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How high will it go? As Covid-19 death toll in U.S. blows past 60,000, there are no easy answers
STAT ^ | April 30, 2020 | SHARON BEGLEY and HYACINTH EMPINADO

Posted on 05/02/2020 10:13:10 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican

When STAT first compared projected U.S. deaths from Covid-19, in early April, there seemed to be a glimmer of good news: A prominent model had just lowered its estimate for total deaths through Aug. 4 from about 100,000 to 60,000, reflecting the apparent success of three weeks of social distancing across much of the country.

On Wednesday, April 29, the country blew past 60,000, more than three months before the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation projected. (The 60,000 almost certainly undercounts Covid-19 deaths, by about 9,000.) IHME, whose model has been criticized by many epidemiologists, now says the most likely death toll on Aug. 4 will be 72,433, though it could be as low as about 60,000 (obviously impossible) and as high as 115,000.

(Excerpt) Read more at statnews.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: distorted; inflated; statisticalabuse; unreliabledata
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To: MinorityRepublican

Your 250k looks plausible


121 posted on 05/03/2020 12:36:31 PM PDT by Cronos (Re-elect President Trump 2020!)
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To: saintgermaine

Thank you, I will use it wisely and will follow the recommendation of olive oil as a medium to mix it with.


122 posted on 05/03/2020 4:11:46 PM PDT by Glad2bnuts (“If there are no absolutes by which to judge society, then society is absolute.” Francis Schaeffer)
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To: saintgermaine

I received 300 mg capsules, I will dissolve them in warm olive oil beginning as soon as today. Thanks for your advice. Is it something that is also a prophylactic against hardening of the arteries also? Theoretically I mean. Like my MIL is on cholesterol lowering pills which I have read cause cognitive dysfunction or Alzeimers. So Just add this to my vitamin and mineral intake, is recommended and much like vitamin regimen?


123 posted on 05/09/2020 1:32:58 PM PDT by Glad2bnuts (“If there are no absolutes by which to judge society, then society is absolute.” Francis Schaeffer)
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To: Glad2bnuts

I DO BELIEVE YOU ARE ON THE RIGH TRACK

I do believe you are on he right track and in order to make life a little easier if you work with capsules each containing 300 mg of BHT you may want to take a measuring cup, graduated in milliliters, available at Wall Mart, and figure out how many doses you like to prepare in advance. For example if you like to prepare 50 (fifty) doses, see how many milliliters 50 tsps. will occupy start with ten tsps. and then multiply by five, or five tsps. and multiply by ten so you don’t have to go through the lengthy procedure of dumping each individual tsp. in to the measuring cup. . After you have established the amount of milliliters required for the amount of doses wanted, take 50 of these capsules open them and dump the powder content into the oil and let it dissolve. By doing so you just have dissolved 15 gm. (grams) of BHT ( 1 gm =1000 mg) Now you know each tsp. will contain 300 mg of dissolved BHT. Use it as a salad dressing or with anything else. This is just about what I have been doing.

Another thing you may want to keep in mind is, that there are many other viruses around which maybe responsible for a host of problems which so far haves eluded the medical profession and have come up with no answer. One of those articles I just came across addressed this as follows.

XMRV or something closely resembling it appeared to be present in anywhere from 3-8% of the healthy population. Retroviruses hide out in the immune system, which means any immune activation, like an injury, surgery, fever, and yes, even a vaccination, could set off the ticking time-bomb of a retrovirus and cause diseases like chronic fatigue syndrome (ME/CFS) among adults, and autism among children.

Upon checking further we find out that many of these viruses also have a LIPID coating in conjunction with a protein coating and so far there appears to be enough evidence that BHT will damage this lipid coating, rendering such a virus less effective or even disable it.

In my humble opinion I believe it would be easy enough for some sophisticated biology lab facility to put some of these viruses through a test and see how much of BHT it actually would take to kill off some of these viruses, and the time duration to get the job done. Again results may differ between individuals but at least we would get some idea. But once again we up against a common stumbling block MONEY.


124 posted on 05/09/2020 9:37:57 PM PDT by saintgermaine (THE TIME TRAVELLER)
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To: Glad2bnuts

Another article you may be interested in.

Heart Surgeon Speaks Out On What Really Causes Heart Disease
Dr. Dwight Lundell
Prevent Disease
Thu, 01 Mar 2012 21:58 CST

We physicians with all our training, knowledge and authority often acquire a rather large ego that tends to make it difficult to admit we are wrong. So, here it is. I freely admit to being wrong. As a heart surgeon with 25 years experience, having performed over 5,000 open-heart surgeries, today is my day to right the wrong with medical and scientific fact.

