Posted on 04/04/2020 1:37:20 AM PDT by DoughtyOne
Please FReep Mail me regarding the ping list
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COVID-19 Update
As of 04/03/2020 23:12 PDT (taken at 23:59)
Good morning everyone.
Thank you for dropping in to check out this Update.
New Feature: States, Territories, and Counties
Here is a spreadsheet with the States50, Territories5+, and Counties200
listed alphabetically and by declining case numbers. ACCESS
This feature also linked at the bottom, and will only appear there after today.
New Feature: Links to other resources. Coming tomorrow
The Following Addresses the Nubmers Here in
the United States of America
There Was Impressive Growth Again Yesteray
Declared Cases in the United States
EOD DAY'S INCR'SD
DATE CASES GRWTH GROWTH - compared to the day before
-
03/20 19,624 5,374 539
03/21 26,747 7,123 1,749
03/22 35,206 8,459 1,336
03/23 46,442 11,236 2,777
03/24 54,893 8,789 -2,427
03/25 60,197 13,966 5,177
03/26 85,991 16,794 2,828
03/27 104,839 18,848 2,054
03/28 124,665 19,826 978
03/29 143,025 18,360 -1,466
03/30 164,620 21,595 3,235
03/31 189,624 25,004 3,409
04/01 216,721 27,097 2,093
04/02 245,559 28,838 1,741
04/03 278,458 32,899 4,061
Numbers continue to increase for the short term. Thursday's number was
There is something to be said about these numbers. It's something I've
noticed a number of times over the last several months. The percentage of
increases each day, is dropping. Last month the growth was mid 20% to
mid 40% for the most part. This month the increase has been 13 and 14%.
You'd think that would be good (and of course IT IS), but the resultant
increase in cases is more now, not less. 30% of 75,000 is less than 15%
of 200,000.
I expect to see those percentages continue to wither away. It is in effect
an indication that the virus is having a hard time finding new hosts. If
the hosts were still as robust out there, we would continue seeing mid 20%
to mid 40% increases. That's not happening.
So the number of new cases keep rising, and that percentage withers away.
At some point the numbers will begin to fall. We're headed there.
Fatalities, Recoveries, & Resolutions in the United States
DATE FATAL RECOV RESOLV - 03/20 252 152 404 03/21 329 176 505 03/22 396 178 574 03/23 428 178 606 03/24 581 354 935 03/25 753 619 1,372 03/26 1,301 1,868 3,169 03/27 1,704 2,622 4,326 03/28 2,229 3,231 5,460 03/29 2,488 4,562 7,050 03/30 3,170 5,507 8,677 03/31 4,055 7,251 11,306 04/01 5,112 8,878 13,990 04/02 6,095 10,403 16,498 04/03 7,403 12,283 19,686 Currently we have 278,458 active cases in the United States.
19,686 of them been resolved.
Our Slice of the COVID-19 Pie Continues to Grow
Once again, lets take a moment to address the U. S. portion of the
global declared cases.
I've mentioned that the U. S. has roughly 4.252% of the global
populace. There are two figures I'm trackign with regard to
this, the Declared Cases and the Active Cases.
Here is what the movement in those stats looks like.
DECLARED DAY'S ACTIVE DAY'S
DATE CASES CHGE CASES CHGE
-
03/20 7.125% 1.297% 10.934% 1.552%
03/21 8.704% 1.579% 13.000% 2.066%
03/22 10.377% 1.673% 15.343% 2.343%
03/23 12.170% 1.793% 17.411% 2.068%
03/24 13.053% 0.883% 18.369% 0.958%
03/25 14.657% 1.604% 20.190% 1.821%
03/26 16.140% 1.483% 21.454% 1.264%
03/27 17.530% 1.390% 22.920% 1.466%.
03/28 18.742% 1.212% 24.126% 1.206%
03/29 19.762% 1.020% 25.289% 1.163%
03/30 20.936% 1.174% 26.777% 1.488%
03/31 22.045% 1.109% 27.885% 1.108%
04/01 23.110% 1.065% 29.120% 1.235%
04/02 24.160% 1.050% 30.482% 1.362%
04/03 24.886% 0.726% 31.057% 0.575%
Oh, that's interesting. Look at the progression of growth and how
Would love to see our growth turn around. I like the trend here.
Hopefully my saying that won't jinx things.
