Posted on 09/23/2020 8:50:07 PM PDT by DoughtyOne
PING LIST - Please contact me as needed...
COVID-19 Update # 189
As of 09/22/2020 23:15 PDST United States CDC - Provisional Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Nations Informaton
As of 00/00/2020 23:45 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Capture Counties Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:46 PDST Johns Hopkins University - Process JHU Data
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Document Core Numbers
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture Nations Information
As of 00/00/2020 23:59 PDST WorldofMeters - Capture States Information
As of 00/00/2020 00:00 PDST WorldofMeters - Data Processing begins...
As of 00/00/2020 ??:?? PDST Publish COVID-19 Update - 00/00/00
Thank you for stopping by to check out the COVID-19 Update.
Here you can find...
Section: 01 Commentary, Special Reports, COVID-19 Update Info, & System Notes
Section: 02 the United States Situation
Section: 03 the Global Community Situation Outside China
Section: 04 the Global Community Situation Including China with reservations
Section: 05 the Mortality Report
Section: 06 Miscellaneous Reports of Interest
Section: 07 the United States, Counties (alphabetical / case no descending)
Section: 08 the United States, States Ranking, Provisional Numbers, & Territories
Section: 09 the United States, Ranked with Other Nations
Section: 10 the End of this COVID-19 Update
Section: 11 Data Sources and a Link to My Own Spreadsheet
Section: 12 Linked Spreadsheet: Counties, States, Provisional, Territories, & Nations
Section: 13 Links to Other Resources
Section: 01
Commentary, Special Reports, and COVID-19 Update Information3
Interesting Tid-bits (hopefully)
Fatalities and New Cases in the United States
Fatalities rose by 584 cases from the previous day, to come in at 972
yesterday. That was a 18.80% decrease from the same day the week before.
New Cases rose up by 10,627 from the day before, to come in at 52,075
yesterday. That was a 34.01% increase from the same day the week before.
I need to point out that Texas had a clerical correction to its cases
yesterday. That resulted in Texas Cases increasing by 18,398 for the day.
To let you know how out of the norm that is, here is Texas' last eight day
figures, the most dated to most recent...
8 days: 7,079 = 4,413 - 4,604 - 4,344 - 2,107 - 5,103 - 7,089 and 18,398.
Just try to keep that in mind when you see our New Case figures for yesterday.
Texas' New Cases were about 10 to 11,000 higher than mormal for the day.
Fatalaties and New Cases on the Global Scene
Fatalities rose by 1,924 cases from the previous day, to come in at 6,188
yesterday. That was a 4.33% decrease from the same day last week.
New Cases rose by 50,176 from the day before, to come in at 298,159 yesterday.
This was a 4.88% increase from the same day the week before.
Section: 02
The Following Addresses the Numbers Here in
the United States of America
Here we go...
New Case Declarations rose yesterday.
Please take note of the Resolved Percentage level on the right.
It's also informitive to look up the data columns to see how the
situation has changed recently.
Concept of adding in Active Cases and Serious Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Here are more of our numbers...
Active cases rose by a minimal amount yesterday.
Take note of the Serious/Critical case situation on the right there.
Our Slice of the COVID-19 Pie
The growth of our slice of the pie has been increasing recently.
Here are the numbers I've been tracking, Globally Declared and Active Cases.
Once again, good and bad side here yesterday.
Active Cases in the United States / Chart
Unlike some of the other charts here, we should see a good rise and
fall at some point withone.
Note that this presents the single, seven, and fourteen day averaging versions.
Remember, these are not new Declared Cases. These are remaing Active Cases.
Active cases grew by a small amount yesterday. We've flattened out. Now, which
way will it go?
Testing and New Case Figures
Requested by stocksthatgoup
Some folks have shown an interest in seeing the COVID-19 Test figures compared
to the New Cases being declared. The following Data addresses that. The size
of it just doesn't seem reasoned to me.
Why/how could the posive portion of the popoulace vary ass much as 2.0% from day
to day? I could a lot easier see a 2.0% trend over three or four days. One day?
