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Study projects US COVID-19 deaths to triple by end of year
The Hill ^ | 05 19 2020 | Reid Wilson

Posted on 05/19/2020 10:36:08 AM PDT by yesthatjallen

A new study suggests the number of Americans who will die after contracting the novel coronavirus is likely to more than triple by the end of the year, even if current social-distancing habits continue for months on end.

The study, conducted by the Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy and Economics Institute at the University of Washington's School of Pharmacy, found that 1.3 percent of those who show symptoms of the COVID-19 disease caused by the virus die, an infection fatality rate that is 13 times higher than a bad influenza season.

"COVID-19 infection is deadlier than flu -- we can put that debate to rest," said Anirban Basu, a health economist at the University of Washington who authored the study.

If the infection fatality rate is accurate, and if the coronavirus continues spreading at current rates even before most states open their economies and relax social-distancing restrictions, the COVID-19 disease could claim between 350,000 and 1.2 million American lives by the end of this year, Basu found.

"This is a staggering number, which can only be brought down with sound public health measures," Basu said in a press release announcing the study, which appears in the journal Health Affairs.

SNIP

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: cornoavirus; lockdown
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A new study suggests the number of Americans who will die after contracting the novel coronavirus is likely to more than triple by the end of the year, even if current social-distancing habits continue for months on end.

In other words no matter what we do covid-19 will simply run its' course.

1 posted on 05/19/2020 10:36:08 AM PDT by yesthatjallen
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To: yesthatjallen

It seems that many of these estimates have been wrong.

But, even if true? How many of them will be in Eeeeew Yuck?


2 posted on 05/19/2020 10:37:18 AM PDT by Fai Mao (There is no justice until The PIAPS is legally executed)
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To: yesthatjallen

This ‘Study’ person needs to be fired.


3 posted on 05/19/2020 10:37:58 AM PDT by SpaceBar
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To: yesthatjallen
A_new_study_shows
4 posted on 05/19/2020 10:39:45 AM PDT by SkyDancer (~ Just Consider Me A Random Fact Generator ~ Eat Sleep Fly Repeat ~)
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To: yesthatjallen

My own computer model indicates that we will all be dead by next Tuesday.


5 posted on 05/19/2020 10:40:42 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: yesthatjallen

“We’re all doomed! Women and minorities first!”

Let’s write down this information, plus the name of the idiots who did the “study.” That way, when it doesn’t come true, we can have them banned from the internet for spreading false information.


6 posted on 05/19/2020 10:42:04 AM PDT by I want the USA back (I fear my government more than the bug.)
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To: SpaceBar

“This ‘Study’ person needs to be fired.”

There are no repercussions in the modern scientific community for being wrong. Logic and reason has been replaced with politics and payoffs.


7 posted on 05/19/2020 10:42:39 AM PDT by Soul of the South (The past is gone and cannot be changed. Tomorrow can be a better day if we work on i)
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To: yesthatjallen

3 x Zero is still zero.


8 posted on 05/19/2020 10:43:20 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: yesthatjallen

“Anirban Basu, a health economist at the University of Washington”

Is there not ONE SINGLE American doctor or health professional around any more?

Why are all these quoted and go-to spokespeople always some odd hyphenated ethnicity?


9 posted on 05/19/2020 10:44:58 AM PDT by Macoozie (Handcuffs and Orange Jumpsuits)
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To: yesthatjallen

Even though the rates of infection and death are dropping throughout the country. Are they hoping for a second wave?


10 posted on 05/19/2020 10:46:14 AM PDT by ScottinVA (Prayers up for Rush Limbaugh...)
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To: yesthatjallen
There are lies, damned lies, and then there are statistics.

But nothing beats studies.

11 posted on 05/19/2020 10:46:49 AM PDT by Texas Eagle (If it wasn't for double-standards, Liberals would have no standards at all -- Texas Eagle)
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To: Fai Mao

It’s the same thing all over again. What is scary is never what is happening. What is scary is what they say “could” happen. I tire of their unrealized and constantly downgraded models.

But the job is to gain control by increasing fear. I’m not part of that equation and mainly just want to make sure I have enough ammo.


12 posted on 05/19/2020 10:47:27 AM PDT by cuban leaf (The political war playing out in every country now: Globalists vs Nationalists)
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To: yesthatjallen

What about the rest of the 2.1 million Americans who are to die?


13 posted on 05/19/2020 10:47:48 AM PDT by Lockbox
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To: yesthatjallen

In other words, “Nobody Gets Out Alive.”

Next year the seasonal flu will kill another 30K to 80K Americans and again next year, and again next year, repeat until extinction.

Soooo damned tired of hypochondriacs.


14 posted on 05/19/2020 10:47:58 AM PDT by wildcard_redneck ("Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither.")
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To: Soul of the South

“Partly because of the huge costs involved, a government contract becomes virtually a substitute for intellectual curiosity. ”

Dwight Eisenhower, Farewell Address


15 posted on 05/19/2020 10:48:45 AM PDT by jjotto (“Blessed are You LORD, who crushes enemies and subdues the wicked.”)
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To: I want the USA back

You left out “orphan children “..{:<)


16 posted on 05/19/2020 10:49:10 AM PDT by Howe_D_Dewty
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To: yesthatjallen
Make everyone take 1,000 IU Vitamin D3 and 25 mg zine supplements daily starting the autumnal equinox to the next vernal equinox. Guarantee the death rate will be VASTLY lower because a combination of Vitamin D3 and zinc makes you a lot less vulnerable to virus infections.
17 posted on 05/19/2020 10:51:28 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's Economic Cure)
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To: Soul of the South
There are no repercussions in the modern scientific community for being wrong

Especially when they do the national scale equivalent of yelling FIRE! in a theater.

18 posted on 05/19/2020 10:52:55 AM PDT by Right Brother
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To: yesthatjallen
In other words no matter what we do covid-19 will simply run its' course.

No, no. If we hand all power over to the Democrats and go full socialist, Covid will be miraculously simply a nuisance, not a crisis.

19 posted on 05/19/2020 10:53:36 AM PDT by workerbee (==)
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To: yesthatjallen

In other words no matter what we do covid-19 will simply run its’ course

Exactly!


20 posted on 05/19/2020 10:53:36 AM PDT by rdl6989
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