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This is evidence against the fake news narrative that "reopening states are causing a surge in new cases". The reality is that reopening allows and coincides with more people getting tested and most of the recent positive tests are old cases. The narrative should read "reopening states are causing a surge in finding old cases"

People who are coming out as their state reopens are getting tested. Those testing positive for the coronavirus AND antibodies (IgM and IgG) show they HAVE and HAD the coronavirus because of the detection of antibodies.

Basics
There are two tests:

The test for coronavirus has a rapid test kit returning results in about a day.
The test for antibodies has a rapid test kit (https://www.fda.gov/media/137367/download) returning results in less than an hour.

Important to understand that a person recently testing positive for the virus does not mean the person recently contracted the virus.

Important to understand that a person testing positive for antibodies may still test positive for the virus and vice versa.

The false narrative ignores the antibody test results and reports a 'NEW SURGE' in cases caused in states that are reopening.

The left must keep states locked down to argue mandatory mail-in voting allowing them to cheat their way to power.

The 'NEW SURGE' in cases is not new, they are mostly old cases of people now coming out and getting tested for the first time.

Such people were likely asymptomatic (or mild symptoms) and never got tested because they didn't know they had the coronavirus. They likely picked it up from an infected family member and never got sick as their immune systems reacted to stop the virus from progressing to COVID-19. But they test positive both for the virus and for antibodies.

Here's an easy to remember summary (Coronavirus = SARS-COV-2):

States that have halted their reopenings must further test positive cases for antibodies.

As states reopen and more people and businesses come out of lockdown, the question for test results is: "Are the recent positive cases NEW infections or OLD infections?"

1 posted on 06/30/2020 6:50:28 AM PDT by Hostage
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To: Hostage
The difference implies that the virus is much less deadly than it looks

Amazing that 3 1/2 months into all of this COVID panic and fear mongering, some are only now coming to this realization, and some are still insisting that it is many, many times deadlier than the flu.

2 posted on 06/30/2020 6:53:17 AM PDT by Sicon ("All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others." - G. Orwell)
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To: Hostage
Vermont Lt ~ I would think the case fatality rate would be measured across people who are confirmed to have had the virus

And 20 years ago, how did you confirm a totally asymptomatic case?

YOU DIDN'T!

You couldn't without a PCR and an antibody test. Mass PCR and antibody testing of individuals who weren't frankly sick simply wasn't available.

Only people with full blow cases who were sick enough to see a doctor ever got counted in the denominator.

FOR THE FIRST TIME IN HUMAN HISTORY we are counting people who were never, ever actually sick with a given disease in the denominator to calculate that disease's fatality rate.

There can be no meaningful comparison to any historical pandemic from this point on.

You can tell your grandchildren that you were there the day the universe changed....

7 posted on 06/30/2020 7:44:37 AM PDT by null and void (It never ends when you go down that slippery slope of digging for the truth.)
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To: Hostage

Good to point this out, but this is exactly what the CDC and others have been telling us for a while now. The media just chose not to really report on it. The Case Fatality Rate was 5.7%. However, the CDC told us a month ago that the actual Infection Fatality Rate had a lower bound of 0.26% (http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3848180/posts) and Johns Hopkins told us the likely IFR is somewhere between 0.5% and 1% (http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3855890/posts).

All that came out at the end of May. The media ignored it, because it’s not as exciting to cover and it makes the whole story less exciting, but we’ve known that for a long time. That said, it’s still serious. Even if we assume a very low herd immunity value (let’s say 50%, which is extremely low given how contagious this has proven to be), that means 165 million Americans eventually get it (without a vaccine). 0.26% of 165 million is 429,000. The Johns Hopkins 1% of 165 million would be 1.65 million. This is why President Trump is pushing so hard for the vaccine. Without it, we’re set to lose a whole lot more people by the end of this thing.


9 posted on 06/30/2020 7:54:01 AM PDT by 2aProtectsTheRest
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To: Hostage

It sounds like the Democrats are running out of time to get their “cheat by mail” imposed. The “surge” includes about 8 states and they seem to be peaking right now. That means their new case rates will fall soon.


10 posted on 06/30/2020 7:55:22 AM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Just sit in your house until the food stops coming and then starve. You'll be safe.)
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To: Hostage

12 posted on 06/30/2020 7:59:20 AM PDT by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: Hostage

Did they have any blood samples more than nine months old to test to see if their COVID 19 test gives false positives for other corona viruses?


21 posted on 06/30/2020 8:21:54 AM PDT by KarlInOhio (In 2016 Obama ended America's 220 year tradition of peaceful transfer of power after an election.)
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To: Hostage

They are adding FLU DEATHS TO COVID ONES. THEY ARE NEARLY EQUAL.


24 posted on 06/30/2020 8:34:11 AM PDT by GailA (I'm a Trump Girl)
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To: Hostage
The 'NEW SURGE' in cases is not new, they are mostly old cases of people now coming out and getting tested for the first time.

The states are now separating reporting of PCR and serology tests so we can tell the difference.

The question is for how long after infection does an individual continue to produce a positive PCR result?

28 posted on 06/30/2020 8:41:57 AM PDT by semimojo
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To: Hostage
 
 
Be that as it may, it's being packaged and sold in the media as the 2nd wave of impending doom - "America on the brink", Gloom! Doom!, nonstop. Since this ordeal started earlier this year my county has had 13 deaths total. THIRTEEN. And even the local news is unwatchable due to the deliberate hysterics of ratcheting up emphasis on testing discoveries while ignoring the low to almost nonexistent hospitalizations and deaths.
 
 

44 posted on 06/30/2020 10:29:29 AM PDT by lapsus calami (What's that stink? Code Pink ! ! And their buddy Murtha, too!)
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