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Modelers Were ‘Astronomically Wrong’ in COVID-19 Predictions, Says Leading Epidemiologist—and the World Is Paying the Price [Stanford]
fee.org ^ | Thursday, July 2, 2020 | Jon Miltimore

Posted on 07/02/2020 12:47:12 PM PDT by Red Badger

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1 posted on 07/02/2020 12:47:12 PM PDT by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger
In a wide-ranging interview with Greek Reporter published over the weekend, Ioannidis said emerging data support his prediction that lockdowns would have wide-ranging social consequences and that the mathematical models on which the lockdowns were based were horribly flawed.

No joke. I think it's pretty obvious that the lockdown was a direct cause of the nationwide rioting.
2 posted on 07/02/2020 12:49:58 PM PDT by The Pack Knight
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To: Red Badger
Because of this, Ioannidis sees mass lockdowns of entire populations as a mistake, though he says they may have made sense when experts believed the fatality rate of COVID-19 was as high as 3-5 percent.


How could they be so wrong? They have to explain.
3 posted on 07/02/2020 12:50:36 PM PDT by The_Media_never_lie (Defund the thought police!)
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To: Red Badger; All

“...the COVID-19 pandemic [will] turn out to be another example of central planning gone wrong.”

Fixed! :)

But, by all means, keep voting for the Central Planners! (Socialist Democrat Party Members)

*Rolleyes*


4 posted on 07/02/2020 12:50:38 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'hobbies.' I'm developing a robust post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
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To: The Pack Knight

The lock-down is also responsible for the spread, making people stay confined with others who may have the virus and not know it.


5 posted on 07/02/2020 12:51:15 PM PDT by Red Badger (To a liberal, 9-11 was 'illegal fireworks activity'..........................)
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To: Red Badger

But the climate models aren’t wrong, and don’t you dare say that they might be!


6 posted on 07/02/2020 12:52:08 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Who could have guessed the Communist Revolution would arrive disguised as the common cold?)
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To: Red Badger

Models are always wrong. That’s why they’re called models.


7 posted on 07/02/2020 12:53:47 PM PDT by SpaceBar
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To: Red Badger
"Unpredictable evolutions may ensue, including financial crisis, unrest, civil strife, war, and a meltdown of the social fabric.”

I would say he at least went four for five, so it wasn't unpredictable at all. And the jury is still out on war.

8 posted on 07/02/2020 12:54:04 PM PDT by henkster ("We can always fool the foreigner" - Chinese Proverb)
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To: Red Badger

This physicist makes comments about the Covid models, comparing them with flat-Earther’s view of the world. The model gives you what you are looking for rather than making a prediction you can test. In other words, it is not “scientific.” She makes a good case. (And you’ll learn about quantum measurement which is the real thrust of her talk. She is excellent.)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=plktON9yAGs


9 posted on 07/02/2020 12:54:08 PM PDT by Gen.Blather (Wait! I said that out loud?)
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To: Red Badger

I’m guessing the controllers will try to shut this guy down, discredit him, ruin him. Happens every time. Even when someone tried to tell folks the world was not flat.


10 posted on 07/02/2020 12:54:11 PM PDT by JCL3 (As Richard Feynman might have said, this is reality taking precedence over public relations.)
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To: Red Badger

Yeah. Gee, let’s see...the Dallas County “Judge” (big word for county supervisor) stood up and predicted something like 1M deaths in Dallas county alone if he didn’t lock down. Had a nice well meaning Chinese Doc doing pantomime along with him. Real gong show.

They were completely, utterly, and totally WRONG.

Like orders of magnitude wrong. Like predicting the death count for their COUNTY being higher then what the current NATIONAL total is.

But hey, you can get through law school being innumerate. It’s an asset there.


11 posted on 07/02/2020 12:54:18 PM PDT by Regulator
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To: The Pack Knight

nonsense...those were planned and ready to go.


12 posted on 07/02/2020 12:54:24 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Red Badger

Closing down college campuses and sending healthy 20 year olds home to share it with Grandma definitely was the wrong call.


13 posted on 07/02/2020 12:55:00 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: Red Badger

bttt


14 posted on 07/02/2020 1:04:03 PM PDT by Pajamajan ( Pray for our nation. Thank the Lord for everything you have. Don't wait. Do it today.)
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To: Regulator
But hey, you can get through law school being innumerate. It’s an asset there.

It's an even bigger asset when you're the 'Rat Party's presidential candidate!

15 posted on 07/02/2020 1:06:11 PM PDT by bassmaner (Hey commies: I'm a white male, and guilty of NOTHING! Sell your 'white guilt' elsewhere.ietthvaatal)
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To: Red Badger

They were not wrong, they used the virus for political purposes and it worked, so they are back to doing it again.


16 posted on 07/02/2020 1:16:19 PM PDT by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: CodeToad

Gotta go with what works...................


17 posted on 07/02/2020 1:17:03 PM PDT by Red Badger (To a liberal, 9-11 was 'illegal fireworks activity'..........................)
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To: Red Badger

The models did not reflect how contagious COVID-19 would turn out to be. How could they do that? Some people never had their infection recorded when they stayed home and fought the infection themselves. Some states fudged the numbers for whatever motivation they had for it. Models did not predict how people would behave in the mitigation efforts. Stubborn, self-centered people caused the contagion to advance. Just as the cases began to drop, the George Floyd demonstrations began, causing to cases to spike up. Those same stubborn, self-centered people, in their refusal to wear masks, will keep the contagion advancing. This will, of course, all be blamed on President Trump and jeopardize his reelection.


18 posted on 07/02/2020 1:20:31 PM PDT by jonrick46 (Cultural Marxism is the cult of the Left waiting for the Mothership.)
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To: Red Badger

bkmk


19 posted on 07/02/2020 1:41:01 PM PDT by Sergio (An object at rest cannot be stopped! - The Evil Midnight Bomber What Bombs at Midnight)
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To: snarkytart

I think the cadres that instigated the riots had a plan, but it was a plan to take advantage of the opportunity presented by the lockdowns. I don’t think that plan was made before the lockdowns, nor would they have been successful without the lockdowns. There’s no way they could have gotten nearly as many dupes to go along with it without the social disruption and economic damage caused by the lockdowns.


20 posted on 07/02/2020 1:42:32 PM PDT by The Pack Knight
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