I trained for many years with other prominent physicians labelled “opinion makers.” Bombarded with scientific literature, continually attending education seminars, we opinion makers insisted heart disease resulted from the simple fact of elevated blood cholesterol.

The only accepted therapy was prescribing medications to lower cholesterol and a diet that severely restricted fat intake. The latter of course we insisted would lower cholesterol and heart disease. Deviations from these recommendations were considered heresy and could quite possibly result in malpractice.

It Is Not Working!

These recommendations are no longer scientifically or morally defensible. The discovery a few years ago that inflammation in the artery wall is the real cause of heart disease is slowly leading to a paradigm shift in how heart disease and other chronic ailments will be treated.

The long-established dietary recommendations have created epidemics of obesity and diabetes, the consequences of which dwarf any historical plague in terms of mortality, human suffering and dire economic consequences.

Despite the fact that 25% of the population takes expensive statin medications and despite the fact we have reduced the fat content of our diets, more Americans will die this year of heart disease than ever before.

Statistics from the American Heart Association show that 75 million Americans currently suffer from heart disease, 20 million have diabetes and 57 million have pre-diabetes. These disorders are affecting younger and younger people in greater numbers every year.

Simply stated, without inflammation being present in the body, there is no way that cholesterol would accumulate in the wall of the blood vessel and cause heart disease and strokes. Without inflammation, cholesterol would move freely throughout the body as nature intended. It is inflammation that causes cholesterol to become trapped.

Inflammation is not complicated — it is quite simply your body’s natural defense to a foreign invader such as a bacteria, toxin or virus. The cycle of inflammation is perfect in how it protects your body from these bacterial and viral invaders. However, if we chronically expose the body to injury by toxins or foods the human body was never designed to process, a condition occurs called chronic inflammation. Chronic inflammation is just as harmful as acute inflammation is beneficial.

What thoughtful person would willfully expose himself repeatedly to foods or other substances that are known to cause injury to the body? Well, smokers perhaps, but at least they made that choice willfully.

The rest of us have simply followed the recommended mainstream diet that is low in fat and high in polyunsaturated fats and carbohydrates, not knowing we were causing repeated injury to our blood vessels. This repeated injury creates chronic inflammation leading to heart disease, stroke, diabetes and obesity.

Let me repeat that: The injury and inflammation in our blood vessels is caused by the low fat diet recommended for years by mainstream medicine.

What are the biggest culprits of chronic inflammation? Quite simply, they are the overload of simple, highly processed carbohydrates (sugar, flour and all the products made from them) and the excess consumption of omega-6 vegetable oils like soybean, corn and sunflower that are found in many processed foods.

Take a moment to visualize rubbing a stiff brush repeatedly over soft skin until it becomes quite red and nearly bleeding. you kept this up several times a day, every day for five years. If you could tolerate this painful brushing, you would have a bleeding, swollen infected area that became worse with each repeated injury. This is a good way to visualize the inflammatory process that could be going on in your body right now.

Regardless of where the inflammatory process occurs, externally or internally, it is the same. I have peered inside thousands upon thousands of arteries. A diseased artery looks as if someone took a brush and scrubbed repeatedly against its wall. Several times a day, every day, the foods we eat create small injuries compounding into more injuries, causing the body to respond continuously and appropriately with inflammation.

While we savor the tantalizing taste of a sweet roll, our bodies respond alarmingly as if a foreign invader arrived declaring war. Foods loaded with sugars and simple carbohydrates, or processed with omega-6 oils for long shelf life have been the mainstay of the American diet for six decades. These foods have been slowly poisoning everyone.

How does eating a simple sweet roll create a cascade of inflammation to make you sick?

Imagine spilling syrup on your keyboard and you have a visual of what occurs inside the cell. When we consume simple carbohydrates such as sugar, blood sugar rises rapidly. In response, your pancreas secretes insulin whose primary purpose is to drive sugar into each cell where it is stored for energy. If the cell is full and does not need glucose, it is rejected to avoid extra sugar gumming up the works.

When your full cells reject the extra glucose, blood sugar rises producing more insulin and the glucose converts to stored fat.

What does all this have to do with inflammation? Blood sugar is controlled in a very narrow range. Extra sugar molecules attach to a variety of proteins that in turn injure the blood vessel wall. This repeated injury to the blood vessel wall sets off inflammation. When you spike your blood sugar level several times a day, every day, it is exactly like taking sandpaper to the inside of your delicate blood vessels.

While you may not be able to see it, rest assured it is there. I saw it in over 5,000 surgical patients spanning 25 years who all shared one common denominator — inflammation in their arteries.

