Model Projects When The Coronavirus Will Peak In Each State

Breitbart ^ | 3-31-2020 | Hannah Bleau

[blam]

The United States, as a whole, is roughly two weeks away from reaching the peak of the coronavirus pandemic, but the peaks for individual states will vary, with most occurring over the next four weeks, according to projections from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME).

When it comes to the arrival of the coronavirus, not all states are facing the same timeline. Some states, like New York and Louisiana, have quickly become epicenters of the virus in the United States and, as a result, will reach a resource peak weeks sooner than states like Kentucky and Missouri, which are not expected to reach their highest demand until the second week of May. The various projections, based on peak hospital resource demand caused by the virus, could explain why some governors are taking more aggressive, imminent actions in their response to the pandemic.

Here are the projected peaks for all 50 states, plus D.C., per the IHME model. The model takes into consideration the number of beds needed, as well as ventilators.

New York, for example, is expected to hit its resource peak April 9.

(snip)

[Yogafist]

Sure we will, it’s called socialism. Socialism is going to assert a huge footprint in our new economy. But hey, its worth it if we can save a couple 85 year old smokers.

[elpadre]

When I think of computer models I remember hurricane models with 30 different computers, using the same data, chart 30 different paths. I feel caronavirus computer models are doing the same.

I am just an average ol’ Joe who scours internet each day looking at all of the data concerning this epidemic. I don’t see exponential growth of the virus. I see a straight line graph increasing now, but which appears ready to become a decreasing slope. But, who am I to say??

[ProtectOurFreedom]

According to the USA Today graph, not one single person has recovered yet.

[henbane]

So what is it measuring, peak hospital resource demand or peak number of cases?

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This study used data on confirmed COVID-19 deaths by day from WHO websites and local and national governments; data on hospital capacity and utilization for US states; and observed COVID-19 utilization data from select locations to develop a statistical model forecasting deaths and hospital utilization against capacity by state for the US over the next 4 months.

Forecasting COVID-19 impact on hospital bed-days, ICU-days, ventilator days and deaths by US state in the next 4 months

[RoseofTexas]

EXACTLY!! This is insane and this will KILL America’s economy painfully and permanently!! CHINA will be the beneficiary of our destruction! Please dear Lord kill this virus this week!! Pleasssssse!! We beg thee!!

[snarkytart]

nope

the economy is done for now thanks to the left. this is what they wanted.

look at how dumb these pols are on the left

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WslBRY9B-n4

watch this

They scream “GATHER AND TOUCH PEOPLE” to spite POTUS calling it a China virus and his travel ban.

Yet SHOCKED it spread in their cities.

[DoughtyOne]

Looking pretty credible from here.

d":^)

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[MrEdd]

I used to be that you knew that the information in a presentation was going to be bovine excrement and nothing else when it was presented by a model. Generally blonde with huge breasts.

Today you can still be sure a presentation is bovine excrement and nothing else when it is presented by a model. Generally a computer model with fabricated graphs and charts.

[from occupied ga]

The article only has 51 states where are the other six?

[Vendome]

When this passes the USofA should create tax incentives to bring manufacturing back to America and DESTROY China.

The United States of America is the BASF of the world.

“We make everything better and faster.”

[Hot Tabasco]

Virus models are man made, just as climate models are........Nothing more needs to be said.

[Bigg Red]

Maryland: May 14.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

No! Whatever happens that is not good Hogan will blame on Trump. He’s a jerk.

[ballplayer]

Cuomos brother the CNN guy tested positive had a fever,chills is feeling better now. How the hell did that happen?

[JungleGoat77]

They need to rerun this model with current data of all the shutdown states information. This poor modeling is either incompetent or corrupt, like the FISA program.

[clyde260]

NONE of this means anything!!!! There hasn’t been any testing!!! Anyone here been tested? Hasn’t anyone wondered why precious few have “recovered”? It’s about the testing.

What are we told if we suspect we have it: Stay Home, leave the doctors and hospitals alone unless you are severe! The folks I know in my community, who have it are home. Diagnosed over the phone.

[dfwgator]

Cuomos brother the CNN guy tested positive had a fever,chills is feeling better now. How the hell did that happen?

"I heard that you were feeling ill. Headache, fever, and a chill. I came to help restore your pluck, cause I'm the nurse who likes to..."

[DoodleBob]

It looks like they're saying the states with the highest case load per capita will peak sooner vs later:

State	Cases per 1MM people, Mar 29	Date of Peak
New Jersey	1861.6	9-Apr
New York	3455.4	9-Apr
Vermont	245.6	9-Apr
Connecticut	721.6	10-Apr
Louisiana	866.5	10-Apr
Michigan	647.9	10-Apr
Idaho	227.3	12-Apr
Massachusetts	824.5	14-Apr
Iowa	133.3	15-Apr
Pennsylvania	140.9	15-Apr
Illinois	400.5	16-Apr
Colorado	449.6	17-Apr
Indiana	265.1	17-Apr
Oklahoma	164.5	17-Apr
Washington, DC	664.2	18-Apr
Ohio	2.6	19-Apr
Rhode Island	324.2	19-Apr
Alabama	192.9	20-Apr
Arkansas	167.2	20-Apr
Delaware	268.6	20-Apr
Nevada	332.5	20-Apr
Minnesota	101.0	21-Apr
Georgia	282.4	22-Apr
Mississippi	283.7	22-Apr
North Carolina	122.9	22-Apr
Arizona	158.4	24-Apr
South Carolina	386.3	24-Apr
Washington	118.4	24-Apr
Maine	204.3	25-Apr
California	185.8	26-Apr
Tennessee	111.8	26-Apr
Wisconsin	216.5	26-Apr
Utah	103.2	27-Apr
Kansas	128.2	28-Apr
Alaska	162.1	30-Apr
Hawaii	144.4	30-Apr
Montana	162.9	30-Apr
Nebraska	94.7	30-Apr
New Hampshire	229.0	30-Apr
New Mexico	134.0	30-Apr
North Dakota	143.1	1-May
South Dakota	177.5	1-May
West Virginia	81.5	1-May
Wyoming	167.5	1-May
Texas	265.9	2-May
Florida	258.9	3-May
Oregon	121.6	3-May
Missouri	170.2	11-May
Kentucky	106.7	12-May
Maryland	232.4	14-May
Virginia	407.6	17-May

[nevermorelenore]

The first cases were on the West Coast, I just don’t buy this

[RoseofTexas]

If we prolong this virus scare for weeks and months..stick a fork in lady liberty, she's done!😢 Dow futures are down again didn't like what they heard!! THIS STINKS TO HIGH HEAVEN with all the evil swamp chiming in gleefully! 😡

[vespa300]

Landlords and investors and all of us have to suck it up. Don’t expect rents, don’t expect dividends, don’t expect interest, don’t expect anything. Suck it up....and we’ll be better after.