Posted on 09/12/2020 10:56:19 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Do you have TS strength winds yet? Is it raining non-stop?
Slowest dadgum hurricane I ever saw. It would not surprise me if she just stayed offshore and then fizzled out.
That’s been a long-term concern in parts of Alabama. It’s one thing to experience some beneficial rain (e.g. periodic soft rains), but if the ground is dry and hard, it can’t absorb the runoff normally, and gravity kicks in. Hence, flash and/or widespread flooding. Since my last post, they just pre-emptively issued Flood Warnings for the Alabama and Tallapoosa Rivers on a line roughly from Selma to Montgomery, southward. I fully expect the watch/warning map to start lighting up more quickly through tonight and tomorrow, and my scanner will probably be going like a Wurlitzer jukebox for a couple of days.
No. A little breezy and a little rain. Not much.
That would make me very happy.
Reminds me of both hurricane Alicia and TS Allison.I doubt Sally will fizzle out but it could stall just off the coast for a couple days. Seen that happen with Alicia. Completely destroyed the coast highway between High Island and Port Aurther. Was never rebuilt.
When thoroughly dry, our sandy Florida soil develops a hydrophobic charge which repels water, causing rapid runoff. Not often an issue during the summer rainy season.
Glad to hear.
Been a pretty steady 15-25 MPH all morning here in the Gump. Rain shield is still well south, but radar is showing some afternoon convection popping in East Alabama and heading this way.
Me too. I already got 2” of rain on Friday.
certainly don’t need 10” plus more.
I just got my tractor out of the shop and was going to do some bush hogging this weekend. I got a field of 7 foot ragweed that’s making everyone wheeze and sneeze.
When this red dirt around here dries up hard, it’s one step shy of cement.
Location...About 60 MI E of the Mouth of the Mississippi River
...About 105 MI S of Mobile AL
Max Sustained Winds...80 MPH
Moving...NW at 2 MPH
Minimum Pressure...982 MB
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles and Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles
Sally has been meandering this morning, but the longer-term motion is northwestward or 315/2 kt. Sally remains within an area of weak steering flow, but a weak mid-level trough over the south-central United States is forecast to slide eastward over the next couple of days. This pattern should cause Sally to move very slowly north-northwestward to northward over the next 24 hours, with the center of the hurricane nearing the northern Gulf Coast late tonight or Wednesday. By late Wednesday, Sally should turn northeastward as the aforementioned trough approaches Missouri and Arkansas. The new forecast has been nudged slightly eastward in the early portion of the track forecast, but the latter portion is very close to the previous advisory. The new track lies a little to the west of the various consensus aids in deference to the typically reliable GFS and ECMWF models that are near the left edge of the guidance envelope. Sally's forward motion is forecast to be around 5 kt or less throughout the forecast period, which will result in a long period of heavy rainfall and historic flooding along the north-central Gulf Coast.
Moderate westerly shear and upwelling beneath the slow moving hurricane are likely to prevent strengthening today. The shear is forecast to increase tonight and although some slight weakening could occur before the center reaches the coast, Sally is predicted to remain a dangerous hurricane through landfall. Once Sally moves inland, rapid weakening is expected and circulation is forecast to lose definition and dissipate by day 4.
Thanks for checking in today with your local updates! Much appreciated.
She is also in the process of advising Pawpaw where to move potted plants to protect them from the wind.
AH HA! Now my sinuses know who to blame!
Tis the season, Commish. There’s probably a billion ragweed plants between my place and Pike Road!
LOL I can relate to that. Except the grandkids always seem to locate the strawberries and blueberries I don’t see, which is why I’m in a big push to plant more than I really need. That way I actually get some when they’re ripe. We’ve taken to container gardening and our patio has one of those 4’ ornamental brick walls aound it (AKA ‘The Courtyard’), so the veggies we do have left are well protected. I just sliced and froze another quart of bell peppers yesterday, which is destined for chili, spaghetti sauce, or possibly kielbasa with onions and perogies at some point over the winter. Still have a few stragglers out there, and my late summer corn is finally growing some ears.
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