Nah.
Testing rose a little yesterday. Those percentages are rising...
Right now I believe the three-day average is the best one to watch.
Things still haven't smoothed out here yet, but things do seem headed for
smoother sailing ahead.
The U. S. Stats / w 10 Day Averaging / Fr: 03/17
Requested by: Texas Eagle
This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers. I may be wrong
not to do so, but I don't plan to put much weight in those figures for a
few days until they normalize.
The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/17, but the data displayed
here will only go back one month.
Here is the chart to match.
I like the New Case Declarations line right now. They are ever so slightly
moving in the direction of flattening.
The active case line has flaattened out.
I have been saying I wasn't too happy with the Recoveries and Resolved Cases
lines there. At the present time they don't seem moving toward flattening any
longer. They may show some strengthling almost imperceptibly.
Compare to the rise of Recovered and Resolved cases on the Global Scene to see
a different more healthy trajectory. These look lethargic by comparison, but a
a little less so.
You can right click view to see the Global Chart enlarged.
United States Movers and Shakers...
I will present the U S States with the most New Cases and New
Fatilities rankings.
Here we go...
Texas and California took the top spots yesterday. Texas figure for New Cases
was 10 - 11,000 cases higher than normal.
Section: 03
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
without Mainland thereChina
Here is the first set of Data for the Global Outside China
Territories
New Case Declartations shot up yesterday.
The resolved percent came in at 76.517%.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active Cases, and
Serious/Critical Cases - Globally, Excluding M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Here we go...
Active Cases rose by a smaller number of cases yesterday. Serious/Critical
case rose up just oever 110 cases.
The Serious/Critical cases rose up, and that was a fairly large gain.
How is the Global Community Outside China Doing,
Without U. S. numbers?
Let's see...
This metric rose up as we head into the higher reporting days of the week.
Numbers rose considerably yesterday. We were just shy of the 300,000 case
figures going into Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. It was a record for a
Tuesday.
Am hoping this doesn't wind up with us going higher than we have been before.
a
The Active Cases outside China Globally / Chart
As in the United States' version of this, we should see a good rise and fall at
some point these two.
Note that these present the one day and then 7 and 14 day averaging versions.
<
The two charts above had looked like they were revealing flattening, but as
the days went by, they began moving upward again.
Special Section on France, Germany, Italy, Spain, and the U. K.
Case growth.
Jim Noble mentioned he'd like to see the US numbers added here. I added them
in on 06/21/2020. I did not add them to the chart because it would have
dwarfed the European nations chart lines. (they would have been reduced to
about 15% of their normal size)
Let's Look at Some Numbers in Five Day Increments:
Spain - OUCH! (Will you look at Spain! Wow!)
France - Ooo
To be honest, it looks like all these nations are showing an inclination to
move up.
I checked the parameters for Spain, and they were correct. That growth is
amazing.
Frace is suffering the same fate.
Sweden and It's Neighbors, Who Has the Best Tactic Against COVID-19?
Sweden is doing its own thing with regard to isolating. I think most people
are aware of it by now.
Here are some numbers to help us look at this issue.
Sweden has flattened out a bit after that correction a while back.*
Eearlier toay I noticed that Sweden hasn't turned in new numbers after the 18th.
So the 18th, 19th, 20th, and 21st number had the same count. Not sure what
happened there, but I did check the 22nd (today), and it is moving again.
That will show up on the 09/23/2020 report for 09/22/2020.
The Nethherlands is just going ballistic.
We do need to keep it in perspective though. While the raw numbers do show
the Netherlands to be going orbital, the per million figures are still a lot
less than Sweden's.
Global Movers and Shakers...
I will present the top fifty nations with the most New Cases and New
Fatilities.
Here we go...
India led out in both metrics again yesterday.
If things don't change with regard to India's case momentum, it will replace
the United States as the nation with the most Declared Cases roughly six
weeks out.
