Posted on 08/09/2020 10:11:09 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s lead over President Trump in the national popular vote has shrunk to just three points, according to the two most recent polls released by major polling firms.
The Hill-HarrisX poll released on Wednesday gave Biden a 43 percent to 40 percent lead in the national popular vote, while the Rasmussen Reports poll released on the same day gave Biden a 48 percent to 45 percent lead.
Biden’s lead is slightly beyond the margin of error in both polls.
The Hill HarrisX poll, “was conducted online within the United States from August 2-5, 2020 among 2,850 registered voters by HarrisX. The sampling margin of error of this poll is plus or minus 1.84 percentage points.”
The Rasmussen Reports poll “of 2,500 Likely Voters was conducted July 29-30 and August 2-4, 2020 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.”
Hillary Clinton won the popular vote in 2016, but lost the presidency since the Constitution specifies the president is elected by a majority of electoral college votes.
As Breitbart News reported last week, Joe Biden may have an even more difficult time winning the electoral college vote, despite a potentially greater popular vote margin over Trump in 2020 than Hillary Clinton had in 2016 due to his anticipated huge popular vote margin over Trump in California:
-SNIP- Had Hillary won California by 39 points in 2016, her raw vote margin over Trump would have been 1.2 million more, or 5.5 million, and she would have won the popular votes by four percentage points, 49 percent to 45 percent, but still lost the electoral college vote by the same election day margin of 306 to 232.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Tweet: Frances Brennan, Director of Strtegic Response for @RealDonaldTrump 2020 Campaign
“China would prefer Joe Biden.” - Nancy Pelosi
VIDEO CNN
9 Aug 2020
https://twitter.com/FrancisBrennan/status/1292457242583871489
hillary “won” the national “popular vote” by 2.1%, so 3% is pretty damn close to 2016 ... not to mention, most of these public polls are either rigged to start with and/or are extremely inaccurate due to the difficulty in finding and getting Trump voters to answer them honestly, if at all ...
That’s how much Shrillary beat Trump in the popular vote. Good thing we have the Electoral College.
I’m not worried. Give it another week or two, and the polls will be back to Biden 99%, Trump 1%. + or - a point or two.
There never was a Biden lead and there isn’t now. The score is still 0-0.
Oh, online. Then it must be accurate. </sarc>
There is NO Biden ‘lead’ over Trump . I don’t care whi say what polls say what .They are all bogus Democrat bullshit and misinformation. Anyone stupid enough to believe any of it ,is really toodump tobe involved in voting at all
Un-lying their polls now so as to leave room for re-lying to create the illusion of a bounce from Joe’s VP pick and convention.
National polls are irrelevant.
The only polls that really matter are Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. That’s where the election will be won/lost.
Had Hillary won California by 39 points in 2016, her raw vote margin over Trump would have been 1.2 million more, or 5.5 million, and she would have won the popular votes by four percentage points, 49 percent to 45 percent, but still lost the electoral college vote by the same margin.
The article has a segment on those three states too. Trump is rebounding swiftly in those as well.
Fake news. They’re just trying to “get out the vote”. It’s down to 3! We need you!
You got it the other way round.
This poll was a random poll conducted in Manhattan and Hollywood. I think it maybe correct.
Do not be complacent. We need to act like President Trump is behind, and campaign like that all the way up until the polls close on election day.
If Biden were leading by 15% as CNN claimed, he really wouldn't need any bounce from his VP pick would he?
As far as I know, no one has won by 15% since Reagan in 1984, and Reagan won 49 states.
Further proof that CNN polls are garbage cause no one is winning 49 states today.
This close, this early is really bad for Biden. Starting to set up the Biden replacement? Can’t replace someone in the lead without a huge backlash.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.