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Coronavirus good news for a change; The pandemic will be long gone in the next few months if these data are any indicator
American Thinker ^ | 07/19/2020 | Nick Chase

Posted on 07/19/2020 7:46:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

The Our World in Data project (website: ourworldindata.org), from the Oxford Martin School of the University of Oxford, contains a wealth of information on COVID-19 (and on many other subjects, too) that anybody, even the lying media, can view through interactive charts. I was curious to know just how far along we are in the progression of the pandemic here in the U.S., and from their tables I extracted the following information for confirmed COVID-19 cases as a percentage of people tested (weekly intervals, three-day rolling average):

March 16, 2020: 6.5%; March 23, 11.2%; March 31, 15.0%.

April 6, 17.2%; April 13, 18.6%; April 20, 18.7%; April 27, 17.1%.

May 5, 15.5%; May 12, 13.9%; May 19, 12.3%; May 26, 11.1%.

June 1, 10.3%; June 8, 9.4%; June 15, 8.7%; June 22, 8.3%; June 29, 8.00%

July 6, 8.00%; July 13, 8.1%.

The current testing rate is about 850,000 people daily (about 0.26 of the U.S. population per day, 1.8% weekly), and the testing rate is still increasing sharply. As of July 17, 44.2 million people have been tested, with 3.63 million positives (8.2%). Those folks who tested negative either never contracted COVID-19 or had it (with or without symptoms) and recovered.

I began my data analysis with mid-March because (1) this was the day that everything abruptly shut down (in the Northeast) because it was suddenly obvious that COVID-19 was a real problem; (2) the data were being collected from all 56 states and territories, not a subset; and (3) this was likely about the time I contracted my own case of COVID-19, meaning (in retrospect) to me that it had "escaped" from the hospitals and nursing homes to the general public.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: coronavirus; goodnews; pandemic
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To: SeekAndFind

How accurate is that number?

Polls show a 98% chance Hillery will win the election...


21 posted on 07/19/2020 8:11:03 AM PDT by American in Israel (A wise man's heart directs him to the right, but the foolish mans heart directs him toward the left.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Covid virus has already faded...

The Media Covid narrative will remain until Election Day!


22 posted on 07/19/2020 8:15:58 AM PDT by MCEscherHammer
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To: SeekAndFind

“RE: If we work from the current deaths of 142K

How accurate is that number?”

That depends on how many deaths were reported FROM and BY China Virus and how many were reported from those that died WITH the virus but from other causes (like a motorcycle accident).

We know the numbers are hyped and I’m guessing the actual number dying with the death being caused by the virus ONLY at about 40-50,000.


23 posted on 07/19/2020 8:20:00 AM PDT by billyboy15
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To: SeekAndFind

Dr. Ezike, head of deportment of health in the state of illinois, admitting the number of people who dies from coronavirus is less than 10% of reported numbers:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp0afdBUzis


24 posted on 07/19/2020 8:24:54 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: SeekAndFind
Dr. Michael Levitt, nobel laureate, has argued that “herd immunity” is only 17 percent, due to our prior exposure to coronaviruses, and that US as a whole is currently at 15 percent. Projection of only 2 more weeks.
https://childrenshealthdefense.org/news/lockdown-lunacy-2-0-second-wave-not-even-close/?fbclid=IwAR27FSpMEmNjUB-EtXXXWf2S1rOBVMPNhEE7TBYUkGqEx5BbmmSdaxLGGBY
25 posted on 07/19/2020 8:27:23 AM PDT by Missouri gal
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To: afchief

“It is NOTHING more than the flu”

Not exactly. It is a bio-weapon doing exactly what it was designed to do.


26 posted on 07/19/2020 8:31:04 AM PDT by Cold Heart (Legalize Hydoxychlorquin)
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To: MayflowerMadam

“DEATHS. What is the percentage of DEATHS compared to positive results?”

Something around 1%


27 posted on 07/19/2020 8:32:45 AM PDT by 2CAVTrooper (Political Science degrees, so easy Obama has one.)
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To: rktman

Many cases reported of people who left long lines after registering and received positive results.

Many cases.


