ESTIMATES:
Researchers combined that data on “infection prevalence” with public information on reported cases and deaths, estimating the overall death rate to be about two-thirds of 1%.
That number, though, went up in older adults, with approximately 7.8% of those 80 or older estimated to die after infection.
And deaths were estimated to be exceedingly rare in children younger than 9, with a fatality rate of just 0.00161%.
For age groups younger than 40, the death rate was never higher than 0.16%, according to the study. Out of 1,000 young adults infected, then, about 1 or 2 could die, with the youngest people facing the lowest risk.
The average time from onset of symptoms to hospital discharge was about 25 days, researchers found, although patients might not have been hospitalized during the early days of their illness. Among those who succumbed to the virus, death came about 18 days after people started showing symptoms.
The study found that it could take weeks for people to recover from coronavirus, which could magnify potential health care shortages: The longer it takes for people to get better, the longer they may need precious hospital space and resources.
US death rate will be very similar to the flu.
Meanwhile, here's the case mortality rate using confirmed cases.
Country | Total cases | Total Deaths | Case Mortality Rate | Prev Day CMR |
World | 803,126 | 39,032 | 4.9% | 4.7% |
USA | 164,435 | 3,175 | 1.9% | 1.7% |
Italy | 101,739 | 11,591 | 11.4% | 11.0% |
Spain | 94,417 | 8,189 | 8.7% | 8.6% |
China | 81,518 | 3,305 | 4.1% | 4.1% |
Germany | 67,051 | 682 | 1.0% | 0.9% |
Iran | 44,605 | 2,898 | 6.5% | 6.6% |
France | 44,550 | 3,024 | 6.8% | 6.5% |
UK | 22,141 | 1,408 | 6.4% | 6.3% |
State | ||||
New York | 67,325 | 1,342 | 2.0% | 1.6% |
New Jersey | 16,636 | 198 | 1.2% | 1.2% |
California | 7,426 | 149 | 2.0% | 2.1% |
Michigan | 6,498 | 184 | 2.8% | 2.4% |
Massachusetts | 5,752 | 56 | 1.0% | 1.0% |
Florida | 5,704 | 71 | 1.2% | 1.2% |
Washington | 5,250 | 210 | 4.0% | 4.1% |
Illinois | 5,057 | 73 | 1.4% | 1.4% |
Pennsylvania | 4,154 | 51 | 1.2% | NA |
Louisiana | 4,025 | 185 | 4.6% | 4.3% |
Source: Worldometers 3/31/2020 approx 8am CST | ||||
PA is not available, only because it didn't make yesterday's list, and I didn't save everything. | ||||
CMR is increasing in most cases. Many possibilities. |
Well, which seasonal flu?
Last year's flu -- okay. But the 1918 Spanish flu pandemic was perhaps 10-20 x as deadly here in the US.
Fatality rate of .0067, and that is before the new, drug treatment regimens?
Fortunately, far fewer deaths than predicted. Maybe, unsequestering to come sooner, rather than originally mandated?
I heard you can catch the Chinese Flu just by being within 100 yards of a Television with CNN on??
I cant recall any media mentioning any deaths due to regular flu.
Its all Covid-19. I guess regular flu deaths dont exist anymore.(SAR)
This article is probably accurate or possibly even a lower % than it reports.
My niece is 5 year old and came down with all the symptoms of COVID-19. She came in close contact with a relative who definitely had the virus. She is recovering well and has no elevated temperature for 2 days.
The doctor said that she did not need to be tested as she was required to observe the quarantine regardless and that any treatment he would prescribe would not be altered whether she tested positive or not.
Chances are there are MANY cases such as hers that would significantly effect the mortality figure.
>>estimated that about 0.66% of those infected with the virus will die.
bit less than 4%
and this year’s flu numbers are down because socialist distancing, yo
Communist News Network.
Let’s see how it compares with H1N1.
An actual pandemic.
It doesn’t, now does it.
Many places are not testing anybody who shows up with mild symptoms. Very, very common here in NC. They’re just told to go home and isolate.
The bean counters have no idea how widespread this thing is right now. That number would drastically lower the rate of death.
The rate should be lower now that social distancing is in effect, plus we have a better idea of how to manage severe cases.
Duh. We have a vaccine for the seasonal flu. Apples to oranges.
During the 2017/18 flu season, we had 810,000 hospitalized and 61,000 deaths. Long way to go to approach these kinds of numbers for the Wuhan virus.
A headline that states the truth, coming from CNN?
Satan just put on his parka.
This :”The research, published in the medical journal The Lancet Infectious Diseases, estimated that about 0.66% of those infected with the virus will die
And this:
“Early in March, for example, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the director of the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said that “if you just do the math, the math is about 2%.”
And this:
“That's because death rates typically only consider reported coronavirus cases, which tend to be more severe, and thus brought to the attention of health care workers. Asymptomatic cases — or mild cases — may not always be counted.”
Bottom line?
Any figures about death rates etc that you hear from thees guys is of very little value.And ignore anything that comes out of Fauci's mouth.
When this ends, each death will account for $10-100 million of lost global economic value.
But hey, “if we could just save ONE person’s life”
Ironic since the old "Stay Alive - Drive 55" meme of the '60s/'70s has long passed and now folks are wanting even higher limits - seems like those who are panicking need to march to go back to the good old days when trips took a lot longer...but saved lives....when is one potential life-saving set of actions worth more than another - when folks are lied to about one of them and buy into the panic...and let's not get into the fatality rates/numbers of "life-saving abortions"...
CNN, the garbage dump of the network.
The flu season of 2012-2013, when Obama was president, killed 56,000 people according to the CDC. We’re currently at 165,000 cases with 1.9% dying from it. We’ll have to have 3,000,000 cases to equal the 2012-2013 flu, about 18 times what we currently have.
Of course the number of cases will go up, but will it reach 3,000,000?
CNN is such full of BS.
Next headlines will be: Killer Gnomes Don’t Really Live Under Your Bed, But They Could