unstimulated immune systems and improperly wearing personal protective equipment that doesn't do anything to reduce transmission of the virus, of course the case numbers will go up. They sure as hell will and it shouldn't be a surprise to anybody when they do!!

It's not that hard to visualize and understand this. It's the physical manifestation of the mathematical determination that while we can affect the shape of the infection curve (i.e., we can lengthen the time; that is, the x-axis of the graph), without an effective vaccine we cannot change the area under the infection curve .... we can only -- as what the totalitarians have managed to accomplish over the past half year! -- extend the time for the Chinese Froo to run its course and go away!

(Unless, of course, this entire debacle has some other purpose than "public health" ...)

37 posted on 09/28/2020 10:44:26 AM PDT by glennaro (Democrat/Communist Party core principle: You can control anyone if you frighten them enough.)
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To: Tench_Coxe

as predicted...

How to Defeat Mail-in-Voting Part II
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3871759/posts


38 posted on 09/28/2020 10:44:29 AM PDT by jimjohn (The 2nd American Civil War began shortly after 12:00 noon on January 20, 2017)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Maine???? Maine???? We have been under 50 new cases/day for (it seems) over a month now, and we have had a total of 140 deaths with 1 1/2 months ago about 130. We have not had more than 5 in the past 3 weeks. How are they truthful in saying that there is an outbreak in Maine? 9 of our 16 counties have 1 or less deaths total.


39 posted on 09/28/2020 10:46:00 AM PDT by JCM
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I am furious- my MIL is in an assisted living facility and the preacher and his wife, who also reside there, were going out to lunch every day with another resident once there was a lifting of some of the quarantine rules.

WELL, guess which 3 people have Covid 19??!!

Now we need to figure out what the next step is- remove MIL or roll the dice and let her be infected by these three irresponsible people who have jeopardized the lives of almost 100 senior citizens, many who are in their 80s and 90s???!!!

Dumbas&&s.


40 posted on 09/28/2020 10:47:10 AM PDT by Cowgirl of Justice
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