3/31 Updated projection (Trump basis, 2 days updated actuals); 93k total
ESTIMATES:
Researchers combined that data on “infection prevalence” with public information on reported cases and deaths, estimating the overall death rate to be about two-thirds of 1%.
That number, though, went up in older adults, with approximately 7.8% of those 80 or older estimated to die after infection.
And deaths were estimated to be exceedingly rare in children younger than 9, with a fatality rate of just 0.00161%.
For age groups younger than 40, the death rate was never higher than 0.16%, according to the study. Out of 1,000 young adults infected, then, about 1 or 2 could die, with the youngest people facing the lowest risk.
The average time from onset of symptoms to hospital discharge was about 25 days, researchers found, although patients might not have been hospitalized during the early days of their illness. Among those who succumbed to the virus, death came about 18 days after people started showing symptoms.
The study found that it could take weeks for people to recover from coronavirus, which could magnify potential health care shortages: The longer it takes for people to get better, the longer they may need precious hospital space and resources.
Seasonal Flu kills 20 -60k, this will be closer to 60-100.
They probably included the invented CCP numbers in their calculations.
3/31 Updated projection (Trump basis, 2 days updated actuals); 93k total
could someone point me to a site that lists up to date info, inclulding graphs....I just don't trust worldometer...seems their numbers jump all over the place...thx in advance..