Global osChina Stats / w 10 Day Agveraging / Fr: 03/05
Requested by: Texas Eagle
This data and chart presents things in a little different way. In the
chart it is easy to see the relationship of these numbers.
The Chart will use the data all the way back to 03/05, but the data
displayed here will only go back one month.
Here is the chart to match.
This chart revealed more of a flattening, but no more. There have been some
drops in the numbers of Active Cases, and then the size of their increased
numbers as they grow recently. Both are good signs of a more healthy situation.
In the the United States chart like this one, the Recoveries, and Resolved
Case lines have not shown near the strength as is revealed here with these
upward bound lines.
That chart is provided here, in a small version, but you can see it full size
if you right click view.
Section: 04
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
including Mainland China*
Mainland China's numbers are 0.002% of today's total global numbers.
A Look at Declared, Resolved, and Active Cases, Includes M/L China
End of day figures follow:
We rose to 76.575% Resolved Cases yesterday Globally. The rise in this
column has been very reliable over recent days, weeks, and months.
Fatalities, Recoveries, Resolved, Active, and Serious/Critical
Cases Globally, Including M/L China
Concept of adding in Active Cases and
Serious/Critical here, courtesy of amorphous
Active Cases rose up by a relatively small amount, and Serious/Critical cases grew
by a fairly large amount.
Section: 05
the Mortality Report
Here is the data for four entities...
Here are the figures for the growing case totals for four entities.
We hear all sorts of stories about how these figures are wildly off. The CDC
has studied them and seems to think they may actually be on the low side of
things. I am providing the CDC Provential Numbers down below. Not sure if
anyone has a rock solid number. I doubt it is possible. This is what is
reported out by WoM and JHU. Check out the CDC numbers too.
Charts like this one only show growth. That's why I recently took the advice
of a FReeper and added in a new chart for the U. S. and Global outside China
regions.
Here are figures revealing the daily growth for those four entities.
Numbers of Fatalities in each region grew yesterday, but ours was the mostbr> noticible increase.
Since the beginning of COVID-19's activity in the U. S., higher New Cases were
soon followed by elevated Fatalities. If we have gone to school on the data
of this disease, we know who should avoid exposure the most. So if the
demographic that has little to fear from the disease is out there getting
infected, it may not be a bad thing at all. If the Fatalities remain low,
vastly higher cases may simply increase the rapidity of the saturation of the
people in public who have already fought it off. And that may facilitate the
end of the disease. I'm sure others know this, but I did want to explain why
my thinking has fluctuated over time regarding these dynamics.
Here, let's look at data for the United States broken out by itself.
Our Fatalities grew considerably yesterday.
Seems like we've settled into a Ground-Hog day situation here, living the same
COVID-19 day over and over and over...
Section: 06
Population Saturation
Here are figures revealing how many people in each population base represent one
case. I'm also showing what percent of each population base is infected at this
time.
This wasn't too bad. I'm hoping for better than this, but I guess I'll take
anything better I can get these days.
and Nations With Lots of Cases
At the end of the day yesterday, there were:
I expanded the levels here yesterday. We had nations who were seeing serious
growth, and their levels weren't showing up very well at the top.
Over 50% of the 215 nations we're tracking now, have declared over 5,000 cases,
but they have far lees of them still Active. Over 25% of the nations we're
tracking have delared over 50,000 cases along the way. None of them have
anything near their declared amount remaining active. Keep that in mind.
Daily Case Report Evaluation
I'll be keeping tabs on the daily tallies for days of the week for a while. Folks have
noticed some patterns of larger and smaller data entry on certain days, and on Fridays
sometimes the numbers get noticeably larger because of it.
And we now know Thursdays have potential to break out also. Yikes!
IMO Let's check out the numbers and a chart.
The day before yesterday was the first day in twelve days, that the day's
total was not a record in or more ways. Then yesterday it was back to
setting new a daily record. That was a lot of strength for a Tuesday, and
I suspect we'll see some heaving numbers this week.
