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Why the Current Unemployment Is Worse Than the Great Depression
Independent Institute ^ | 04/27/20 | Robert P. Murphy

Posted on 05/05/2020 7:08:06 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX

The latest report on new unemployment claims was abysmal, coming in at 4.4 million last week, some 100,000 more than surveyed economists had expected. The continuous claims came in at just under 16 million, an all-time record. Mainstream labor economists estimate that, all things considered, the actual unemployment rate now (which is only officially reported with a lag) is above 20 percent—a rate not seen since the darkest days of the Great Depression. Indeed, all of the job gains since the Great Recession have been wiped out in just a matter of weeks.

What’s worse, even though the official unemployment rate is probably not quite as high as it was in 1933 (when it averaged 24.9 percent), there are reasons to believe that our labor market is currently in even worse shape economically than it was at the lowest depths of the Great Depression. Furthermore, once we take into account insights from Austrian capital theory, we can see why Keynesian hopes for a rapid recovery—and calls for longer lockdowns due to health concerns—are misguided.

(Excerpt) Read more at independent.org ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2020election; coronavirus; depression; dnctalkingpoint; dnctalkingpoints; economy; election2020; mediawingofthednc; partisanmediashills; presstitutes; smearmachine; unemployment
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I hope this guy is wrong. Maybe President Trump can do things that no other president could do.
1 posted on 05/05/2020 7:08:06 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX
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To: Pining_4_TX

Because people are living in Shanties and waiting in food lines and traversing the country looking for a better life


2 posted on 05/05/2020 7:10:27 PM PDT by a fool in paradise (Joe Biden- “First thing I’d do is repeal those Trump tax cuts.” (May 4th, 2019))
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To: Pining_4_TX

How many of today’s unemployed have Amazon prime or Netflix or cable?


3 posted on 05/05/2020 7:11:14 PM PDT by a fool in paradise (Joe Biden- “First thing I’d do is repeal those Trump tax cuts.” (May 4th, 2019))
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To: Pining_4_TX

The Chicoms are responsible for this and it’s nothing less than an act of war. The Rats are perpetuating the the lockdown with treasonous actions. Another act of war. Don’t get me started on the dipschitzs eatin this crap up.


4 posted on 05/05/2020 7:12:02 PM PDT by HighSierra5
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To: Pining_4_TX

GREAT DEMOCRAT DEPRESSION


5 posted on 05/05/2020 7:12:19 PM PDT by stars & stripes forever (Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord. ~ Psalm 33:12)
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To: Pining_4_TX

Thank goodness it’ll only last a few weeks and then we will be back to normal. Right?

Right???


6 posted on 05/05/2020 7:12:31 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: a fool in paradise

I think he is addressing how the government is screwing up the economy in all this. People aren’t starving, but some are content not to work at all. The relief packages, just like farm and business subsidies of all kinds, keep marginal businesses going, when they should be allowed to fail.


7 posted on 05/05/2020 7:13:28 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX (The Nazis were socialists, and all socialists turn into Nazis.)
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To: Pining_4_TX

Already the administration has moved back its hopes for a recovery to 2021. This is going to be a long, slow, tortuous climb back.


8 posted on 05/05/2020 7:13:45 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Prayers up for Rush Limbaugh...)
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To: Pining_4_TX

Of course it’s worse. We haven’t even started to see the impact on having the 2020 summer tourist season quoted out, that hit 10s of thousands of camp grounds, cottage rentals, summer camps for kids, ocean and lake resorts, and the seasonal restaurants, craft shops, tour boat operators, and amusement parks in the colder states. The hospitality industry will take years to recover.


9 posted on 05/05/2020 7:14:00 PM PDT by littleharbour ("You take on the intel community they have six ways from Sunday at getting back at you" C. Schumer)
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To: ProtectOurFreedom

Well, the recovery will come, not in weeks, but in months. Trump is doing the right thing unlike Hoover and FDR, he is cutting taxes and regulations.


10 posted on 05/05/2020 7:14:39 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: ScottinVA

I just pray it doesn’t result in the Democrats winning more elections.


11 posted on 05/05/2020 7:14:42 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX (The Nazis were socialists, and all socialists turn into Nazis.)
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To: littleharbour

The alcohol industry should be fine. In fact, I think I’ll start drinking more. ;-)


12 posted on 05/05/2020 7:15:40 PM PDT by Pining_4_TX (The Nazis were socialists, and all socialists turn into Nazis.)
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To: Pining_4_TX

Timidly raises hand: Because our governors saw it as a crisis that shouldn’t go to waste, so locked down their state economies and intend to keep them locked down all the way to the election if they can?


13 posted on 05/05/2020 7:20:17 PM PDT by Jim Robinson (Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God!)
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To: HighSierra5
The Rats are perpetuating the the lockdown with treasonous actions.

The enemy is within the gates. I have been posting repeatedly that some people MUST be punished for what they have done. They must be.

14 posted on 05/05/2020 7:23:26 PM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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To: littleharbour

I guess you haven’t been paying attention to the people of California flocking by the many thousands to their beaches in defiance of their Gov’t. Florida Beaches ditto.
President Trump is correctly reading American’s eagerness to get back to normal. Chomping at the bit, to use his phrase.
The protests erupting in Blue states against the dictatorial edicts of the idiots they themselves elected.
We will rebound from this. Not in the two months, it took to unemploy 17 million but, in 4 to 6 months.


15 posted on 05/05/2020 7:24:54 PM PDT by ocrp1982
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To: Pining_4_TX

The big difference is that people can now “work from home” with their computers and internet connections, something which was unimaginable just 30 years ago ....


16 posted on 05/05/2020 7:27:03 PM PDT by Ken522
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

The only way they’ll be punished is if they’re defeated. At the ballot box or in the field. I feel the latter is going to be the only choice as time goes on.


17 posted on 05/05/2020 7:27:50 PM PDT by HighSierra5
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To: Ken522

If people couldn’t “work from home,” the shutdown orders wouldn’t have lasted more than 48 hours ... about the duration of the cleanup after a major winter snowstorm.


18 posted on 05/05/2020 7:31:28 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("And somewhere in the darkness ... the gambler, he broke even.")
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To: littleharbour

Yes, the entire travel and entertainment industry will never be the same.


19 posted on 05/05/2020 7:46:22 PM PDT by proud American in Canada (President Trump is never wrong! What a smart, hard-working, energetic man he is.)
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To: a fool in paradise
thank God we've got the govt employees, never fired nor laid off and always paid plus their partners the govt retirees who can support the whole country now with their largess....

I expect them to really come thru now...

20 posted on 05/05/2020 7:49:35 PM PDT by cherry
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