Posted on 06/30/2020 11:14:11 AM PDT by Jacob Kell
Let me tell you why I believe the polls… Because in 2016, the polls were accurate. No, not the state polls. The state polls were way off. The average of the national polls, however, was almost exactly correct.
President Trump lost the national popular vote in 2016 by 2.1 points — and just barely beat Hillary Clinton.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
I have ALWAYS thought that Biden, just like Mueller, is FAKING DEMENTIA so as to NOT be I investigated for their CRIMES !!!
Quite right!
4 years ago, all the polls had Hillary UP by 10+%. That held constant until the last week or two, when the polls adjusted to reality, slightly.
She won by 2.1%
But still, it’s the State by State that matters.
Virtually all of these polls today are stacked with Dems to get the results they want.
I can recall some cases, in which Democrats were doing very well in polls in spring and summer, vs. what the actual election results are.
in 1976, Jimmy Carter had an astronomical lead against President Ford in polls around the time of his convention, then things started tightening. Carter won, but it was one of the closest elections in American history.
In 1988, Dukakis had a 17 point lead in summertime polls vs. George H.W. Bush. Bush ended up winning by 8 points in the popular vote.
And we know Hillary was comfortably ahead all year against Trump, until the final polls right before the election, which showed a tightening race.
Do people initially support Democrats, then when it’s time to actually vote, swing back towards Republicans?
Or are the polls manufactured and doctored, by liberals who want to show a Democrat candidate is far more popular than he/she really is, in order to sway public opinion?
But then right before election, do they produce a real poll, so that they can claim accuracy vs. the actual results?
Some time in the last century, Biden ran in the dim primaries. He polled at 3% among die hard mouth breating dimrats. I don’t think he has gained any popularity since then. And Trump can tie him to Nobama at every opportunity.
“I do think that Trump’s Twitter habits are hurting him badly.”
Only among people who already hate him, Ruthie. Why don’t you go vote for the murder of another 50,000,000 babies.
Oh, wait, you just did.
This being said, I think that if Trump gets focused, this will not be the case in 30 days, but hes got to start now.
Nolte spends his day typing away on Twitter about how Trump is throwing the election away by constantly tweeting while Biden sits in a basement and lets Trump destroy himself. I have to admit it’s an idea that seems to be more correct every day. People on this forum will never buy it because we are the solid base, but I do believe there are a LOT of people who will be turned off of Trump because of his pettiness.
Biden doesn’t have to run a campaign. The media won’t say anything if he doesn’t talk for the next 4 months. It’ll never be Trump v Biden.
I don’t think #1 is actually true.
Yeah if it wes not working Trump would have a 40 Point lead in enthusiasm among his voters instead of the 35 point lead the ABC/Washington Post says Trump has. Thanks Mister Nolte Boy that was close.
‘Trump has practically guaranteed that Biden walks out of the debate a winner if he manages to not fall to the ground and start sucking his thumb.’
I’m sure everybody will be coming in here to dump on this article, and there is some BS in it, and it wasn’t written very well, but the above quote cannot be stressed too much, because it is the truth; the standard for Biden in head to head with Trump is so low that if he simply manages to not sound like Elmer Fudd, he will win the debate...Trump won’t get under his skin the way he did with Clinton, and now he will be put on the defensive by having a record to be used against him (even if the attack is based on lies); all the cute little nicknames that were so refreshing four years ago aren’t going to cut it the toxic atmosphere of today...
and the author’s point about polling is valid; the national tally was right on, and 106,000 votes in three states, out of the 124,000,000 national votes cast turned the election; so citing 2016 as validation that today’s polls are flawed ignores the reality...
all that said, there are three months left before we vote, and things happen fast today; I suspect something is out there that will cause Joe Biden some major trouble...
“Nobody has talked about this...
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/middle-class-joe-cozied-up-to-credit-card-companies-and-made-filing-for-bankruptcy-harder";
Good catch. I hadn’t seen all of that put together before. The Trump campaign should be mailing this to every STEM professor at every college across the country.
“I do believe there are a LOT of people who will be turned off of Trump because of his pettiness.”
What “pettiness?” Be specific.
“and the author’s point about polling is valid; the national tally was right on, and 106,000 votes in three states, out of the 124,000,000 national votes cast turned the election; so citing 2016 as validation that today’s polls are flawed ignores the reality...”
Unless you know how many votes for the Murderess were fraudulent—and that number is surely in the hundreds of thousands at the very least—you have no idea how many votes turned the election.
Maybe it’s just me, but I think Trump has been calm lately. He seems to be somewhat subdued. I’d like to see him get more of his fire back. And there are polls out there that are more favorable to Trump. There’s a Wisconsin poll that has Trump ahead and that Harris poll that has Biden ahead by 4 points, which I don’t even believe he’s that far ahead. Of course, the media doesn’t talk about those. Trump claims his internal polls are very favorable and I suspect Biden’s internal polls are not as good as the pollsters would have us believe, otherwise, Biden wouldn’t have come out of the basement today. No way they’re going to risk Dementia Joe screwing up a 10 or 12 or 14 pt poll. And they’ve come out with this Russia story. This tells me they know they’re in trouble. The president was just up in Wisconsin re the ship/Navy contract, which is probably why he’s up in the Wisconsin poll. He needs to keep going around doing that in all the battleground states. If he can’t have as many rallies, he can still do what he does best — business/deals. Trump has the bully pulpit. No doubt he has a plan and he knows how to win. We just have to keep the faith.
It’s not a barf alert. Nolte is 100% correct. Trump is acting like an idiot.
More like dope on a rope
The pettiness of the President of the United States constantly calling out individual reporters and media outlets. Who cares??? He’s the President and should use his platform to highlight his accomplishments rather than call people out for nonsense. The Fake News BS is tiresome. We all KNOW it’s fake news! He should be campaigning for House/Senate races and tweeting good news stories that make him look like a human and stop fighting with the Tacoma Gazette because they wrote mean things about him. IMHO, of course.
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