Posted on 05/13/2020 5:28:35 AM PDT by St. Louis Conservative
Senate forecast is out and right now Dems have a (somewhat) clear advantage to take control. Here goes:
Arizona: McSally hasnt led a single poll. Trump trails Biden in most polls too so she cant count on coattails. Dem gain.
Colorado: Gardner is down double digits and Trump will Lose CO by double digits. This one is off the board. Dem gain.
Maine: Collins is struggling in polling but she knows how to win in Maine. Well see. Currently a toss up.
Georgia: Internal GOP polling just released shows Biden in the LEAD, albeit within the margin of error. Perdue is up but within the MoE and Loeffler vs Collins promises to be an ugly primary producing a damaged nominee. Neither polling well. Perdue is lean GOP, Loeffler is Toss up.
Kansas: Kobach looks like hes gonna win the primary and that makes KS a tossup immediately if not a lean Dem. Dems have a moderate former Repub running for the seat.
Montana: Bullock is a popular gov, and early polling shows him in the lead. This is leans D.
Alabama: Doug Jones is gone barring something crazy. Likely R.
North Carolina: Cal Cunningham is tied or ahead in every public poll. This is leans D.
No, Repubs arent winning Michigan.
So Dems pick up NC, AZ, CO, MT. They lose AL for a net gain of 3. They still have KS, ME, GA to pick off another one.
Right now Dems are certainly favored to take the senate.
The Turtle is by no means my favorite either. Sometimes we have to hold our nose and vote for the worm or we get the snake if we don’t.
Who will keep us safe?
Who will give us the most money?
WuFlu was the perfect crises for Dems. I dont see the Rs outbidding the Ds for this election.
The polls are not based on likely voters at this stage. This makes them unreliable as predictors of victory.
There is no way to know anything or even hazard a guess. The COVID-19 has rewritten the script and no one knows the lasting effects on states and possible turnout. Mini-revolutions are springing up all over. Don’t even worry about November. It’s a lifetime away at this point.
Correct! Six months is a lifetime in politics.
I think the 2018 election proved that most polls are worthless.
Do you actually BELIEVE this drivel you posted?
Seems like some of the posters (or is that posers?) are falling for it also.
WAKE UP! POLLS LIE!
They used the polls last time to try to push a decrepit, old hag across the finish line when she hadn’t rounded the third turn.
How much more “fake” THIS TIME?
MORE fake or LESS fake?
Thank you, CORRECT! MORE FAKE!
Yet, you fools are still believing these lying FAKE polls!
FORGET POLLS! ALL POLLS, favorable or not.
Polls are like climate models, (most other models as well), you just keep changing/manipulating the data in your “scientific” model until you get the results you want.
LE VOILA!, science says “X,Y,Z”. (Whoomp, le voila)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffCEr327W44
Remember, “garbage in, garbage out”. Such are polls.
Why did you post your opinion in news?
Polls right now are MEANINGLESS. McSally is a bad candidate, yes, but Trump is going to well here in Arizona, and will likely lift McSally.
There is noise against Collins in Maine, because she voted for Kavanaugh. Her opponent has had to do a tap dance to state support for “funny uncle” Joe Biden. Collins will win ... easily.
The truth is, CCP Virus is going to play with the turnout models, so I predict the polling will be way off this year despite best efforts. We would do well to expend much of our effort to ensure that there is no expansion of “by mail” voting.
Did we really just ‘win’ a seat in California?
Before or after the Dems bribe everyone with $2000 a month of Free Cash ?
We must hold the Senate for the judicial appointments!
Scores of Conservative federal judges...that deserves re-election right there.
Don’t forget us winning AL. back.
No surprise to see your predictions.
FReegards!
I believe you forgot to factor this into your fantasy Senate poll-—
“”””Washington Examiner ^ | May 13, 2020 | Brad Polumbo
A whopping 69% of responding adults believe China is somewhat or very much responsible for the coronavirus. In addition, 67% view China as either a competitor or an enemy, with only 6% describing the country as an ally. And roughly 40% view China more negatively as a result of the coronavirus pandemic and the ensuing global crisis. . . . Voters are right. Despite the hyperventilations of some liberal journalists, it is not racist, xenophobic, or bigoted to blame the Chinese regime for how this crisis unfolded”””
Democrats have a (somewhat) clear advantage to take control.
That sounds like the next sound bites for ABCCBSNBCCNNMSNBC.......
aka BS alert.
You couldn’t be more biased. AL only a “likely” GOP? Loeffler is going to have trouble because of a “damaging primary”? Yeah, no. Loeffler was always a lightweight bought and paid for GOPe candidate.
Every one of your picks is tinged with GOPe colored glasses. They don’t call the GOP the stupid party for nothing. If they put lousy candidates on the ballot and refuse to support real conservatives like Kobach, then yeah, the GOP is going to lose.
If anyone believes any Polls.......They are an IDIOT!!
And so is the BS in this obvious troll attempt...
Polls are meaningless at this point6 months before the election. So much can happen between now and the election.
I suspect most of these polls are push polls, as they can alw
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