Posted on 07/19/2020 7:46:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
The Our World in Data project (website: ourworldindata.org), from the Oxford Martin School of the University of Oxford, contains a wealth of information on COVID-19 (and on many other subjects, too) that anybody, even the lying media, can view through interactive charts. I was curious to know just how far along we are in the progression of the pandemic here in the U.S., and from their tables I extracted the following information for confirmed COVID-19 cases as a percentage of people tested (weekly intervals, three-day rolling average):
March 16, 2020: 6.5%; March 23, 11.2%; March 31, 15.0%.
April 6, 17.2%; April 13, 18.6%; April 20, 18.7%; April 27, 17.1%.
May 5, 15.5%; May 12, 13.9%; May 19, 12.3%; May 26, 11.1%.
June 1, 10.3%; June 8, 9.4%; June 15, 8.7%; June 22, 8.3%; June 29, 8.00%
July 6, 8.00%; July 13, 8.1%.
The current testing rate is about 850,000 people daily (about 0.26 of the U.S. population per day, 1.8% weekly), and the testing rate is still increasing sharply. As of July 17, 44.2 million people have been tested, with 3.63 million positives (8.2%). Those folks who tested negative either never contracted COVID-19 or had it (with or without symptoms) and recovered.
I began my data analysis with mid-March because (1) this was the day that everything abruptly shut down (in the Northeast) because it was suddenly obvious that COVID-19 was a real problem; (2) the data were being collected from all 56 states and territories, not a subset; and (3) this was likely about the time I contracted my own case of COVID-19, meaning (in retrospect) to me that it had "escaped" from the hospitals and nursing homes to the general public.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
How accurate is that number?
Polls show a 98% chance Hillery will win the election...
Covid virus has already faded...
The Media Covid narrative will remain until Election Day!
“RE: If we work from the current deaths of 142K
How accurate is that number?”
That depends on how many deaths were reported FROM and BY China Virus and how many were reported from those that died WITH the virus but from other causes (like a motorcycle accident).
We know the numbers are hyped and I’m guessing the actual number dying with the death being caused by the virus ONLY at about 40-50,000.
Dr. Ezike, head of deportment of health in the state of illinois, admitting the number of people who dies from coronavirus is less than 10% of reported numbers:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp0afdBUzis
“It is NOTHING more than the flu”
Not exactly. It is a bio-weapon doing exactly what it was designed to do.
“DEATHS. What is the percentage of DEATHS compared to positive results?”
Something around 1%
Many cases reported of people who left long lines after registering and received positive results.
Many cases.
Well that doesn’t mean they’re false. LOL!
The “pandemic” may very well end but the lockdowns, face diaper wearing and all the other despicable mandates of the vile governors will continue as the deliberate miseries caused by the governors have very little to nothing to do with the “public health crisis” which is nothing more than a convenient “good reason” to justify their tyranny.
You are exactly correct, and the cruise ship early on proves out the 10-20% herd immunity threshold. The cruise ship, a perfect environment for the spread of a virus, only yeilded 17% infected. That should’ve been a sign, but the fear mongers buried that as quick as they could.
The deaths curve shows it all this thing is OVER.
I dont disagree that it is over in many places. My wife’s hospital hasn’t had a single case in over a week.
But, this is also spreading across the country. What is going on in TX and FL is what was happening in the Northeast in April/May.
I am kind of surprised how the media, and lots of otherwise bright people, are missing that point. We are not a single geographic location like, say, Belgium. We are a big country. Its not going to hit everywhere all at once.
I think what is happening is private contractors are using fake tests to get paid more—fraud.
Is there any means by which false positives can be identified?
Known Tested positive is not the total positive for Covid19.
That is the flaw.
The only number that is a real indicator is the deaths per 100,000 comparing states.
But that one is bogus too, because of the way the Covid19 label is assigned to the death certificate.
Figure never lie, but Liars Figure.
None of the data is clean. Period.
They’re probably assuming they died while waiting, and have counted them as Covid deaths.
We are chasing that which cannot be done. Stopping a virus from spreading is an impossible task, and dare I say, ignorant.
All virus act the same, they ramp up, those at risk die, those left provide immunity. Check the deaths to time curve for any virus and it will be very similar. Once you get past the top of the curve it is downhill to immunity.
You may desire to “flatten the curve” but that does nothing more than prolong it a bit. The virus will move through the population until it can no longer find a host. Trying to stop a virus, outside of immunity, is a fools errand. One that we are all feeling right now.
Btw, none of this is directed at you personally, just throwing the info out there.
I just divided it out quick using “Worldometer” figures (which may or may not be accurate)....
144,000 deaths divided by 48,000,000 tesst equals just a hair under .3% death rate per infection.
“ How accurate is that number?”
Definitely a fair question. If anything I believe the number is overstated, it seems very unlikely COVID caused deaths are underreported. And the lower the death count goes, the lower the extrapolated number of infections gets. So my guess is we’ve had 40-50M infected. 140M is definitely outside the boundary scenarios.
Only if Creepy Joe wins.
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