Let’s get back to the sweet roll. That innocent looking goody not only contains sugars, it is baked in one of many omega-6 oils such as soybean. Chips and fries are soaked in soybean oil; processed foods are manufactured with omega-6 oils for longer shelf life. While omega-6’s are essential -they are part of every cell membrane controlling what goes in and out of the cell — they must be in the correct balance with omega-3’s.

If the balance shifts by consuming excessive omega-6, the cell membrane produces chemicals called cytokines that directly cause inflammation.

Today’s mainstream American diet has produced an extreme imbalance of these two fats. The ratio of imbalance ranges from 15:1 to as high as 30:1 in favor of omega-6. That’s a tremendous amount of cytokines causing inflammation. In today’s food environment, a 3:1 ratio would be optimal and healthy.

To make matters worse, the excess weight you are carrying from eating these foods creates overloaded fat cells that pour out large quantities of pro-inflammatory chemicals that add to the injury caused by having high blood sugar. The process that began with a sweet roll turns into a vicious cycle over time that creates heart disease, high blood pressure, diabetes and finally, Alzheimer’s disease, as the inflammatory process continues unabated.

There is no escaping the fact that the more we consume prepared and processed foods, the more we trip the inflammation switch little by little each day. The human body cannot process, nor was it designed to consume, foods packed with sugars and soaked in omega-6 oils.

There is but one answer to quieting inflammation, and that is returning to foods closer to their natural state. To build muscle, eat more protein. Choose carbohydrates that are very complex such as colorful fruits and vegetables. Cut down on or eliminate inflammation- causing omega-6 fats like corn and soybean oil and the processed foods that are made from them.

One tablespoon of corn oil contains 7,280 mg of omega-6; soybean contains 6,940 mg. Instead, use olive oil or butter from grass-fed beef.

Animal fats contain less than 20% omega-6 and are much less likely to cause inflammation than the supposedly healthy oils labeled polyunsaturated. Forget the “science” that has been drummed into your head for decades. The science that saturated fat alone causes heart disease is non-existent. The science that saturated fat raises blood cholesterol is also very weak. Since we now know that cholesterol is not the cause of heart disease, the concern about saturated fat is even more absurd today.

The cholesterol theory led to the no-fat, low-fat recommendations that in turn created the very foods now causing an epidemic of inflammation. Mainstream medicine made a terrible mistake when it advised people to avoid saturated fat in favor of foods high in omega-6 fats. We now have an epidemic of arterial inflammation leading to heart disease and other silent killers.

What you can do is choose whole foods your grandmother served and not those your mom turned to as grocery store aisles filled with manufactured foods. By eliminating inflammatory foods and adding essential nutrients from fresh unprocessed food, you will reverse years of damage in your arteries and throughout your body from consuming the typical American diet.

Reader Comments Damage Control Freaks By: bluenorther I hope that within twenty years, coronary bypass surgery will be as discredited as pre-frontal lobotomies.
This article follows exactly what Gary Taubes has written in “Why We Get Fat”.
I had a six-tuple bypass operation to save my useless life, two years ago. It was the worst experience anyone could endure; I would never inflict it on anyone I care about. From what I’ve read, I seem to have got off easy compared to other people’s experiences!
The doctors can’t honestly tell us how bad it will be, because we’d all opt out.
What infuriates me is the total lack of effort made by my doctors to investigate WHY I ended up on their operating table. All of my friends and family are mystified, asking how this happened. In fact, I would have died in a few more days. I don’t smoke, I’m not overweight, and I exercise enough to kill most ordinary people.

All the doctors have done is prescribe meds that don’t work, and then get angry when I won’t take them. I haven’t seen a single blood test result that might give me a clue


125 posted on 05/09/2020 9:43:31 PM PDT by saintgermaine (THE TIME TRAVELLER)
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To: Lizavetta

Hospitalized patients earn more for the hospital if they go on the respirator. The respirator is possibly what is killing them. Why aren’t they just using C-pap and bi-pap machines, supplementing O2, and using the HCQ+Azithromycin+Zinc to protect the heart? If I were sick I would take a flamethrower to the hospital if they didn’t give me that combination.,


126 posted on 05/10/2020 10:16:01 PM PDT by Glad2bnuts (“If there are no absolutes by which to judge society, then society is absolute.” Francis Schaeffer)
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To: saintgermaine

Thank you again for the tips. Natural medicine has always been my first choice. I have a tote full of vitamins I sit and eat throughout the day.


127 posted on 05/10/2020 10:25:54 PM PDT by Glad2bnuts (“If there are no absolutes by which to judge society, then society is absolute.” Francis Schaeffer)
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