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Infectious disease research warns coronavirus pandemic could last two years
The Hill ^ | 05 01 2020 | Marina Pitofsky

Posted on 05/01/2020 6:54:50 AM PDT by yesthatjallen

A new report is predicting that the coronavirus pandemic may last as long as two years and that it could take up to two-thirds of the global population being immune to effectively control the spread of the virus.

The report released Thursday from the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy (CIDRAP) at the University of Minnesota said that due to coronavirus’s ability to spread among people who appear to be asymptomatic, it may be harder to control than flu outbreaks or other pandemics.

“The virus caught the global community off guard, and its future course is still highly unpredictable; there is no crystal ball to tell us what the future holds and what the ‘end game’ for controlling this pandemic will be,” the report says.

The report predicts three scenarios:

In the first scenario, small peaks of coronavirus outbreaks continue over a “1- to 2-year period” that diminish in 2021, although the waves may be different in separate areas. In the second scenario, a larger wave of coronavirus in the fall or winder of 2020 follows the first wave of the virus, resulting in more waves in 2021. In the final category, the first wave of the virus in 2020 is followed by a “slow burn” of ongoing cases “without a clear wave pattern.”

Researchers say in the report that, based on their assessment of eight major pandemics that have occurred since the early 1700s and the lack of immunity to coronavirus around the world, among other factors, the length of the coronavirus pandemic will likely be 18 to 24 months, as “herd immunity gradually develops in the human population.” Herd immunity occurs when a large amount of the population becomes immune through either inoculation or recovery from an infection.

SNIP

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: coronavirus; pandemic
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Panic porn to feed the media frenzy and Democrats.
1 posted on 05/01/2020 6:54:50 AM PDT by yesthatjallen
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To: yesthatjallen
Fauci's on the move again. But wait...he promised us a vaccine by January.

Of course, he promised a vaccine for HIV in 1996...and that still hasn't happened.

2 posted on 05/01/2020 6:56:56 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: yesthatjallen

There are a number of state governors and city mayors who obviously hope it can last forever.


3 posted on 05/01/2020 6:58:10 AM PDT by AnotherUnixGeek
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To: yesthatjallen

Her immunity....that would be when you quarantine the SICK...not well folks. We screwed that up thanks to Fauci and all these precautions.


4 posted on 05/01/2020 6:58:19 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: yesthatjallen

98% recover in fine shape.

It’s the statistic that dare not be spoken.


5 posted on 05/01/2020 6:59:52 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: yesthatjallen

Happy Friday everyone!!!

For some reason the conservative commentators and media takes a rest on the weekend. Not so coincidentally, the MSM turns its fear machine onto warp speed!!!

So here we go!!


6 posted on 05/01/2020 7:00:37 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: yesthatjallen

Force nursing homes to accept COVID-positive patients. Yea, that’s the ticket.


7 posted on 05/01/2020 7:01:01 AM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: yesthatjallen

Bkmk


8 posted on 05/01/2020 7:01:36 AM PDT by sauropod (Quarantine is when you restrict sick people, tyranny is when you restrict healthy people.)
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To: Sacajaweau

We already have at least three vaccines that need to go through the approval process.

On the Fox News website the vaccines are noted.

A SanDiego laboratory is said to have developed a vaccine within three days of receiving the Covid 19 genome back in January


9 posted on 05/01/2020 7:02:31 AM PDT by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) Progressives are existential American enemies)
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To: yesthatjallen

No, not really. It is officially done, kaput, over, finished... We the people decided.


10 posted on 05/01/2020 7:04:50 AM PDT by madison10 (Wash your hands & say your prayers cause Jesus & germs are everywhere)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

“98% recover in fine shape. It’s the statistic that dare not be spoken.”

Then it’s up to us to speak it. Everywhere, and to everyone.


11 posted on 05/01/2020 7:05:03 AM PDT by AFB-XYZ
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To: bert

There is absolutely no guarantee that a vaccine will ever be found. Our record on developing them for coronaviruses in the past is not encouraging. Dr. Fauci’s track record in particular is REALLY not encouraging.

That being said I’m not going to throw cold water on any progress that might be made. This nation created nuclear weapons and went to the moon based on intense, focused Manhattan Project-type efforts, so far be it from me to say we can’t do it again.

But there are no guarantees. To me this is really about stringing out the crisis as long as possible to milk the cash cow until the other scenario (herd immunity) occurs.


12 posted on 05/01/2020 7:07:26 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

I’ve been studying this event since January and I don’t think two years is an unreasonable guess.

These “predictions” are easier to deal with if you call them what they are - guesses.


13 posted on 05/01/2020 7:10:38 AM PDT by Jim Noble (There is nothing racist in stating plainly what most people already know)
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To: Jim Noble

All the controls will just prolong our time on the road to immunity.


14 posted on 05/01/2020 7:17:40 AM PDT by ecomcon
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To: Jim Noble

The virus will continue until the people releasing these worthless reports are fired. and the people watching/reading this crap turn it off.


15 posted on 05/01/2020 7:17:43 AM PDT by CoastWatcher
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Just you wait until Hockey Sticks McGee shows up and sets you straight!!


16 posted on 05/01/2020 7:17:49 AM PDT by cweese (Hook 'em Horns!!!)
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To: cweese

Oh, yeah. Hockey Stick and I go way back.

I’ve got absolutely nothing personal against him.
Just think he is way, way off on this one.


17 posted on 05/01/2020 7:25:08 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: AnotherUnixGeek

I believe if Dem President gets elected this year, a vaccine and cure for COVID will appear shortly thereafter. OR it will suddenly come out, it’s not as contagious, deadly as they had thought.


18 posted on 05/01/2020 7:25:41 AM PDT by Engedi
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To: Buckeye McFrog

They have zero understanding of the latency of this virus. Only time is going to tell that.


19 posted on 05/01/2020 7:26:10 AM PDT by riri (If people still dropping, most aint shopping.)
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To: ecomcon
All the controls will just prolong our time on the road to immunity.

Tucker Carlson reported last evening that the WHO is shifting positions and now seems to believe that the Swedish model is the way to go.


20 posted on 05/01/2020 7:26:12 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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