Section: 07
The Top 200 Counties in the U. S., by Number of Cases
This little report lists 200 Counties in the United States in declining Case numbers.
There is also a listing that is alphabetical. This report list only the entities
and the number of Cases in the two different sorts.
It will also be available as a downloadable Excel file in Section 12.
For months Puerto Rico was showing up with the Counties. That stopped in early July
if memory serves me well.
Section: 08
States of the Union and the District of Columbia, Compared to Each Other
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
If this area interests you, please use this LINK to the source, and review
the lengthy description and explanation of it's development process.
There are two reports. The presentation above comes from the second one,
and the detailed segmented information below it, may interest you.
These can now also be found under the states on the Alphabetical list. The
states and these entity's numbers should be combined to match that of the
U. S. figures each day.
Section: 09
The United States, Where it Ranks With Other Nations?
Each of these pages is sorted differently. Look at the red header above
the columns to see which column was used for the sort on any given page.
The U. S. will be highlighted red here so we can find it easily in the list.
There was 215 nations on this list last night now. I didn't want to post
seven lists with 215 nations on it, so I picked the top 50. Coincidentally,
one report category had the U. S. at 41st, so it wasn't showing up on the
list with the 31 top nations on it. That wasn't the reason why I extended the
list length, but it did work out well.
I work on the nations right next to the states on my spreadsheet. The
states with the District of Columbia come in at a total of 51 lines.
I decided to keep the international reports near that length, and 50
was good enough.
Here we go... for your review.
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
For your review...
Around 06/23, China started putting out it's testing numbers. I thought
they were suspect. The number they put out was 90,410,000. Ours and most
everyone else's numbers are specific. For instance on 06/28, our number of
of tests at the ned of the day was 32,592,368. That specificity separates it
from the number China put out. It was rounded to the 10 thousandth place. In
addition, China has not updated that number once. So I do not inlude China in
the Nation's Comparison Sort regarding Testing, and any place that reports out
global testing numbers for a top level comparison.
We remained at 19th place here yesterday.
Over the last month we've been in this rut from 19th to 16th place..
Section: 10
Here is what it is all about. From January 20th to the present.
This concludes our look back at yesterday's data. Take care...
Section: 11
Data for this Report Sourced From:
LINK WorldoMeters
LINK Johns Hopkins University
The Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE)
LINK United States Center for Disease Control - Provisional Numbers
Listed in the order of current utilization...
LINK You are Invited to Review My COVID-19 Spreadsheet (XLSX)
There is not an XLS version available for distribution at this time.
Section: 12
Other Features:
LINK US Counties200, States & DC51, Territories & Other Entities11, Nations219,
and the CDC Provisional Counts53
Five Excel Spreadsheet datasets you can sort for your own studies...
Section: 13
Links to other resources:
I cannot vouch for these sites. Please use your own judgement.
LINK Adventist Health Coronavirus Resource Hub - Scroll down for useful info
LINK Antibiotic Vitamin, the (Vitamin D)
Good article on Vitamin D's likely role in prevention of infection. Thanks Blam.
LINK CDC Data for Download - Scroll down - Excel required. Includes death stats.
LINK CDC National Center for Health Services
Provisional deaths as determined by review of vital documents. Much lower...
LINK CDC Secondary Data and Statistics - Portal Entry / Look around
LINK Coronavirus (COVID-19) Map
LINK Coronavirus infection risk may be reduced by Vitamin D
by Former CDC Chief Dr. Tom Frieden
LINK Coronavirus Spread Quickly Around the World in Late 2019, Study Shows
the University College London Genetics Institute
LINK COVID-19 Deaths Broken Out by Thirds, 05/07/20 Map of US Counties
Very revealing display of Concentrated Death Zones - thanks hoosiermama
LINK COVID-19 First U.S. Case, Treatment, features Remdesivir
New England Journal of Medicine article
LINK Cytokine Storm, med Actemra, Physician near death saved
LINK Diamond Princess Review at 634 Case Point of Eventual 712
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Article: International Poll
Daily Mail Reports, Most Effective Treatment According to 6,000 Physicians
LINK Hydroxychloroquine Has about 90 Percent Chance of Helping COVID-19 Patients
the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons, reports 91.6% of patients improved clinically
LINK IHME - Institute for Health Matrix and Evaluation
LINK National Institutes of Health - Cornavirus (COVID-19)
LINK Nasal Irrigation is the Key, COVID-19 Related
LINK New York City - interesting breakdown, borough, age, sex
LINK On the Origin of CCP Virus, A Documentary Movie (turn up the sound)
Epoch Times: I highly recommend this very well documented report.
