Posted on 04/14/2020 8:21:31 AM PDT by Hojczyk
The theory behind curve-flattening is not that the virus will mysteriously disappear while we are all hunkered down, and we will emerge when it is safe to come out. That won’t happen. The point of curve-flattening is to prolong the epidemic, making it last longer than it otherwise would, as you can see in the curve-flattening diagrams. That way, more or less the same number will get sick and the same percentage will die, with one exception: our hospitals will not be overwhelmed by a crush of COVID-19 cases, and so ICU rooms and so on will be available for those who need them. That was the point of the shutdowns–to flatten the curve by stretching out the epidemic.
We know now, the COVID-19 virus was grossly overestimated, at least with respect to the demand its victims would place on hospitals. Weirdly, it is not easy to find a definitive figure for the number of hospitalizations to date. The Centers for Disease Control estimates, if you do the arithmetic, that as of April 4 around 41,250 people were hospitalized due to COVID-19, which seems too low. The COVID Tracking Project pegs it at 62,673 as of April 13. Does that sound like a lot of hospitalizations? As usual, the numbers need a context.
During last year’s flu season, according to the CDC, 490,561 people in the U.S. were hospitalized due to the seasonal flu virus. The prior year, it was 810,000 flu hospitalizations. This explains why, as we noted here, America’s hospitals have not been overwhelmed by the number of Wuhan flu sufferers, not even in New York City.
Once again, government officials are making decisions with catastrophic effects on many millions of lives, on the basis of models that have proved to be wrong. The shutdowns should end tomorrow.
(Excerpt) Read more at powerlineblog.com ...
This is becoming the BIG LIE.
Drivel by someone who can’t comprehend curves.
The goal is to reduce the slope of the curve, that s the rate of change
The duration is not necessarily a function of the slope.
Maybe it is all those years of mathematics. But I asked a simple question at the time: If the peak is a hill and not Mount Everest or even a mountain at all, then does it even need flattening?
I get it, we didn’t know the amplitude. But as we gathered more data and it became apparent, it also became apparent that the lockdown mania was a sham.
We are stupid. We pick the dumbest, most corrupt among us, to lead us.
Then we wonder why they make bad decisions.
Immunization or vaccine is the answer.
John is wrong, it was to prevent an overwhelming of the healthcare system. It is a virus that spreads quickly, so we needed a mechanism to slow that transmission speed down in an effort to get back on top of the virus.
They pull a bate and switch.... Healthcare Capacity..... to the lockdown saved lives... Now eople are scared to death..for no reason...... they have not proved it saved lives .... it may have saved a few but to destroy the economy.. And it is not coming back fast with 50 governors running the show
Got a vaccine on you?
“John is wrong, it was to prevent an overwhelming of the healthcare system.”
-
John makes that very statement in the article’s 1st paragraph:
“...more or less the same number will get sick and the
same percentage will die, with one exception: our hospitals
will not be overwhelmed by a crush of COVID-19 cases, and so
ICU rooms and so on will be available for those who need them...”
So just have to ask the men here. How many times has your wife or girlfriend refused any interaction. I’m up to 4 now.
Lower colon gas after eating squash and eggs (red) vs regular bread (blue)
Degree of ah...engorgement, with viagra (red) vs placebo(blue).
Numerous other uses warrant keeping it on file at the end of the fingertips.
Im jiggy with the shutdown through April, to help the medical system cope with this new disease, give FEMA and the states time to gear up, give time for research and coming up with treatment protocols ....the later you can wait to be infected, the more effective will be the treatment you get
Maybe also into May in NY, as we slide down the other side of the huge curve there
I want my doctor to be able to phone in a prescription for hydroxy and a zpac....pretty much what is happening now in several other countries
I think your chart is out of date.
The “experts” backed down from the 93K death count a week ago.
Sorry, not gonna happen.
Have you seen a vaccine yet for HIV?
Well don’t worry about our hospitals right now in many areas. RN’s and Dr’s given layoffs, reduced pay, take your vacation now or we don’t need you etc. Lots of medical personnel will need the stimulus help for the next pay out. Thanks a lot Farci and Debbie Dix.
Well said...it’s just the flu, bro.
Sweden’s situation very similar to every other country’s situation even though they didn’t social distance - so why do it?
I will not take any CV vaccine and neither will my family. We are healthy and have no fear of this. If I wasn’t healthy I would also have no fear of it.
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