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
without Mainland China
Global Cases increased at record levels today, Outside M/L China
Back to still more numbers...
EOD DAY'S INCR'SD
DATE CASES GROWTH GROWTH - compared to day before
-
03/20 194,148 30,824 5,185
03/21 225,932 31,784 963
03/22 257,820 31,888 104
03/23 297,172 39,352 7,464
03/24 341,530 41,462 2,110
03/25 390,378 48,848 7,386
03/26 451,006 60,628 11,780
03/27 516,124 65,118 4,490
03/28 583,107 66,983 1,865
03/29 641,588 58,481 -8,502
03/30 704,051 62,463 3,982
03/31 777,887 73,836 11,373
04/01 855,389 77,502 3,666
04/02 933,937 78,548 1,046
04/03 1,036,395 102,458 23,910
Really looking forward to the recoveries off these numbers. In
Fatalities, Recoveries, & Resolutions Outside M/L China
DATE FATAL RECOV RESOLV - 03/20 8,110 16,393 24,503 03/21 9,740 19,995 29,735 03/22 11,305 25,485 36,790 03/23 13,060 28,470 41,530 03/24 15,347 35,256 50,603 03/25 17,643 40,467 58,210 03/26 20,785 48,084 68,869 03/27 24,466 56,801 81,267 03/28 27,522 64,777 92,299 03/29 30,714 76,342 107,056 03/30 34,515 89,989 124,504 03/31 39,052 102,121 141,163 04/01 43,949 118,092 162,041 04/02 49,838 135,204 185,042 04/03 55,611 150,014 205,625Currently we have 1,036,395 active cases outside M/L China.
The Following Addresses the Global Numbers
including Mainland China*
Mainland China numbers make up 00.30% of today's cases globally
Nations With Lots of Cases
At the end of the day on 04/02/2020, there are:
1 nation(s) with 200,000 plus (take a bow...) 2 nation(s) with 100,000 to 199,999 4 nation(s) with 50,000 to 99,999 2 natiom(s) with 20,000 to 49,999 6 nation(s) with 10,000 to 19,999 6 nation(s) with 5,000 to 9,999 34 nation(s) with 1,000 to 4,999
There are currently 55 nations with a 1,000 count or above...
A Look at Declared, Resolved, and Active Cases, Includes M/L China
End of day figures follow:
DECLAR DAY'S RESOLVED DAY'S PCT DEC ACTIVE
DATE CASES GROWTH CASES GROWTH CS RESOL CASES
-
03/20 - 275,434 - 30,911 - 99,655 - 3,590 - 36.181% - 175,779
03/21 307,280 31,846 105,425 5,770 34.309% 201,855
03/22 339,259 31,979 113,540 8,115 33.467% 225,719
03/23 - 381,621 - 42,362 - 118,369 - 4,829 - 31.017% - 263,252
03/24 423,121 41,500 127,538 9,169 30.142% 295,583
03/25 472,109 48,998 136,178 8,640 28.845% 335,931
03/26 - 532,788 - 60.679 - 146,749 - 10,571 - 27.544% - 386,039
03/27 598,070 65,282 159,533 12,784 26.675% 438,537
03/28 665,164 67,094 171,077 11,544 25.720% 494,087
03/29 - 723,740 - 58,576 - 186,060 - 14,983 - 25.708% - 537,680
03/30 786,291 62,551 203,926 17,848 25.933% 582,383
03/31 860,181 73,890 220,713 16,085 25.659% 639,468
04/01 - 937,783 - 77,602 - 241,591 - 20,878 - 25.762% - 696,192
04/02 1,016,401 78,618 264,935 23,344 26.066% 751,466
04/03 1,118,921 102,520 285,706 20,771 25.534% 833,215
After a valient effort, that Percent of Declared Cases that have been
Fatalities, Recoveries, and Resolutions Globally, Incliding M/L China
DATE FATAL RECOV RESOLV - 03/20 11,399 88,256 99,655 03/21 13,049 92,376 105,425 03/22 14,706 98,834 113,540 03/23 16,563 101,806 118,369 03/24 18,919 108,619 127,358 03/25 21,308 114,870 136,178 03/26 24,077 122,672 146,749 03/27 27,761 131,772 159,533 03/28 30,852 140,225 171,077 03/29 34,018 152,042 186,060 03/30 37,820 166,088 203,908 03/31 42,354 178,359 220,713 04/01 47,261 194,330 241,591 04/02 53,160 211,775 264,935 04/03 58,937 226,769 285,706
Population Saturation
Here are figures revealing how many people in each population
base represent one case. I'm also showing what percent of each
population base is infected at this time.