LINK Rt COVID-19
Calculates and displays the Rt Factor for each state. Thanks FreedomPoster.
LINK World Health Organization
Based on PA Department of Health data as of midnight Septemer 22/23
LTC deaths = 5360 (increase of ZERO)*
Total deaths = 8062 (increase of 39)
LTC deaths as percentage of total = 66.5 (decrease of 0.2)
*ZERO increase in LTC deaths seems, at first glance, highly improbable but the report from my county bears that out. We are one of the "hot zones", contributing most of the previous day's LTC death. And today, nada.
So, for the first time in a loooooooong time the LTC percentage might actually have dropped (albeit almost infinitesimally) beneath 2/3.
Governor Wolf and Secretary Levine can still claim bragging rights for the highest LTC percentage in the NE-US.
Just heard from my friend who’s daughter had Covid 19 and she is negative now after pneumonia.
Doctor told her to get a flu shot, shingles shots and to put honey on everything.
She got the flu shot yesterday, now sick and has the runs.
My grand daughter who is going to med school told me awhile back that honey is good for fighting the virus.
Several honeybee products, such as honey, pollen, propolis, royal jelly, beeswax, and bee venom, have shown potent antiviral activity against pathogens that cause severe respiratory syndromes, including those caused by human coronaviruses.
Sent me these articles...
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7415165/
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32945590/
She is going to school in the Phoenix, Scottsdale area and is looking for a room mate to share condo expenses.
If anyone knows anybody interested, please let me know.
Thanks once more!
My immediate family is advised to quarantine until test results come back: My high school age daughter came down with a sore throat and fatigue, followed by fever (100.1 deg. F before my wife (teaches preschool @ a local private school) gave her Acetaminophen.) Wife came home with chills and fatigue. So, we all went to get tested, esp. as I was due to stay with / care for my almost 90 y/o Mom this weekend. No rapid test result — this was the std. ol’ swab up the nose & “you’ll hear back in 3-4 days”. For those who have not done it, it’s a pretty weird feeling, but not THAT bad. I’d rather get such a test than be stung by a sweat bee, for comparison. All 3 of us agreed about that (the discomfort level of the test.)
The discomfort of 2+ more days to pay Mom’s sitters is much bigger! OUCH!!!
However, better safe than sorry. I’m showing no symptoms other than fatigue, which is more likely due to a bad sleep schedule from caring for Mom (night time trips to restroom, mostly) and I somehow tweaked my lower back recently, and that wakes me up sometimes if I make the wrong turn in bed... Hopefully we can keep any bug away from me: The risk to me is moderate (age) but the situation with Mom gets very difficult if my wife and daughter and I are not part of her care, plus getting supplies, etc. If I got laid up for 2-4 weeks, that’d REALLY be a problem.
With luck, our daughter has something else that will be over in a few days, and wifey is just “nerves”. 2020 has not been a very “lucky” year for us, tho’.
I am curious as to how many FReepers have been tested, if any others are inclined to pass on their experiences.
I used to eat a lot of peanut butter and honey sandwiches. Kinda switched to grape jelly instead of honey, at about 1/10 the consumption rate, when honey got so expensive. Plus, I started putting on a few extra pounds, around age 50. Maybe I should go back to it (honey) for a few weeks...
Maybe just till the end of the election virus on November 4.
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