28 posted on 07/19/2020 8:37:40 AM PDT by _longranger81 (Speak up for those who cannot speak for themselves; defend the defenseless; care for the unloved.)
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To: _longranger81

Well that doesn’t mean they’re false. LOL!


29 posted on 07/19/2020 8:39:45 AM PDT by rktman ( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
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To: SeekAndFind

The “pandemic” may very well end but the lockdowns, face diaper wearing and all the other despicable mandates of the vile governors will continue as the deliberate miseries caused by the governors have very little to nothing to do with the “public health crisis” which is nothing more than a convenient “good reason” to justify their tyranny.


30 posted on 07/19/2020 8:45:48 AM PDT by glennaro (Mask-wearing maintains fear, but because it's ineffective it helps spread the virus & build immunity)
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To: Missouri gal

You are exactly correct, and the cruise ship early on proves out the 10-20% herd immunity threshold. The cruise ship, a perfect environment for the spread of a virus, only yeilded 17% infected. That should’ve been a sign, but the fear mongers buried that as quick as they could.

The deaths curve shows it all this thing is OVER.


31 posted on 07/19/2020 8:47:28 AM PDT by walkingdead (We are sacrificing America's youth on the altar of our own fear. And it is a travesty.)
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To: walkingdead

I dont disagree that it is over in many places. My wife’s hospital hasn’t had a single case in over a week.

But, this is also spreading across the country. What is going on in TX and FL is what was happening in the Northeast in April/May.

I am kind of surprised how the media, and lots of otherwise bright people, are missing that point. We are not a single geographic location like, say, Belgium. We are a big country. Its not going to hit everywhere all at once.


32 posted on 07/19/2020 8:55:33 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: _longranger81

I think what is happening is private contractors are using fake tests to get paid more—fraud.


33 posted on 07/19/2020 8:57:17 AM PDT by cgbg (Masters don't want slaves talking about masters and slaves.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Is there any means by which false positives can be identified?


34 posted on 07/19/2020 8:58:15 AM PDT by elpadre
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To: MayflowerMadam

Known Tested positive is not the total positive for Covid19.

That is the flaw.

The only number that is a real indicator is the deaths per 100,000 comparing states.

But that one is bogus too, because of the way the Covid19 label is assigned to the death certificate.

Figure never lie, but Liars Figure.

None of the data is clean. Period.


35 posted on 07/19/2020 9:02:44 AM PDT by Texas Fossil ((Texas is not where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind & Attitude!))
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To: rktman

They’re probably assuming they died while waiting, and have counted them as Covid deaths.


36 posted on 07/19/2020 9:14:32 AM PDT by _longranger81 (Speak up for those who cannot speak for themselves; defend the defenseless; care for the unloved.)
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To: Vermont Lt

We are chasing that which cannot be done. Stopping a virus from spreading is an impossible task, and dare I say, ignorant.

All virus act the same, they ramp up, those at risk die, those left provide immunity. Check the deaths to time curve for any virus and it will be very similar. Once you get past the top of the curve it is downhill to immunity.

You may desire to “flatten the curve” but that does nothing more than prolong it a bit. The virus will move through the population until it can no longer find a host. Trying to stop a virus, outside of immunity, is a fools errand. One that we are all feeling right now.

Btw, none of this is directed at you personally, just throwing the info out there.


37 posted on 07/19/2020 9:25:39 AM PDT by walkingdead (We are sacrificing America's youth on the altar of our own fear. And it is a travesty.)
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To: MayflowerMadam

I just divided it out quick using “Worldometer” figures (which may or may not be accurate)....

144,000 deaths divided by 48,000,000 tesst equals just a hair under .3% death rate per infection.


38 posted on 07/19/2020 9:33:06 AM PDT by traderrob6
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To: SeekAndFind

“ How accurate is that number?”

Definitely a fair question. If anything I believe the number is overstated, it seems very unlikely COVID caused deaths are underreported. And the lower the death count goes, the lower the extrapolated number of infections gets. So my guess is we’ve had 40-50M infected. 140M is definitely outside the boundary scenarios.


39 posted on 07/19/2020 9:38:45 AM PDT by NittanyLion
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To: yldstrk

Only if Creepy Joe wins.


40 posted on 07/19/2020 9:47:56 AM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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