ENTITY PER 1 CASE - Globally : 9,325 Outside China : 9,353 The U. S. A. : 1,277 - ENTITY INFECTION LEVEL - Globally : 00.0100% Outside China : 00.0130% The U. S. A. : 00.0783%Look at the population saturation in the U. S. compared to others.
That was our look back at yesterday. Take care...
New Feature: States, Territories, and Counties
Here is a spreadsheet with the States50, Territories5+, and Counties200
listed alphabetically and by declining case numbers. ACCESS
New Feature: Links to other resources. Coming tomorrow
Data sourced from Johns Hopkins University: J H U
...and WorldoMeters: W o M
My spreadsheet is linked for those who have Excel.
You're welcome to it.
COVID-19 Spreadsheet using JHU and WoM data
Sorry, the XLS version is not available for dibursement at this time.a
Thanks D1.
So glad to see these comprehensive ststs.
Fatalities, Recoveries, & Resolutions in the United States
DATE FATAL RECOV RESOLV - 03/20 252 152 404 03/21 329 176 505 03/22 396 178 574 03/23 428 178 606 03/24 581 354 935 03/25 753 619 1,372 03/26 1,301 1,868 3,169 03/27 1,704 2,622 4,326 03/28 2,229 3,231 5,460 03/29 2,488 4,562 7,050 03/30 3,170 5,507 8,677 03/31 4,055 7,251 11,306 04/01 5,112 8,878 13,990 04/02 6,095 10,403 16,498 04/03 7,403 12,283 19,686Currently we have 278,458 active cases in the United States.
Thanks Syncro. Get some sleep bud.
ping
“There was impressive growth again yesterday”
Is it me or is this phrasing creepy?
Yeah, it’s you... Smile...
I can see some people not appreciating the terms there.
In the U. S. the number of cases went up almost 33,000
cases, and I was headed toward documenting an over
102,000 case increase globally.
Of course we don’t like the growth, but it’s amazing
that many people can be documented to have contracted
the disease in one day.
Impressive..
278k cases. 32k are new.
USA is almost down to 10% daily growth. Even at 10%, cases and new cases double in a week. Yes, we’re headed to 100,000 new cases on the 17th.
It would be useful to break it down to
NY-NJ-CT
Other 47 states.
The NYC subway system did this.
Add me to the list. Will be reposting your link on TTFT.
Thanks for all
Your work.
These idiots are in denial. They are not listening to the doctors who are on the front lines of New York who are actually engaged in battle. The medical hiearchy is still follwoing its pre - pandemic paradigm. As a result, many tens of thousands will die needlessly. Eventually this conduct will be assessed as criminal.Even treasonous.
Chinese doctors first noticed that hundreds of Lupuc patients were not contracting Covid-19. And they discovered why: They ALL were taking Hydroxy Chloroquine as a treatment for Lupus. WAKE UP YOU CRAZY BA$TARDS who support Cuomo’s ban on HCQ ond the FDA, who want to promote other magic bullet candidates so Big Pharm can make billions ( Remdesivir , Gilead Corp.etc.)
The Zelenko Protocol:
Dr Zelenko has perfected a therapy in the United States which has three components proven to work, every time, if administered before the lungs fill with mucus.
What is being used is a combination of drugs , not just Hydroxy-chloroquin, which shows that the Democrats and Big Pharm do not want what is working should be understood by the People.They rail against a single part of the therapy without revealing the rest of it because IT WORKS.But it has to be administered before the lungs fill with mucus.
But what President Trump’s agent, Rudy Giuliani has done is created a populist end run around the CDC ( Fauci) and the FDA. This to save lives.( See video link below)
If you are a Trump supporter you know what to do. Contact your physician and ask whether this therapy can be available if you need it. If not shop around. And if you find a Jewish doctor, you’re in like Flynn.The therapy cost of the drugs is $20.00, so it won’t break you.
Its really up to you.
President Trump has arranged for millions of dosages to come into our country from Israel’s Teva Corporation....Free. Availability will be no problem.
Secondly there is a pretty sure possibility that hydroxy-chloroquine acts as an prophylaxis, taking 1 x 200 mg HCQ per day along with a 200 gram Zinc supplement.Almost all of the front line doctors in NYC are doing this, so why not everybody. We soon will have enough HCQ to do that.
****************************
THIS CAN SAVE YOUR LIFE
EXCELLENT NEWS: Hydroxychloroquine Treatment Effective on 699 Patients
Must see video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1TJdjhd_XG8&t=586s
*****************************
Dr. Vladimir (Zev) Zelenko
Board Certified Family Practitioner
501 Rt 208, Monroe, NY 10950
845-238-0000
March 23, 2020
To all medical professionals around the world:
My name is Dr. Zev Zelenko and I practice medicine in Monroe, NY. For the last 16 years, I have cared for approximately 75% of the adult population of Kiryas Joel, which is a very close knit community of approximately 35,000 people in which the infection spread rapidly and unchecked prior to the imposition of social distancing.
As of today my team has tested approximately 200 people from this community for Covid-19, and 65% of the results have been positive. If extrapolated to the entire community, that means more than 20,000 people are infected at the present time. Of this group, I estimate that there are 1500 patients who are in the high-risk category (i.e. >60, immunocompromised, comorbidities, etc).
Given the urgency of the situation, I developed the following treatment protocol in the pre-hospital setting and have seen only positive results:
1. Any patient with shortness of breath regardless of age is treated.
2. Any patient in the high-risk category even with just mild symptoms is treated.
3. Young, healthy and low risk patients even with symptoms are not treated (unless their circumstances change and they fall into category 1 or 2).
My out-patient treatment regimen is as follows:
1. Hydroxychloroquine 200mg twice a day for 5 days
2. Azithromycin 500mg once a day for 5 days
3. Zinc sulfate 220mg once a day for 5 days
The rationale for my treatment plan is as follows. I combined the data available from China and South Korea with the recent study published from France (sites available on request). We know that hydroxychloroquine helps Zinc enter the cell. We know that Zinc slows viral replication within the cell. Regarding the use of azithromycin, I postulate it prevents secondary bacterial infections. These three drugs are well known and usually well tolerated, hence the risk to the patient is low.
Since last Thursday, my team has treated approximately 350 patients in Kiryas Joel and another 150 patients in other areas of New York with the above regimen.
Of this group and the information provided to me by affiliated medical teams, we have had ZERO deaths, ZERO hospitalizations, and ZERO intubations. In addition, I have not heard of any negative side effects other than approximately 10% of patients with temporary nausea and diarrhea.
In sum, my urgent recommendation is to initiate treatment in the outpatient setting as soon as possible in accordance with the above. Based on my direct experience, it prevents acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), prevents the need for hospitalization and saves lives.
With much respect,
Dr. Zev Zelenko
*********************
Listen to the physicians who are on the from lines. Listen to Dr. Oz, and Dr. Zelenko of the Hassidic Jewish physician community of New York.
I don't. 4/3/20 was a BAD day for us. Just not as bad as the rest of the world.
“The NYC subway system did this.”
Exactly...
There is not a doctor in our area who will prescribe it.
None.
How can we get it?
I am willing to pay for three prescriptions to have on hand, because if we are sick, it would be too hard to fight the system.
Thank you so much for the daily update.
Just remember, it’s unlikely that “contracted yesterday” is correct.
We are documenting them as they present. Some get tested when they arrive in respiratory failure and get intubated - some of them got infected in mid-March. Some get tested after a critical exposure - some of them got infected two days ago.
Until point-prevalence studies get done (real ones), OR until the infections reach natural limit (which appears quite high - 30%, 40%, who knows) - growth rates are not incident infections, but a % of incident tests.
Can you get your spread sheet to make bar graphs or curves? Finding things that are significant is much easier. It would be fascinating to see.
Bump for possible future need.
Many thanks DoughtyOne!
On Wednesday April 1 I began tracking the number of ‘serious, critical’ cases being reported in the USA.
These are the people who may likely die in the next few days. If the ‘serious, critical’ number goes up, we will likely see more deaths. On the other hand if the various drugs being tested are effective in treating the virus, the ‘serious, critical’ number should go down.
Here are the numbers:
Apr 1 Wed 5005
Apr 2 Thu 5421
Apr 3 Fri 5787
I will update the numbers each day on your posting so you do not have to.
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